Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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I was supporting your point.
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indeed. btw, where did you find those numbers? I think they come from fangraphs.com
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It's not like he's a bad hitter on 0-1. His career line on 0-1 is .350/.365/.670 and that's in a decent sample of 575 plate appearances. It's when he gets to two strikes that he tends to suffer...like most hitters do. That's just at-bats that end on 0-1. After an 0-1 count overall, he's .242 .271 .423. League average this year .227 .272 .344 So he's more or less the same amount better than league average 0-1 as he is overall.
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I'm not ruling out the idea that the Cubs' offense was inconsistent, but I'd like to see an analysis that doesn't count a 3-run game and a 0-run game equally.
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Why not? Drop a few games due to plexiglass principle, drop a few more because your key offensive players are all past their primes, drop a few more because of bad offseason moves (whether budget-related or just dumb), and boom, you are now a mid-80s win team. Other recent 97+ win teams in the NL: 2006 NY Mets: Haven't won 90 games since. 2000s Cardinals: Consistently great for a lot of years 2003 Giants: Went from 100 wins to 91 to sub. 500 every year since 2002 Braves: Gentle decline after their last 100-win season at the end of the dynasty 2002 Diamondbacks: Awesome to mediocre to bad pretty quickly. Going quickly to mediocrity or worse is certainly a possibility for great teams.
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And while picking it back up is the most likely option, a serious decline in age 33 season for a guy with a ton of miles on his legs isn't exactly unheard of.
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So compared to the Red Sox, the Cubs had one extra "3 or lower" game per every 15 games. That doesn't seem real likely to swing a playoff series.
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The 2008 Cubs had 13 wins while scoring three runs. This was tied for 2nd in MLB. They had 3 wins when scoring 2 runs, tied for 17th. They were one of 12 teams to not win any 1-0 games. They were part of a 30-way tie for first with no wins when being shut out. It doesn't seem to me that they were particularly bad at winning games when scoring 3 or less, compared to other MLB teams and not imaginary clutch ones.
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http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/joshuvo01.shtml
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Frustrated team, White Sox series, Zambrano on the mound. http://www.mutantreviewers.com/rsportsnight6.jpg These guys do believe we have ourselves the makings.
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It's one thing to have a stupid goal. It's another thing to have a stupid goal and fail at it. From the "entirely predicable" department. Our right-handed hitters are more or less holding their own with the league average, though not keeping up with last year's Cubs. Our left-handed hitters are completely failing the team. It's hard to put together a collection of MLB hitters that fail to take advantage of the platoon advantage that badly. Some split stats: as RH batter vs. RH pitcher 2009 NL .253 .317 .395 2009 Cubs .257 .315 .422 2008 Cubs .281 .352 .443 as RH batter vs. LH pitcher 2009 NL .266 .343 .425 2009 Cubs .260 .359 .418 2008 Cubs .300 .377 .469 as LH batter vs. RH pitcher 2009 NL .261 .347 .408 2009 Cubs .235 .327 .370 2008 Cubs .259 .346 .443 as LH batter vs. LH pitcher 2009 NL .238 .313 .384 2009 Cubs .167 .230 .318 2008 Cubs .233 .315 .320
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Deadspin.com take on Wrigley Field
Hairyducked Idiot replied to mjohnson71's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Cribbed from other parks. The experience of sitting out in the sun, drinking beer and watching the sporting event with other fans in non-assigned seating? That's duplicated all over the world in almost every sport. Fair point, but if you aren't sitting in them, I'm not sure how it affects your experience. Don't like it, personally. Falls under the category of "old for old's sake." Almost every park does this. That was on my list of things I do agree is awesome about Wrigley. They've been doing this for awhile. I've never had a problem being distracted at sporting events unless I wanted to be, but others' mileage may vary. Wrigley also cribbed this. Don't think I've had one, can't comment. My point here isn't that people shouldn't like Wrigley. It's just that it's a mixed bag, and there's room for people to believe the positives outweigh the negatives, and there's room for the other way around. -
Combined weighted runs above average for Cubs hitters, from fangraphs: Fukudome +7.1 Ramirez +6.3 Lee +3.5 Theriot +1.1 Fox +1.1 Scales +1.1 Johnson +1.0 Hill +0.5 Hoffpauir -0.7 Soriano -0.8 Bradley -0.9 Gathright -1.9 Fontenot -2.0 Blacno -2.3 Freel -2.5 Soto -6.4 Miles -9.7 So it looks to me like you have three things you can do: 1) Pray that Bradley, Soriano and Soto suddenly remember how to hit. 2) Get Aaron Miles the all-holy-heck out of the lineup. 3) Tattoo on your arm "I will not build a lineup where almost all of my key hitters are 31+ ever again" Realistically, there's just not much they can do but hope guys hit.
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Re: The Central gets NO repect!
Hairyducked Idiot replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in General Baseball Talk
The division is a combined three games over .500. Can't be that bad. -
I hope that was a typo. I'm getting old. The years all run together.
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This team, with the backloaded contracts and the guys in their early 30s, is more or less stuck. They couldn't blow it up and start over even if they wanted to, which they don't. They won't be sellers. At worst, if things don't get better, they stand pat and try for 2011. If anything, they could be that team that doesn't look like they are in it but are inexplicably buyers.
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Veteranness.
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A Cubs loss here would be, I believe, the first time two games under .500 since 0-2 to start 2008. 3-9 under all take you back to June 2007.
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http://www.fangraphs.com/lgraphs/290614116_Twins_Cubs_131199492_lbig.png
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This may have already been answered, but when did the Twins get Brendan Harris? What was the deal?
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06/02 - 06/13 AB R H 2b 3b HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS BABIP P/PA IsoD RBI% Soriano 46 4 8 3 0 2 2 6 12 0.174 0.269 0.370 0.639 0.188 3.71 0.095 0.000 That's actually better than I would have guessed.
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We didn't.
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Record someone saying "A breaking pitch low and away with two strikes will probably get him," and attach that to a button in the booth. Train a parrot to hit the button every time the count gets to two strikes. Get the parrot to say "I should be a GM" at random intervals. Voila - you have Steve Stone in your booth for a fraction of the cost.
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Can't know if it'll fit in the budget until the sale goes through.
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The zone has been established and its everywhere. Like I said swing the bat, but it still is a terrible zone. I don't think it was *that* bad. But no one wants to hear me lecture about TV angles again :)