Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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Well, sure, if that's true, then it'd be crazybuckets to trade for Hamels.
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And when you do, don't you want them to do something? I've never waved at a zoo animal and thought "Man, it sure would be awesome if they just sat there doing nothing."
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5 win catcher kyle schwarber CJ in Pedro mode.
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I have a feeling no matter who we pick, it's gonna be one of those where we look back in five years and laugh because one of the other guys is way better.
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And yet you did. That's a really weird way to fail.
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good point i never thought of that also did u no pitchers get injured have u read moneyball? The guy who wrote that traded Addison Russell for a starting pitcher, so why shouldn't we?
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I'll take that bet. And as always, you can't just take the best of 5 guys. It's not a better ball situation. You have to pick one, and send them out there, and if they suck you don't get those games back.
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lol You're getting Hamels for 4 or 5 years, Russell for 6.5. The years of control are almost identical, and Hamels is really good at baseball *right now*. How much longer will he be really good at baseball though? How guaranteed is it that Russell will be good at it? Prospects *never* bust, right?
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Rivero? Well, right now, we'd need every single infielder on the 40-man to make the team, and I think there's a really good chance that doesn't happen. Some crappy NRI is going to the bench.
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lol You're getting Hamels for 4 or 5 years, Russell for 6.5. The years of control are almost identical, and Hamels is really good at baseball *right now*.
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I'd probably do Russell for Hamels.
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But what if I think someone from off the 40-man makes the team? This is harder than I thought it would be. A ton of options. Outfielders: Coghlan, Fowler, Soler, Denorfia, Sweeney Infielders: Olt, Castro, Alcantara, Rizzo, La Stella, Herrera Catchers: Montero, Ross Starting rotation: Lester, Arrieta, Hammels, Hendricks, Jackson Bullpen: Rondon, Strop, Motte, Ramirez, Wada, Doubront, Rosscup
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I wish we were more serious about Hamels too. But, you know, Theo's grand experiment and all.
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I'm on Tinder. I don't swipe right on everybody, but I get a few hits even out here in the cornfields. It's like drafting in the 20th round. You try to convince yourself there's some thin upside play, try to overlook the flaws, nothing comes from it and you try again in a year.
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Please enlighten me on this massive list of players you have that fit your parameters, were promoted at similar ages to Javy, and have large K-rates but still really good triple slash lines. We're using hypotheticals because a meaningful sample size of these players don't exist and players who have posted K-rates as high as him are generally not OPSing near 1.000 and on pace to hit 60 HRs as 20 year old SS's in AA. I didn't put the "promoted at ages similar to Javy" qualifier on there, you did. And my point was that those players *don't* exist. The list of players who struck out as much as Javy did in the minors (not "almost as much") and went on to be successful major leaguers over the long haul appears to be zero. You can't ask me to produce a list when I said the list doesn't exist, that doesn't make sense. But the list of players who have had Javy's combination of power, age and position is also pretty close to zero. So we argue over and over and over again about which of the two factors is more important, when really we don't know and we're just waiting to see.
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hey you're getting really close to recognizing what the real point is. good job good effort. also that is not an imaginary pedro alvarez. nicely done. The point is also offseasons are long.
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I'm saying the already tiny sample size you're confining this to is skewed because almost no successful high-K players are ever in AAA/MLB at 21, where they would most certainly would have posted Javy Baez-esque K-rates. Hey, let's drop George Springer into AAA at 21 instead of almost-24 and see if his k-rate isn't over 35%. Pedro Alvarez is dropping near 30% k-rates in AAA at 24 years old. If Javy duplicates Alvarez's best offensive season to date in the majors, he'd be the 7th best offensive 2B in the MLB and the 4th rated offensive SS in all of baseball by wRC+. I just think Javy being 6 years younger than the average AAA pitcher while showing linear improvement in his monthly K-rate there is enough to pump the bust brakes until further notice. * edited to take a point out I made about Yelich because I got my years switched up. So Hypothetical Non-Existent George Springer is a good comp for Javy, and Imaginary Pedro Alvarez Who Strikes Out More Than Real Pedro Alvarez Did.
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So basically, pretty much nobody ever has succeeded in the majors after striking out as much as Javy did in the minors, but also he's insanely young and a lot of guys have gotten a lot better from where they are at his age, so there's still plenty to hope on. Got it.
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I'm not one of those but I think it's pretty clear they see him becoming Mike Olt, Brett Jaxon, etc. Player A- First major league season 153 PA, 46K, .141 AVG, .242 SLG, at age 21. Player B- First major league season 229 PA, 95K, .169 AVG, .324 SLG, at age 21. I'm just not ready to give up on Player B as quickly as so many others seem to be, mainly because of how well Player A turned out. Player B is Baez and Player A is Rizzo. The same can be said for Almora. He's been young for the average age at every stop in the minors, and giving up on him now is just too soon. Hey look it's a big list of stats that have little or nothing to do with why people are worried about Baez.
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Little league Champs
Hairyducked Idiot replied to Crack Wilson's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Holy crap is this thing bringing out a lot of stupid flying from all directions. A pox on all of them. -
The reason batting the pitching 8th works is two-fold: 1) The loss you would normally see from moving an inferior hitter up in the lineup and getting an extra PA every 9 games is negated by pinch-hitting. 2) The 9th spot interacts with the 1-3 spots, allowing for better clustering of positive results. It's an incredibly tiny effect, but it's real.
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Yeah, it wasn't a total wash. But I think we'd all be pretty disappointed if all we got out of all this hype was 3 playoff years, two of which were only tangentially connected to all these prospects.
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High-strikeout bats.
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That's why they respond. It's like throwing a bum a quarter. Just a regular bum. Not Da Bum. He doesn't need your quarters with all that sweet oil patch money. Here, I'll save people some trouble googling. This is the one I use on dating sites: (spoilered for size and general unaestheticness)
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That news broke in Jan. 2002, before the list. Here's the actual blurb from the 2002 list on Cruz: "6 Juan Cruz, rhp, Cubs So he's two years older than previously thought. So what? Has tremendous stuff and showed the moxie to pitch well in a pennant race in first taste of the majors. ETA: 2002"