NL Run Differential

[RyCubsFan]

If we were to judge the strength of each NL team based on the differential between runs they've scored and runs they've allowed, the Cubs would be the best team in the NL. It indicates that we can expect our winning to continue. It also indicates that the D'Backs--and especially the Cards--should fall back. Of course this indicator doesn't take into account the current health or makeup of the teams. The Padres (Young), Phillies (Utley), and Brewers (Sheets) have all recently suffered key injuries, while the Braves just got significantly better. While this doesn't gaurantee future sucess, it is encouraging to see that the Cubs are scoring more runs than they allow...by a margin better than any other team in the NL.

 

1. Cubs +62

2. Padres +44

3. Phillies +42

4. Brewers +38

5. Braves +36

6. Mets +35

7. Dodgers +31

8. Rockies +12

9. Giants -8

10. Diamondbacks -27

11. Marlins -34

12. Reds -61

13. Astros -70

14. Cardinals -75

15. Pirates -100

16. Nationals -105

[anabiono]

man, the padres would be nowhere without their pitching

[Ender]

If you find this kind of stuff interesting I'd check out this link...

 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/standings.php

 

I think that is free and not premium so if I'm wrong sorry.

 

The Cubs run differential "should" be +51 (if you just look at raw stats) which is still very strong. If you adjust for strength of schedule its only +41 which means that their record isn't just having an easy schedule, even in "average" division they should be 56-49.

 

The Brewers are a small step below them in each rating.

[JGalt73]

If you find this kind of stuff interesting I'd check out this link...

 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/standings.php

 

I think that is free and not premium so if I'm wrong sorry.

 

The Cubs run differential "should" be +51 (if you just look at raw stats) which is still very strong. If you adjust for strength of schedule its only +41 which means that their record isn't just having an easy schedule, even in "average" division they should be 56-49.

 

The Brewers are a small step below them in each rating.

 

What is also interesting, is that by 3rd order wins (strength of schedule and component stats), the Cubs are now neither lucky nor non-unlucky - 0.1 win D3 differential. Their "good luck" during the past 2 months has negated the early -6 win hole they used to have.

[jyoung55]

Hopefully we can live up to that run differential lead and keep the winning going.

 

It's too bad they don't decide who gets in the playoffs by run differential.