Favorable mention of Pie in BP (yes, BP)

[Lefty]

I think it's subscriber only, so I won't link, but Nate Silver argues that Pie is being overlooked because his raw numbers at Iowa were worse than his numbers at West Tenn.

 

1) Pie one year closer to Majors; still young

2) Is already a plus MLB defender

3) His EQA was .273 in '05, .261 in '06. Perfectly normal fluctuation.

 

Sees Pie as an eventual .290/.350/.450 player. Vernon Wells skill set. I guess his projections do not include Pie's Dominican experience. Still was good to see.

[cheapseats]

3) His EQA was .273 in '05, .261 in '06. Perfectly normal fluctuation.

 

His point wasn't just that this is a normal fluctuation, but that park effect had a lot to do with it.

[Handlebar McSkullet]

3) His EQA was .273 in '05, .261 in '06. Perfectly normal fluctuation.

 

His point wasn't just that this is a normal fluctuation, but that park effect had a lot to do with it.

 

Please explain EQA

[Geech]

Equivalent Average (EqA) is a baseball metric invented by Clay Davenport, and intended to express the production of hitters in a context independent of park and league effects. It represents a hitter's productivity using the same scale as batting average. Thus, a hitter with an EqA over .300 is a very good hitter, while a hitter with an EqA of .220 or below is poor. An EqA of .260 is defined as league average.

 

EqA is one of several sabermetric approaches which validated the notion that minor league hitting statistics can be useful measurements of Major League ability. It does this by adjusting a player's raw statistics for park and league effects.

 

For instance, the Pacific Coast League is a minor league known to be a very friendly venue for hitters. Therefore, a hitter in the PCL may have notably depressed raw statistics (a lower batting average, fewer home runs, etc.) if he were hitting in another league at the same level. Additionally, in general the level of competition at the PCL is lower than that in the Majors, so a hitter in the PCL would likely have lesser raw statistics in the Majors. EqA is thus useful to strip certain illusions from the surface of players' raw statistics.

 

EqA is a derivative of Raw EqA, or REqA. REqA is (H + TB + 1.5*(BB + HBP + SB) + SH + SF) divided by (AB + BB + HBP + SH + SF + CS + SB). REqA in turn is adjusted to account for league difficulty and scale to create EqA.

 

EqA is similar to Major League Equivalency (MLE), a metric developed by Bill James.

 

EqA has been used for several years by the authors of the Baseball Prospectus.

[Vinestal]

Id like a link to the article, I am a member but cant seem to find the article. Ive been fairly disapointed with my membership for the past year, it would be nice to read something interesting there for a change.

[Vinestal]

Ah nevermind I found it. It was a good read. He seems to think its not so far fetched an idea to play Pie in CF next year. He projects Pie as a Vernon Wells skill set type.

[don_kessinger_was_good]

I'd still trade Pie + Guzman for Rocco Baldelli, but that's just me. Pie is too raw and we need help now. I like the potential of a Murton, Baldelli, Soriano OF.

[mhuber92211]

I'd still trade Pie + Guzman for Rocco Baldelli, but that's just me. Pie is too raw and we need help now. I like the potential of a Murton, Baldelli, Soriano OF.

 

Err...if this was an option I think its a no brainer

[Lefty]

3) His EQA was .273 in '05, .261 in '06. Perfectly normal fluctuation.

 

His point wasn't just that this is a normal fluctuation, but that park effect had a lot to do with it.

 

No, EQA takes ballpark effects into account. Silver's point was that an element of the decline in his raw stats was ballpark and league related.