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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. This guy seems pretty convincing, like he knows what he's talking about. He gives reasonable caveats that he could he wrong, but his guess is MCL and high ankle sprain, which depending on severity would mean missing significant time but not necessarily season ending
  2. This angle shows what looks like the knee popping?
  3. Commenters seem to think you can see the knee buckle? Looks like ankle to me but I'm not a legologist.
  4. Love looks to be in significant pain with 5 seconds left. Was helped off the field and was visibly hobbling but putting weight on both legs. Looked like maybe an ankle rolled on?
  5. Wilson has been downgraded to questionable for the Steelers opener. There's no way he makes it through the season. Fields is gonna get his shot, such as it is.
  6. In the fallout of the cheating accusations a few years ago, Nieman has carved out a role for himself as an internet troll bro darling, saying pointlessly stupid things in the name of "controversy" and insisting that he's being blackballed from top events because they're scared of him and not because he's a fringe superGM with a history of cheating. Carlsen is absolutely carving him up and it's so satisfying.
  7. Speed chess champions are back around with the semifinals today. Nakamura vs Firouzja going on right now, long-awaited Carlsen vs Niemann later. The technical issues with the broadcast are piling up, but I have to admit this is way more entertaining than classical. Waiting 20 minutes for a single move just isn't fun. Firouzja is in real good shape as I type, up 3 about halfway through the match. Everyone assumes Nakamura can make it up in the bullet section but I'm not so sure. Edit: Damn, 20 minutes later and it's gone from 3 to 6 points before we even get to bullet. FIroujza is blowing him off the board. This feels like when the old champion boxer finally loses it and just gets pummeled.
  8. I got so used to the PWHL nameless branding that it'll almost feel weird to move past it. My NHL rooting interest is the Ducks, who are in theory on the upswing of a rebuild but the upswing never seems to come no matter how much young talent they add. I'm hoping for a Zegras trade, he's overrated as hell. Meanwhile, I'm back in net. I have a friend who wanted to play adult rookie hockey and since he's trans, I didn't want him in a strange locker room not knowing anyone. So every Saturday night I'm dragging my 42-year-old beachball body with abnormally stubby legs down to the rink and feeling guilty stopping people who can barely stand up on skates and whack at the puck at the same time.
  9. I know it's a bit hypocritical because I'm 100% sold on Williams, but I feel like the world is becoming way too optimistic on rookie/young QBs. 9 first rounders plus Levis (first pick of the second round) have entered the league in the last 2 years and I believe all of them are starting except McCarthy, who got hurt. Most of them are going to suck. A couple of them will end up being good, and it's hard to tell which ones, but forgive me if I'm not scared of Will Levis or excited for the Bronocs to be starting Bo Nix. There's literally not enough room in the league for all these QBs to be good.
  10. Anything's possible, especially in the first game of the season, but if we have to be scared of Will Levis then pack it up
  11. It did get a bit rambly Bullet points; Modern I0Ã qbs are usually pretty good, offense should be pretty good Defense might have been overrated late last year but has a chance to grow into reputation
  12. Why waste time type many letters when few do trick
  13. From now on i'm typing it oneohah
  14. Yeah, it's hard to make hard predictions about any NFL season because it's such a high-variance sport. A single flukey bounce can change a win or loss, and each game is 6% of your season. Then throw in injuries, an NFL season is a meat-grinder and the team you take into week 9 may not be the team you started with. This team in particular is even harder to predict. Maybe I'm being a huge homer, but I don't think Williams is the downside risk. He might not be the Patrick Mahomes 2.0 of our dreams, but I don't see how he's noticeably worse than Kyler Murray (3722 yards, 20 TDs, 12 INTs as a rookie) or Baker Mayfield (3725, 27/14 in 13 starts). Bryce Young (2877 12/10) was pretty bad but I don't think he was on Williams' level as a prospect. The last 10A to really crap the bed as a rookie was Goff, who was widely considered to be "not nfl ready" going into his rookie season. My main concern is that we need to see steps forward for our big 2022/23 draft classes and we may or may not see that. I'm a big believer that at most positiosn for most prospects (i.e. not Williams-level superstars), year 2 and 3 is when you find out if you hit on the spot or not. That covers: Gordon, Brisker, VJJ, Braxton Jones, Robinson, Thomas, Wright, Dexter, Stevenson, Pickett, Scott. I think all those guys have shown that they can be some sort of contributor if the NFL, but we don't really know how good, and we'll find out this season if they're actually good in their roles or just kinda there. If this team falls apart, I think it's the defense that is the most likely culprit. It's sort of right on the cusp where if those guys take steps forward it could be really good, but it could also fall apart. The defensive line is praying that Sweat can draw double teams *and* be productive, because there's not much else there unless some of those 2nd/3rd year guys take an unexpectedly good step forward. I think Bears fans overrate the non-Johnson secondary: Gordon, Brisker, Stevenson. It was definitely exploitable in coverage last season. But again, those guys are in that "could take a step forward" category, and if they do, it *could* be one of the best secondaries in the league. But if they don't, then it's not. Actually, I guess I'm talking myself into this team more than I planned to when I started this post. I don't really care if the defense is disappointingly average or even a little below average. Screw defense. I have a very hard time seeing this offense being anything but solid absent wide-spread injuries or a Caleb Williams season-ender, and it's an offense-driven league. I have a hard time seeing this team win fewer games than last year.
  15. The Bears reddit has a discord with a guy who does a stream of the game that's always HD and reliable.
  16. My first instinct was that 19 seems a bit low, but I guess it's probably fair.
  17. The reason you don't see "good player for good player" trades is because MLB players are super fungible and every team has the same needs: hitting, pitching and defense. You can shift guys around on the defensive spectrum a bit to fit in everyone easily. Runs are runs, there's no inherent value in balance. 10 runs prevented is the same value as 5 runs scored and 5 runs prevented. So there's not going to be very many situations where a player's value in present-day wins varies noticeably when switching teams. The only major differences will be in how much teams value present-day wins.
  18. Blasingame is already back on the roster. You never know which cuts they mean and which ones are procedural at this time of year.
  19. Now, I fully expect Reed to be out of the league in two years, but I do like our apparent plan of bringing in random young QBs every year and letting them hang around on the slim chance that they turn into something.
  20. I know I'm just out of step with how fans enjoy sports, but the annual "people fall in love with preseason heroes" schtick has been amped up 1000% due to hard knocks and I'm glad we won't be on it again anytime soon. Ian Wheeler was a 7th string rb who wasn't even going to make the practice squad, and his acl tear perversely lets him spend a year on an nfl team's payroll that he wouldn't have gotten otherwise. Tyson Bagent was terrible last season. We saw a handful of good throws this preseason that make me optimistic he might have improved enough to be an adequate backup, but he's nowhere near being on any teams' radar as a potential starter. Austin reed is a completely standard 4th string qb that every team keeps around for a year or two then cuts for a younger version. Bears reddit was circlejerking about how you can tell our wr depth is better because "Collin johnson would have been our wr4 last year.". (We had Johnson most of last year on our practice squad.)
  21. The idea of "cashing in" on Bagent is hilarious and awful. I knew this would happen with Hard Knocks but it's still obnoxious. Tyson Bagent is a really cool story and seems like a fun guy in the heavily edited HBO documentary that tries to make football players seem like fun guys. He was brutal in the NFL last season. It was good play for a udfa rookie from a d-ii school, but it wasn't even good play for a backup. It was interesting because he showed a sharp contrast to some of fields' flaws that made it harder for some people to ignore, but it was awful I thought maybe i was too high on him because i think if they work on his mechanics he could become an actually good back up someday, and maybe there's like a 1% chance he becomes somebody important someday because that happens with qbs sometimes and nobody fully understands why. But cash in on him? There's nothing to cash in on. He might not even be an average backup right now, give or take how much he improved in the offseason. He made like two good plays in the preseason. Nobody's giving you a fourth for tyson bagent.
  22. I suppose I have to pretend this is about the conditional pick the Bears are owed, but Wilson has all but formally won the QB competition (not that there ever was one) in Pittsburgh, playing five snaps with the starters then dipping in the final preseason game.
  23. Not every move needs to be analyzed. Some things are just perfunctory roster filling that every team does. It's not good or bad.
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