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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Cubs avoid hearing with 1-year, $9.5 million deal.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think that the problem is that even if we pay for Dempster, his salary still counts for their luxury tax quota.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Arbitration hearing is today. I'm very optimistic that the Cubs win, and that going through the process significantly improves his chances of being dealt.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    But we also have enough available money that if Theo and Jed want one or both enough, they can afford to overpay, perhaps more so than the other suiters. Even if it was something like 8/80, while its a high risk it's not high enough that it would hurt us in the long run. Of course it would hurt us in the long run if it failed. There's always an opportunity cost.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's a pretty big deal that we just signed a guy who automatically jumps into our top 10. May not be Cespedes or Soler, but I'm surprised that this thread hasn't blown up a bit more. There's just not much to be said about. He's a nice prospect, but he's got no stats to parse and the scouting all says pretty much the same thing about him.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's one.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    The organization is paying a large part of Zambrano's contract now while he plays for a competitor. I can't remember how much offhand but it is money that could have been used elsewhere more effectively. Grabow was terrible and barely pitched in his time here. I don't understand how you can defend either contract. First, Zambrano's contract wasn't just for 2012. It was also for 2008 and 2009 (where he was an excellent value), as well as 2010 (where he was about par for his contract). Second, for 2012, we got a pretty useful pitcher who is very underpaid in return for Zambrano, so you can't just count the entirety of Zambrano's contract as a negative without taking that into account.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'll just pick out this one thing off of the long, long list of incorrect points you made. Rizzo has been young for his age at every stop. So to the unsophisticated, his numbers at each look good but not great. But when you consider his age and progression, it's pretty darn impressive. He's consistently been the best young hitter in each league. His age 19 season OPS was the second best by any player 20 or younger in the league that year. His age 20 season OPS was the best by any player 21 or younger in the Eastern League that year. His age 21 season OPS was the second best by any player 23 or younger in the PCL that year. I'm really not sure what more you want from him. He's not a "franchise-changing bat" or whatever weird, made-up standard you want to use. But he's a darn good prospect who will very likely be a darn good, cost-controlled major leaguer very soon.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    That $800k is dependent on him making the team, surely?
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Precedent is the standard the Cubs want to use. Verbal agreement of "significant" is what the Red Sox are arguing. With Selig? Who knows who he'll agree with.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    you say that now, but when barney wins the mvp this year you'll be all like "SEE GUYS I ACTUALLY PREDICTED THIS BEFORE THE SEASON STARTED" Not going to happen, because Sappelt will split the Chicago voters.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Looking harder at Cardenas... meh. I think he can probably hit for a .680 OPS at the big leagues, something like 320 OBP/360 SLG. But his defense is supposed to be kinda fringey. There may be nothing in baseball more fungible than borderline middle infielders.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    It usually doesn't happen. But if it's something that is big enough to be national news and everyone's waiting on, like Darvish, it gets ridiculous.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think the main lesson here is that Darwin Barney should keep his wife away from Anthony Rizzo and Yoennis Cespedes.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    It wasn't meant to be a serious analysis. Sandberg >>>> Barney is kind of implied.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Nothing really to do with anything, but I stumbled across this slash today and found it very amusing. .261 .316 .351 .276 .313 .353 Anyone recognize those two slash lines?
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Oh yeah, I forgot about DeJesus. :( Sorry, Dave. I tried.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Just for fun, this is what it could look like by August: Sappelt/Jackson/Cespedes Stewart/Castro/Barney/Rizzo Soto If defense really does win championships, then we are great. If it takes some hitting too, well, then we still might be okay.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Oh man, if the manager uses this batter, there's a 67%* chance he makes an out. He could instead pinch-hit for him with this batter who only makes an out 64%* of the time. But then, if that batter drives in a run, there's a 4%* chance later in the game that he'll fail to make a defensive play that the guy he replaced would have made! I almost can't handle the drama! There'a a 0.3%* chance that the game, and thus the season, could hinge on this choice! * - all numbers made up
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    I would love all that stuff a whole lot more if variance didn't swallow up 99% of it.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    The difference is, the current grouping has much more upside.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think 25 is probably too much, but not by a ton. 15 is probably reasonable and 25 is within reach.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    The Marlins did this exact same routine with Pujols, then it turned out their offer kind of sucked despite all their posturing.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Rob's article pretty much nailed it. It's really hard to get your head around how bad of a baserunner Prince Fielder really is. In a good year, his bat is worth 50 runs above average, and his glove and baserunning give back about 15 of those. And he's been erratic enough as a hitter that you can't count on that 50.
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