Not that I can add anything to this already awesome thread, but here's the simple fact that so many dumb people don't get: The most important sabermetric discovery in the history of baseball was that random ish happens. Call it variance, luck, plexiglass principle, whatever, sabermetrics tells you that a whole lot of weird ish will happen during a baseball season that can't be predicted. Meanwhile, the anti-stathead crowd will act as if a baseball season is written in stone by God before a pitch was thrown. And then when something weird happens, they'll say "Ha, your computers didn't predict that!" and act smug, as if their entire point of view hadn't just been debunked.