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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's kinda funny about the Brewers, because if you look at their depth chart by Steamer: http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=23 They get absolutely *nothing* outside of the first string (8 hitters, 5 SP, 3 RP). Gerardo Parra is the only player outside of those 16 that projects to be even a little bit useful. The Cubs pick up a couple of wins easily with their second and third tiers.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's really hard to have a bad team with Lester and Rizzo, so long as you don't incompetently fill out the rest.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    My capacity for fun will be too overloaded by the god mode to care what happened in this thread.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Keep fighting the good fight, guys. You've been losing it for nearly a decade now, but maybe someday...
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Derwood was getting attention and I got jealous. lol - and here I was ascribing a more noble purpose. It's like when your older kid scrapes his knee and gets a bandaid, and your younger kid just falls on the ground holding his knee and yelling.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Derwood was getting attention and I got jealous.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Just because you're doing this...effects. Effects is a verb meaning creates. It makes no grammatical sense to use a verb as the object of the preposition "plus," and what would it even be creating?
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    We've had deflation more recently than we've had a Theo Epstein playoff win and people get mad if you don't predict the latter in the next 14 years.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    Kyle being Kyle. You also have to account for the fact that Rand Paul or someone like him will be President and we are probably going gold standard.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Not really. There has only been 1 period of deflation in the US since the 40's. 2008 - 2009. Easiest example of the present value of money is a lottery pay out. You win $100 million, they either give you $10mill a year over 10 years or a lump sum of 60 million (I'm fudging the amount). you can read the posted link if you want the calcs. They're taking advantage of the known dumbness of lottery winners to cheat them out of $40m plus possible deflationary affects.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    ??? 1) count the number of years with inflation and deflation and defend those being equally likely Then we're due for deflation. Regression to the mean.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Everyone's assuming inflation and interest. But that's only half the equation. It is equally likely that there will be a deflationary period and backloading will end up costing them a lot more.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yep, opening up the blackout zones leads to smaller cable deals. I really don't see how this follows. Channels bidding for Cubs games are not bidding more because people in Iowa are screwed entirely rather than having MLB.tv only as an option. They are partially bidding for the Cubs because of their ability to sell themselves or sublet the games to media outlets in Iowa.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Have fun guys.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I stupidly, stubbornly want to see Edwin Jackson win the fifth starter job. Regression to the mean plus pitch-framing magic = resurgent usefulness! I can't come up with any way to avoid it: Our best Opening Day 25, minus Bryant, has to include Mike Olt. I think I'd place our playoff odds right now on the good side of 50%.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Jed once called Darwin Barney part of the core. Sometimes he just says stuff because it's his job to say stuff and he doesn't care what he says.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    So are we a 3-4 team now?
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    The issue isn't the slash line, it's the contact. When Rizzo had his bad callup in San Diego, he whiffed on 31% of his swings, which is toward the bottom of what is acceptable for a MLB power hitter. Baez last year in the majors whiffed on 40.8% of his swings. That would make most pitchers blush. And it's a continuation of a problem we already knew he had. It's really hard to find guys who went on to successful MLB careers with K-rates as high as Baez's in the minors. Even guys like Reynolds and Dunn made more contact in the minors. But all that said, the *good* news is that he's insanely young. I really don't think more AAA would set back his development at all.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Dammit, I'm sold. Fowler with OK defense is like a 3-4 win player, too. We're winning this division.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    So how long until we are good at defense?
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm really trying to convince myself the defense thing won't be a problem. Baseball-Reference lists him as a -27 run defender in his career at home and -7 on the road (based on plays made, excluding arm). It was actually positive on the road before a -13 this year. One of the blogs noted that UZR *hated* DeJesus's CF defense for the four years before he came to the Cubs, then thought it was alright with us. Everyone seems to agree his arm sucks, though.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Depends on if it has been well fed with nacho cheese sauce and thick onion gravy.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    It doesn't make much sense why he was tendered a contract. Wood that is Because he has trade value.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Wood traded, Wada to the pen, everyone else cut or sent down as needed. Only Hendricks can be sent down. Then waive them. Oh no, please don't take my Jacob Turner or Felix Doubront.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Blackhawks and White Sox are pretty easily. White Sox are the worst now that the Bears are fixed.
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