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Posted

I'll get to the fun stuff in a bit. I'll address a quick point, then come back to this topic later to address what was discussed in this thread.

 

I found this exceedingly well thought out and well written. It makes a lot of sense. Thank you.

 

Given this outlook and emphasis on walk rate, how does Scott Moore project?

 

Moore's problematic. As a third baseman, his value isn't too bad overall. 20-25 HRs isn't much of a stretch, walks at a decent rate, and can steal a few bases. There are plenty of third basemen in the league worse than that.

 

However, his defense is what could really hurt him. Apparently he's been improving on it recently, but if he can't stick at 3B and will be forced to move into the OF or 1B, his value plummets. All of a sudden, his offense doesn't look quite as good.

 

If he can stick at 3B, I like his chances.

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Posted
I'll get to the fun stuff in a bit. I'll address a quick point, then come back to this topic later to address what was discussed in this thread.

 

I found this exceedingly well thought out and well written. It makes a lot of sense. Thank you.

 

Given this outlook and emphasis on walk rate, how does Scott Moore project?

 

Moore's problematic. As a third baseman, his value isn't too bad overall. 20-25 HRs isn't much of a stretch, walks at a decent rate, and can steal a few bases. There are plenty of third basemen in the league worse than that.

 

However, his defense is what could really hurt him. Apparently he's been improving on it recently, but if he can't stick at 3B and will be forced to move into the OF or 1B, his value plummets. All of a sudden, his offense doesn't look quite as good.

 

If he can stick at 3B, I like his chances.

 

He makes alot of errors, but he was voted as the best defensive 3B in his league. Ron also said that there's no doubt in his mind that Moore's defense is ML quality.

Posted
I agree with everything Craig has said here.

 

also...

 

A quick note:

 

IsoD is dependent upon batting average. The IsoD of a player who has walked 30 times in 330 PA's depends upon the batting average he carries. If a hitter is batting .200 will have an OBP of (60+30)/330 = .272 and an IsoD of 0.072. A .300 hitter in those same circumstances will have an OBP of (90+30)/330 = .363 and an IsoD of 0.063.

 

So I prefer to use BB/PA to look at the ability of a player to get on base through walks.

 

This doesn't make any sense at all, but too many smart people are agreeing with it, so I'm going to have to read it 8 more times.

 

 

aaaaaaaaand now I get it.

Posted
Sum the hits via HR + the reasonably likely hits on balls in play, divide by the total number of AB's, and you come up with a reasonable batting average projection. Add the reasonable IsoD and you have a reasonable OBP projection. IT'S EASY!!

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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