Stratos
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Everything posted by Stratos
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If I were either of them I'd probably go to another team. On the small chance that maybe they have better or different systems at preventing injuries and it makes some kind of difference. I agree Davis is probably gone for good for the reason you stated too. I still like Davis a lot when he's healthy, I hope he does well.
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We have no idea what is a Ricketts directive or not, or what Jed believes in or not. All of these discussions are done behind close doors. The only thing we really know is that Tom very likely sets the maximum payroll since its his money and not Jed's. If Jed could have a 280m payroll every year he would. We have no idea about Jed's true feelings on big star contracts, for example. If Jed disagrees with something Tom wants it doesn't matter, Tom is the boss. Is Jed going to quit because of it? I wouldn't, there's only 30 of his job in the world. Jed and most other people are going to publicly go along with it, he certainly isn't going to air his disagreements with his boss in public. I think Tom likely sets certain parameters (e.g. max payroll) and Jed does everything he can to win within those parameters. We don't know what those parameters are. Jed going into 2025 with an expiring contract isn't good though, I think it would mean that Ricketts is at least not 100% happy with Jed's work within those parameters the last few years, which is understandable given the results.
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Brandon Glick’s 2025 Payroll Blueprint:
Stratos replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
They could do it, but they'd have to trade Paredes for a good young/cheap SP. But there's not much difference in Paredes + Fried vs Adames + good young SP in terms of payroll and WAR. It just seems like a bit of a wash, other than Adames being a bit than younger than any of the top FA SP besides Flaherty. -
Brandon Glick’s 2025 Payroll Blueprint:
Stratos replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
They should play Paredes full-time at 3B or trade him. For me i would rather keep Paredes than sign Adames and spend all that money on a position we need. Your roster puts our young SP depth into our rotation which leaves us vulnerable when injuries happen, and our pen isn't very good. -
Why would he not extend Jed then? I think it's difficult to know what is Jed and what is a Tom directive. We're all just speculating with no real evidence.
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That means maybe Ricketts doesn't renew himself next offseason?
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Like I've said before, Morosi is full of BS. He's just throwing out names and speculating as usual.
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These may all be Ricketts problems, not Jed problems. Hard to say. Ricketts I'm sure didn't want to do another Theo tank after 2021 to help rebuild, he wanted butts in the seats for most of the season
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I've calculated that if the Cubs sign Soto, Sasaki, Jansen, a closer-type (Holmes or Scott etc) and trade Bellinger for a bag of seeds they will be improved from 2024 by about 9-10 WAR/wins. I went conservative on Sasaki in his first year based on innings and youth and counted him for only 2 WAR. The odds of all this happening is basically about 0.005%. Swap Bellinger for Soto and a TOR FA for Sasaki and we're up about 7 WAR from 2024, which is still around 90 wins, assuming nobody from 2024 improves or regresses or if some do its a wash. And this is before any possible trade.
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Need some help with the offseason blueprint tool
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Ok so you do this all manually? I'm using Firefox, seems like its only manual. I would suggest having a way to drag and drop or something? -
Most of the guys behind him aren't the most exciting prospects. I agree the GB% has been really good so far. I think arguing that he can't throw strikes is totally accurate though. His BB/9 with the Cubs last year was the same as his seasons in college. They went high-risk, high-reward with that draft pick, is what it is. At least he's not Burl Carraway.
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I think he beat it by a million dollars.
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Need some help with the offseason blueprint tool
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I use dark mode on the site and the headers look dark too in that mode so they're very hard to read. Not really sure how to "add" free agents to the team. Guess we just explain them in the text box and add up the salaries ourselves? That would seem like something to automate. -
Twitter has definitely been more aggressive with the algorithms. I find that annoying.
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Ok, wasn't suggesting you guys went there for political reasons, I assumed any org wants to be on platforms where users are.
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Interesting. I have no issues with boycotts for whatever reason someone wants, but I also don't think we need more ideological bubbles in our media. Anyways, a discussion for another forum.
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I agree i'd probably stick with Bellinger. We'd get dongs and some more walks but lose on everything else. Keeping in mind Schwarber hit leadoff last year and got a ton of PA's, so his WAR is going to be a bit inflated from that. They need to have a stat on FG that shows WAR per 550 PA or something of the sort to make it a rate stat too instead of just cumulative.
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Well yes we lose a bit defensively with Seiya for sure. We're gaining on offense (OBP, SLG and HR). They're gaining on defense, speed, contact, versatility. Whether the Phills would do it is questionable, but I think it's a pretty fair trade. Schwarber has a year left on his deal. The upside on Bellinger is higher IMO. If he's healthy all year, plays mostly CF, and doesn't DH I think he's a 3+ WAR player and probably better than say Happ.
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What do you guys think of this trade proposal?: Bellinger for Kyle Schwarber. Maybe throw in some cash. We get a DH that hits lots of HR and Seiya slides back to RF. Phils get a CF and improved OF defense and backup at 1B. We do lose a good backup at CF and 1B. Bellinger is a good all- around player in every facet but more HR would be nice. Might be more of a wash though.
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Cubs are mid-tier.
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Cubs Eyeing Yusei Kikuchi and Nick Pivetta
Stratos replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Pivetta has always given up lots of HR though. -
Cubs Eyeing Yusei Kikuchi and Nick Pivetta
Stratos replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Lol. Well true but I also think we need to do a bit better than him. -
What is Bluesky? Is this an anti-Elon alternative to Twitter?
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I agree. Getting a good young catcher will be tough, unless there's a team has more than 2. If I had 2 good ones and nobody good in the MLB I'd want to keep both.
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I think most all of it is speculative. He's just giving his analysis and guesses of where players will go and what teams might do based on needs etc. That's fine but is probably more based on "feels" and what they've done the last few offseasons more than anything. I think the Cubs have a chance to land a one of the upper tier SP or the better mid-tier guys. If we assume Jed is about value, paying 28m AAV for one of these aces who will typically only put up around 3.5 WAR with the higher injury risk for pitchers, it seems to me Jed would probably ideally prefer to put that kind of AAV on a bat, so one of the better mid-tier SP at a good price could be more up their alley. But beyond Soto I don't see much 20m+ AAV position player happening this winter in FA. Then again, Stroman was a 3.5 WAR guy. So I don't know what they'd do. Theo's philosophy seemed to be to draft position guys (typically college) in the high rounds and sign or trade for SP because of the young SP injury risk. Jed's philosophy seems to be to act on maximizing value for dollar and remain flexible and sign a guy that you like who has the best contract. I don't think they often "target" FA's unless there's no other comparable good options, e.g. Bellinger as CF the last 2 offseasons .
