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Stratos

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Everything posted by Stratos

  1. I'm not sure 2 years of Nico for 1 year of Cease is a good trade.
  2. A bit weird to trade for Paredes and Cam Smith if you're optimistic or even planning on keeping Bregman. I don't see it happening. Paredes has no position.
  3. Agree. If you're going to spend money spend it now and be better for 6 months rather than 2 months. Even deadline money is a bit silly, just spend the money for the 6 months and keep like 5m for those small roster moves and callups every team does throughout the year.
  4. It's very possible they're waiting out Boras again on Bregman like they did on Bellinger. Jed won that round and might win this too. Reports the Tigers are still in on Bregman could be false. I think the fact that Bregman still isn't signed anywhere is a good indication his market is weak. If there was a good 4+ year deal out there he'd be signed already. Bellinger was going into age 28 year when he signed and Bregman will be 31 all season, that's 3 prime years and significant.
  5. I agree, there isn't anything too meaningful to spend on in FA if they're out on Robertson and the pen is basically set. Pivetta with the QO isn't that great at all, and I think that's definitely hurting him in FA, i'd be PO'd if I were him LOL. Trades are possible but I don't see them bleeding Iowa for Cease etc. Maybe some guys in the low minors they'd trade, like Rojas. If they want a 8-10m cushion under the LT then they only have about 22-24m left to spend.
  6. Agree. Potential batting order: Happ Seiya Tucker Bregman Busch Swanson Nico Amaya/Kelly PCA
  7. Value and efficiency. Where's the mockers now?
  8. Brasier details: https://www.mlb.com/cubs/news/ryan-brasier-cubs-dodgers-trade https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/02/cubs-to-acquire-ryan-brasier.html
  9. True, the Cubs could keep Nico for half this season so they have depth for the middle infield with the question marks around Shaw (rookie unknowns) and the surgery recovery for Dansby/Nico. It doesn't make sense right now to trade one 4 WAR guy in Nico for a much more expensive 4 WAR guy when their replacement would both be Matt Shaw.
  10. Yeah, but they could reset next season, especially if Tucker walks, which I think he does. Lots more prospects coming up in the next year or 2.
  11. If the Cubs look really good at the deadline I think Ricketts would be willing to go over the LT. He's done it multiple times in the past. Though that was with a historic "World Series core" Cubs roster in win-now mode.
  12. Given we'll likely lose Happ/Suzuki/Nico/Taillon soon, if the Cubs acquired Bregman then this definitely becomes a win-now year, and if i'm Ricketts I go over the LT and keep buying. Grab a veteran bench guy, maybe a SP in trade for low-minors talent, maybe another loogy.
  13. I wonder what Cease would get as a FA on a 1-year deal. 40m? That would be his worth in a trade. Odd that Cease is projected for lower WAR than Bregman.
  14. ZiPS projects Brasier with a better ERA than Robertson and about the same xFIP. This looks like be a win for Jed, he probably saved around 9m over Robertson/Yates with similar projections for all 3. I assume we give up nobody significant. Only concern is the velo and k/9 drop for Brasier. Hopefully some of that is injury-related and doesn't drop much more.
  15. Some time over the next 2 seasons the Cubs very likely lose Nico, Happ, Seiya, and Taillon to FA or trade. I imagine our prospects replace most of those guys, so they have payroll room longterm, and some of the above could possibly get moved next offseason to make space for a big Tucker AAV in 2026 if they extend him. Caissie + Tucker (at around 40m AAV) is very close in AAV total to Happ + Seiya.
  16. If the choice is something like Canha + Moncada + Robertson versus Bregman, I'm well in the camp for Bregman. How many recent seasons have we wasted many millions on near-replacement dudes or old guys that fall apart? I don't mind Robertson but he's 40, and as for the others we should be allocating our millions towards real talent.
  17. Wow. I mean again it could all be Boras smoke. And also Hoyer's job is on the hot seat. Is he going to risk his job betting that Matt Shaw has a good rookie year and Dansby and Nico recover from surgery well? Nor sure yet what i think, but 4 years is a lot better than 6+. Bregman will be 31 on March 30. If this happens I can see Nico being traded next offseason and Shaw at 2b. If he opts out Shaw is at 3b and Triantos is still a 2b option whenever Nico leaves.
  18. Its just hard for me to see a Bellinger-like Bregman deal making sense for Bregman unless he just got unlucky with a weak market for 3B this offseason, or Boras is just biting off more than he can chew. Now is the time for Bregman to get a longterm deal, he'll never be in a better position. But we know from Bellinger/Montgomery etc that if a Boras client is this deep into the offseason without a deal then Boras hasn't been getting the offers he thinks his client deserves, making a shorter term deal more likely. Seems Boras consistently overvalues his clients and if no sucker bites they go shorter term/opt-out. Looking at Soto and Snell its hard to argue with the results most of the time.
  19. Matt Trueblood, where do the reports of the Cubs making a "creative multiyear" offer come from? Is this a Northside exclusive?
  20. With Nico/Swanson are coming off injuries i'd keep Nico if Jed can afford it. Trading cheap 4 WAR for older expensive 4 WAR with a QO doesn't seem very smart for the Cubs.
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