Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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80 wins? 80 wins, yet somehow get into the playoffs? Good chance 80 wins takes the central in 09 I think 80 wins is exremely pessimistic though. I think the Cardinals are a good bet to get to 81, especially if that looks like it's enough to win the division and they make a midseason acquisition. And of course, combining the Cardinals, 81-81 and a playoff berth is a sure way to an 11-game postseason win streak.
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Dumb play, mistake, flaw in judgment, like I said its all a matter of the adjective you want to use. Be honest, you didn't really read his post, did you?
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i love how people make that "thrown out at 2nd base on a walk" thing into some completely idiotic move. didn't he just overslide the bag or something? oversliding the bag isn't idiotic? It was a mistake. It happens more than people let on. I don't really see how it's "idiotic". i think it's pretty stupid. if you think about it, he's got about a 7 foot span to stop himself and still be on the bag. just one of the many stupid thing he did during his time here. i'll always remember him firing balls into the first few rows behind the visitor's dugout. The ability to throw accurately isn't mental.
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i love how people make that "thrown out at 2nd base on a walk" thing into some completely idiotic move. didn't he just overslide the bag or something? Yep, so they're not even right. He was thrown out going from 2nd to 3rd. At least Ryan Theriot is a smart baserunner. i thought the "Theriot is a smart baserunner" stuff stopped after last season when he made numerous baserunning blunders (and I'm not even talking about CS) He was just being aggressive.
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The fact that it makes sense in no way means the Cubs will be doing it.
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Wood's leverage index was 1.73 by BP's reckoning last season, the highest on the team by a good margin. The ninth inning with nobody on base and a one-run lead is a very high-leverage situation. And there is a big dropoff between what we got from Wood last season and what we can expect from Gregg. And you know this how?
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wait, are we being contracted next year? I'm not saying this is correct but wouldn't we want to compare Heilman to Marquis or Marshall (if he gets traded)? If that is so than I would rather have Marquis and Marshall. Is Heilman starting? If so, then yes, that's a problem.
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wait, are we being contracted next year? Did I say "this is the only relevant factor for evaluating the deal?" Maybe there was a glitch in the internet and that showed up in your version of the post, but I don't think I typed it.
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For 2009, who is a better pitcher, Heilman or Olson? I'm saying Heilman.
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Not even remotely close to being true. Even if it were close in raw numbers (and it isn't), losing Wood in high-leverage situations (or rather, having Marmol move into his spot and losing him in high-leverage situations), makes it much, much worse.
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Quantity of prospects is overrated in trades. Baseball players the far left of a bell curve, and the worse they get the more plentiful they are. I'll take one good prospect over 5 iffy ones.
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Olson is 25 and Cedeno is about to be 26. By most reckonings, they are in their primes right now, and not very good. The only problem here is that Hendry, as you more or less said, can't tell that cheap mediocrity is better than expensive mediocrity.
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One of the worst things about being a scout and not a stathead is that you can't tell the difference between mediocre and good.
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Money. But aren't reports out there saying we have $9 million to spend to get to our rumored $140 million budget, and are currently looking for a utility player to backup the IF positions? Even if that $9 million figure is incorrect, the fact that we are going to pay someone $2-3 million to backup 3B and 1B, while spending whatever we spent on Aaron Miles, it just doesn't make sense. Hendry must have learned that the Padres aren't trading Peavy or that it is actually a longshot. There were also rumors that the Cubs were at their payroll ceiling, and those rumors were roundly dismissed in favor of the ones that were more ... favorable. It doesn't make a ton of sense, but it's right up Hendry's alley.
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To make payroll room for Bradley and give Fontenot a chance to start full-time.
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Since Olson had to be an obvious prelude to a Peavy trade, does this mean Peavy is going to Seattle?
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"according to major-league sources" isn't official, just quibbling.
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The Cubs were 24-20 in games started by Jason Marquis, Rich Hill, or Sean Gallagher last season. You start replacing the level of production we got from those guys to any random schmoe, you can easily drop a half-dozen games in the standings.
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http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN200806020.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/FLO/FLO200808150.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CHN/CHN200808210.shtml Three games in which Zambrano's offense contributed to a run, and the Cubs won by one.
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Last three seasons Batters faced: 356, 352, 356 Home runs: 5, 8, 10 Walks: 28, 20, 46 K's: 73, 63, 80 His K's shot up, but so did his BBs and HRs, which to me says control problems. Fangraphs doesn't show any drop in average velocity, but for some reason he started throwing his slider a bunch at the expense of his changeup, but I don't know if that's for real or an artifact of the way the pitches are charted. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1751&position=P#advanced Undiscovered elbow injury?
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I would love to start a site along the lines of: http://isitchristmas.com/ only instead, it would be: http://whatarmdoesaaronheilmanthrowwith.com
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Manning up. He definitely sucks at manning up.
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What happened to him last year? What made him fall off a cliff like that?
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Well, remember, rumors that say the Cubs *are* getting Peavy go in the "credible" pile, rumors that say he aren't go in the "obviously lying or incompetent" pile.
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Buy low on Ben Sheets?
Hairyducked Idiot replied to JonnyRed's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
If Sheets is definitely hurt *now*, it's not a bargain. It's not a matter of injury-proneness, it's whether or not he is currently and actually injured and unable to pitch.