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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    A succinct description of Cubs fans' attitudes about this regime for the last four years. hahaha you [expletive] loser *shrug*
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    A succinct description of Cubs fans' attitudes about this regime for the last four years. this doesn't work anymore Sure it does. We won one playoff berth. Two more to tie Hendry. /vlahos
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    A succinct description of Cubs fans' attitudes about this regime for the last four years.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    In four years of constant waiver shuffling, the only player of any consequence that has emerged has been Valbuena, unless I'm just completely spacing out and missing someone. One free Valbuena every four years isn't nothing, but let's not overpraise the situation. I know it isn't a waiver claim but wasn't Rondon a Rule V pick? And how did we acquire Coghlan, was he just an outright FA? Rule 5, but otherwise yes on both.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    In four years of constant waiver shuffling, the only player of any consequence that has emerged has been Valbuena, unless I'm just completely spacing out and missing someone. One free Valbuena every four years isn't nothing, but let's not overpraise the situation.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'll vote none. We shop Baez and Soler hard all off-season, but the pitching market never materializes and we hold on to them.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm kind of guessing we don't trade either. As Gato mentioned in the other thread, part of why Boston gave up so much for Kimbrel is that they'd been dangling those guys for starting pitchers and didn't seem like anyone was interested in trading young, high-quality pitching. I think we'd *like* to make a Baez or Soler for great young pitcher trade, but I'm not sure we'll find anyone to give us what we want, and this front office loves pulling the "Fine, we'll just run with what we have" card.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yep. Sounds right.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    In the current MLB environment, being 23 is not that far off of the peak of the aging curve. Two consecutive posts with very funny ways of phrasing Teheran's age without actually stating it, because actually stating it would undermine the implication being attempted. He was 24 all of last season. ETA: Which isn't to say I expect a lot of improvement from Teheran either. I'm looking at him as a 2-win guy who has the benefit of some unlikely but tantalizing upside.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Given the SteamerJavy to ActualJavy conversion rate we've seen for the last two years, that means he'll be worth roughly -0.7 WAR.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's roughly double what Soler and Baez put up combined. You can't demand other team's assets be valued at a "What they are now" rate while ours get heavy bonuses for their potential. I'd have zero problem with Baez for Teheran. Soler for Teheran is kinda close, but I'd want something else useful coming back to even it out. Either for Ross feels like a steal.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Part of that is the "everyone stays perfectly healthy and productive" fantasyland of using the Steamer600 projections, but yes, this team is really really good on paper. At a glance, easily the best in the division and right with the Dodgers.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ugh, fine. I guess put Almora in CF, I can't figure out who else from the list to put in there. Schwarber (3.2)/Almora (0.6)/Soler(1.4) Bryant (5.2)/Russell (2.5)/Castro (1.6)/Rizzo (4.6) Montero (2.0) Arrieta (5.0)/Lester (4.4)/Hendricks (3.5)/Hammel (2.5)/Johnson (0.9) Now the tricky part is how to address the bench and pen, considering these projections are based on the assumption that the starters except for catcher all get 600 PA and the rotation guys all throw 200 innings. I'm going to be super lazy and just use the 2014 totals for fWAR from players outside our top 8 position players (-0.2) and bullpen (5.0). So add it all up, and you get 42.2. Replacement-level is 47.5, so that projects these Cubs to 89.7 wins. That goes up when you add offseason acquisitions, then down when you come out of the fantasy world where everyone is healthy.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I dunno, but some highlights for me include Barret Loux being our fifth-best pitcher and Dan Vogelbach projecting to be a positive baserunner.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    im not sure kyle losing his virginity fits in this thread Taking longer is just inefficient, like watching movies on anything more than a laptop screen.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    *shrug* I think he probably did it. Most people who are accused did. This is how I always expected to end, because outside of extreme cases these things are essentially impossible to prove. I'm never going to look at Kane the same way, and I haven't been watching the Blackhawks this year because I don't feel like rooting for him. I'm sure I'll get over it by the second round of the playoffs, and assuage my guilt with the possibility that he didn't do it.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    you're older than me and somehow you started rooting for chicago sports teams after me and missed the whole bulls dynasty? that is so sad sack kyle. I just don't like basketball. I try sometimes, but I don't.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Kane's goal in 2010 is the easy winner. First championship from any team I was rooting for. Mike Brown's interception return for a TD against he 49ers was a top one.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Oh god why did I read the comments.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    What do you think it might be? He makes a pretty compelling case that it's *something* (e.g. they have no incentive to artificially inflate that number, just the opposite), and his educated guess makes some sense to me. Add a dozen well paid people, a few more coaches/instructors, whatever they're paying Bloomberg for that MLB system, fitting all the minor league parks for live video and maintaining that infrastructure, the annual commitments for the Dominican academy and Mesa renovation, etc. That might not be $40 million but it's probably a chunk of change. The other potential contributor that makes sense to me is IFA and/or draft spending. Those player salary values look pretty light to my eyes, to the point where it seems almost impossible that they're including bonuses(and penalties) to Top 10 picks and IFA. That wouldn't be 40 million either(IFA isn't so big and the Cubs weren't draft cheapskates before), but I could see a combo of that and front office scaffolding being the biggest part of that increase. The "combination" explanation seems a lot more plausible.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm not completely prepared to take it for granted that just because there's $40m the writer can't account for, that it must be those kinds of expenses.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    I really wanna go back and read all those articles on the Wil Myers trade.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    There's never any value in those things, but I kind of like Twins at +4000.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's almost as dumb in the other direction as b2b is being in his.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Jorge Soler stirs up feelings inside me I am not prepared to confront, so I lash out.
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