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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    In the process of looking at the Cubs' defense numbers on the fangraphs team page, I see that they are crediting with Darwin Barney as +5 runs baserunning last year, and Campana as +10 runs defensively over average. Small ball!
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fielder certainly doesn't upgrade the defense. Brett Jackson, another year older for Starlin Castro, and possibly a new 3b will.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Again, the offense was already average and you'd be replacing an average 1B with a 1B who is a hell of a lot better. You also don't have to get rid of Ramirez. The offense isn't weak. It wasn't strong, but it could be if you replaced Pena with Pujols. The pitching staff was a problem. Some of it was health and when it comes to health it is very difficult to know what you are going to get. I'm not thinking they have much of a chance to turn into a potential #1 seed next year, but they should be able to field a contender. And there is no good reason to hope for another bad season when you can realistically hope to be at least decent for 6 months. I think if you could find a way to improve the defense, the pitching staff would suddenly look a lot better.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Who? Some random guy @jhar3337
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    $50 million seems a bit high.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm at the point where I think the new GM has already been hired, and next July we'll still be wondering who it is.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Cubs organizational infrastructure:
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    It doesn't mean anything, but this made me curious enough to look up Castro's similarity scores on B-R. He only has one similar player through age 21: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/templga01.shtml All the numbers next to Templeton are the rest of the 10 most similar. http://www.baseball-reference.com/friv/scomp_bat.cgi?I=castrst01:Starlin%20Castro&st=int&compage=21&age=21 That's a stupid way of doing it. I blame their web-site design for my own incompetence. No. 9 is awesome.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    It doesn't mean anything, but this made me curious enough to look up Castro's similarity scores on B-R. He only has one similar player through age 21: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/templga01.shtml
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yeah. Lieber was piling up huge pitch counts before his injury. The story was that he was a WorkHorse so it didn't matter. He really wasn't racking up huge pitch counts. The guy threw 90 pitch complete games. Looked it up, you are right. Memory playing tricks on me.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yeah. Lieber was piling up huge pitch counts before his injury. The story was that he was a WorkHorse so it didn't matter.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Boston's financial advantage isn't just seen in free agents. It's seen in their ability to combine it with their awesome farm system and make trades like Adrian Gonzalez.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    The Red Sox got more WAR from farm products than any of the playoff teams, including Tampa Bay. I don't think you can assume any one executive will copy an organizaton's success, but I see no reason not to pursue Epstein for that reason.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think he was right about the idea (that Ricketts intents to freeze or slightly lower MLB payroll while we invest in other areas, including Wrigley Field). Just wrong on the actual number.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think that whatever's going on behind the scenes is so quiet that we have no real idea what's going on. But if it were as simple as a flat "no," then there wouldn't be any need to keep it this quiet this long. My guess is he's either coming or he's going to Billy Beane us where he acts interested and then bails at the last minute.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Bringing this back on-topic, ish,... I get what you are saying now, but that's still not an entirely fair comparison. Cramming the same number of WAR into a smaller number of years has value. One 10-WAR season for $20 million is a lot better than 10 2-WAR seasons for $2 million. What are your thoughts on the difference between Castro's 3.4 fWAR figure and his 2.2 bWAR figure, and which do you think is closer to his real value? And more to the point, I'd be interested in hearing your thoughts on his defense. How bad is it right now, and if he follows a normal SS development curve, how fast will it get better?
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    What a crazy contrarian I am, taking stances that no one would ever seriously consider just to start arguments. Your Kyle Derangement Syndrome is showing.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    I have to admit that the tide of non-news is starting to clearly flow in one direction. It's amazing how little real stuff has leaked, though.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    You realize I made my stance in this thread before anyone disagreed.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    That makes sense.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    3.5 wins for $10 million seems like a pretty good value to me. The issue is, of course, the extra two-cost controlled years from Castro. well there's the issue that you're assuming no improvement from a player who's currently 21 years old. I'm assuming? I'm using your numbers. I just think there's value getting premium marginal wins out of a single roster spot. We'll be lucky if Castro ever develops into a player as valuable as Votto is right now. Yes, Castro is cheaper, but are we a big market team or aren't we?
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    3.5 wins for $10 million seems like a pretty good value to me. The issue is, of course, the extra two-cost controlled years from Castro.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Two wins? Not seven? I'm confused.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Just using the Fangraphs' value number for whatever little it is worth, Votto was more underpaid than Castro this year.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Castro isn't a really expletive good player yet. He projects well, but by the time he gets there, he probably won't be that cheap anymore. No, he'll still be cheap next year. No guarantees, but I'm pretty sure he'll still be a crappy defensive SS next year, too.
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