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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Kelton/Montanez/Hill/Choi
  2. How can you earn a spot in semi-competitive exhibition games? You should know who your five best starting pitchers are going into next ST. Or at least have a darned good idea.
  3. The average NL 2b is OPSing .724 right now.
  4. Honest question: How much further could he project? On the one hand, his skill set doesn't seem to leave much room for massive improvement. I don't think he's ever going to draw a lot more walks than he does, and he'll add some power but will never be a great power hitter. On the other hand, guys who can excel in the major leagues at age 20 tend to be elite players. It's a really exclusive club.
  5. Nitpick: OPS isn't a statistic. It's a metric.
  6. New rule that all baseball fans should adopt: It's not really a potential no-hitter or perfect game until the 8th inning.
  7. I don't think that's true at all. If OBP and SLG existed on a "normalized" scale -- ie if you divided SLG by 4 -- then a point of SLG would be way more valuable than a point of OBP. The scale totally matters. Just off the top of my head, a point of OBP is typically considered to be worth 1.6 points of SLG. Do the math. It's coincidental that OBP is more valuable than slugging, but less than four times as valuable. It's not a function of the scales. Also, the relative value of OBP and SLG depends on the prevailing league environment. In higher and lower OBP environments, the relative value of SLG changes.
  8. not positive about this, but i don't think he's far, far more valuable. Using linear weights, I get the first guy as +0.36 runs per five plate appearances (+1.4 for the home run, -(4 x 0.26)=1.04 for the outs). The singles guy is worth +0.16 ((.47x2)-(.26x3)). 0.20 per 5 PAs is almost 3 wins per season. That's quite a bit.
  9. That's not really the reason. That's like saying dollars are worth more than yen because dollars come in denominations of up to $100 and and Yen up to 10,000. The scale has nothing to do with it. If you had $100 and 10,000 yen in your pocket, would you rather have me hand you one more dollar or one more yen? One more dollar. But the arbitrary number values assigned to the currency is only tangential to the reason. Maybe dollars and yen were a bad example. Let's try this one: Nigerian Naira come in denominations up to 1,000. Would you rather have 1 dollar or 10 Naira? Anyway, currency is probably a bad example all around, so let's try some baseball ones: Stolen base percentage is scaled to 1. SLG is scaled to 4. In which stat is a point more valuable? ERA is scaled to infinity, balk percentage is scaled to 1.
  10. That's not really the reason. That's like saying dollars are worth more than yen because dollars come in denominations of up to $100 and and Yen up to 10,000. The scale has nothing to do with it.
  11. I don't doubt for a second that McDonough or those who thought like him were behind the Soriano contract.
  12. Dude, you are young.
  13. Maybe $2 million if we squeeze things even tighter.
  14. Hahahahaha. What would Miami give up? I think they have some sort of first-rounder from a likely lottery team.
  15. Lots of crap gets huge ratings. That doesn't agree with you. I actually meant to delete that sentence before I hit post. That point is fully conceded.
  16. I'm assuming it'd be on TSN and I could stream it on channelsurfing.net or something.
  17. Okay, if the draft is okay because every team has a chance, then what are your feelings on televising the NBA draft lottery? As long as the team with the lowest odds win on occasion, it makes some sense that many people will have interest. But free agency destinations are too easily reported in advance and almost always way too narrow in scope to make this sort of thing work. Everybody knew he was going to the Heat before he went to the heat. It was the novelty and Lebron's unique stature that made this appointment viewing (for idiots). I just don't get this equation. LeBron or some other agent tells a reporter, reporter runs onto TV to tell us = okay LeBron tells a reporter on TV = not okay. It would have been better if it hadn't leaked, and if he'd announced that he would do this from the beginning, instead of dragging free agency out for a few days, but otherwise, I thought it was great. And the huge ratings seem to agree with me. I honestly think it would be cool if they did this more often. What if the Blackhawks had gotten Hossa that way?
  18. Okay, if the draft is okay because every team has a chance, then what are your feelings on televising the NBA draft lottery?
  19. They are idiots. Seabrook already makes $3.5 and they have $4.2 in dead cap space coming off the books next season. Seabrook is going nowhere.
  20. I hope so. That was awesome. Just stop. Honestly: What was wrong with it? As far as I can tell, people just get all up-in-arms about this sort of thing because they enjoy getting angry at rich celebrities. This is sports. We take things too seriously. Is a free agent announcing his signing on live TV worse than the NFL draft on live TV? Or breathless reports from football minicamps? Or 8 hours of Super Bowl pre-game shows? I hope more FAs do this in the future. It's the next logical step in sports.
  21. when my Heat win the title, I promise not to "woo" too much in front of you guys.
  22. I don't think Niemi can be offersheeted now that he's opted for arbitration. But I suspect he'll be a UFA after his arbitration hearing.
  23. Huet is being waived no matter what. He'll play in Rockford or he'll play in Europe. So if we don't re-sign Niemi, goal is gonna be a huge question mark. It will be if we re-sign Niemi. Niemi is some random dude from some lousy European league who barely beat out Corey Crawford in the preseason. He had two hot streaks, one early in the year and one in the SJ series, and now he's incredibly overrated. It's a buyer's market in goalies this offseason, a lot of vets available and a lot of teams wanting to go cheap and young. They'll find some cheap vet to go on board. I'd rather go with Corey Crawford as our starter than lose Hjalmarsson.
  24. I hope so. That was awesome.
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