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vance_the_cubs_fan

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Everything posted by vance_the_cubs_fan

  1. Baseball Prospectus allows premium users to set up a system using PECOTA.
  2. Link There's still a chance for more Lima Time in 2006.
  3. Dunn HASN'T done anything (no pun intended) to show he is a "difference maker". He hasn't improve the Reds since he's been there (granted not many players could improve that team). Granted Dunn hits a few out, and walk a few times, but in no way would I consider Dunn a "difference maker" until he proves it. What else exactly would he have to do to be a difference maker? How about becoming....I don't know....a COMPLETE player? Or...helping the Reds WIN MORE GAMES....maybe.....doing those things. No doubt Dunn is a GIFTED POWER THREAT, but having power doesn't mean he is a "difference maker." Who would you consider to be a difference maker? uh........Albert Pujols.....Alex Rodriguez....Barry Bonds? I'm sorry if I don't view Dunn as "God's golden boy of baseball," but I am not at all convince he would be the "final" piece to a puzzle, a great piece, just not the "final" piece. Arod can't be a difference maker! He didn't make a difference all those years in Texas!
  4. I'd rather not give away outs by doing too much bunting from the number two spot.
  5. No one is saying Lee isn't a difference maker, but to argue that a player who puts up a 900 OPS isn't a difference maker is a ridiculous statement. By using success of the team as the mark of difference maker, then no player on a losing team can be a difference maker. By that argument, Arod wasn't a difference maker until he joined the Yankees. By that argument, Vlad wasn't a difference maker until he joined the Angels. By that argument, Tejada was a difference maker, joined the Orioles and now he no longer is one. That's about as assinine argument as I've heard in awhile.
  6. I'm of the opinion that Ponson is the third McKenzie brother.
  7. I couldn't get on earlier today, but it seems better now.
  8. Tastes like chicken.
  9. http://www.mustangmods.com/data/10900/brilliant.jpg BRILLIANT!
  10. It will always be Dunn for me....that is until Cabrera approaches free agency. :P
  11. Most teams see his line of 221/295/376 from last year and wonder if he has anything left. Considering his age, rapid decline, and suspicion of steroids many have concluded that is all you will get from Sosa. Also, Sosa doesn't seem to have let go of the ego...so no one is going to put up with an ego and take a chance at that kind of production.
  12. Dunn led the Reds with 28 Win Shares. 6 more than the next highest player on the team. BTW, that is also higher than any player on the Cubs for 2005 except Lee. If Dunn isn't a difference maker, I guess the Cubs don't have any of those either with the possible exception of Lee.
  13. While Krivsky's comments seem to lend credence that Dunn is part of their plans, that contract doesn't do anything to address whether Dunn is in the long term plans. It saves the Reds some money this year, while likely giving Dunn some additional money next season. The 13 million dollar option for the third year which would have been his first year of free agency would make him very attractive to some teams. In my opinion, this increases his value as there is some cost certainty. The fact that he's being paid so much less this year makes me believe the Reds could deal him, but that they've reduced the urgency. They'll likely hold on to him for now, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him made available in July or next offseason. I definitely doubt he's traded soon...but I don't put it outside the realm of possibility. I've seen some pundits speculate that the signing of Hatteberg gave them flexibility to trade Dunn.
  14. Mike Defelice is still around! :shock:
  15. His Hall of Fame credentials are based on how good he ONCE was; his lack of a job for 2006 is based on how good he NOW is. Just because a player can't find a job now doesn't mean he isn't a Hall of Famer. Ricky Henderson spent a few years in an independent league because he wasn't good enough to get a major league job anymore, but he's still likely to be a Hall of Famer. Rickey says Rickey can still play. Rickey still doesn't know why no one will give Rickey a job. Rickey knows that Rickey is the greatest!
  16. It appears the Angels have increased their offer to Weaver to 2 years at somewhere around 9 million a season. They want an answer by Wednesday. Link.
  17. The only way McGwire doesn't go is if the voters believe the steroid tag dismisses him. If they hold McGwire up to that, there's a strong chance that they will Sosa too. The difference in numbers won't even be considered.
  18. All that does is buys out his arbitration years. It really doesn't mean much. It could increase his trade value as now teams know what he will cost in dollars for next season as well. Though I will concede the comments made by Krivsky seem to indicate that Dunn is in the team's long term plans.
  19. Meh, Reyes is overrated. Let the most inebriated pitcher win the 5th spot, if that is Ponson than so be it. fixed
  20. Sammy should get in on first ballot, but I'm having doubts that he will make it. McGwire will be a true test for Sammy and those like him that will follow. If McGwire gets in next year, then Sammy is likely safe. If he doesn't then I'd have to say Sammy likely won't get in on the first ballot either.
  21. And right after Marquis is traded Ponson goes on a drinking binge and reverts to 2005 form. That would be great!
  22. I think Hendry intended to move Walker, but it wasn't a move at all costs type situation. He probably believed Walker's value was high enough to net the outfield bat he wanted such as Ibanez, Floyd, Mench, etc. When that didn't occur, he would have still moved Walker in the right deal. I think now he's in a quandry. He never intended Walker to be a part of the team, but he's left with keeping him or giving him away for less than what he would like. Walker could still be traded, but I also could see a scenario where he plays well enough that trading him is no longer an option.
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