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Stratos

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Everything posted by Stratos

  1. Turner is hitting .279 and with around .750 OPS vs LHP this year. He can still hit lefties and very likely better than Busch can.
  2. I mean on Opening Day Steele, Imanaga, Boyd, Taillon, plus Rea/Brown/Assad/Wicks/Horton for the 5th and injuries is definitely an above-average rotation. Assad hurt, Steele hurt, Wicks and Brown sucking, Boyd they've probably gassed out a bit just trying to get into the playoffs and then Horton getting hurt and Imanaga having a late-season suck-fest. Plus a deadline of SP priced out of wazoo. It is what it is I guess. I can point some fingers but there's a bunch of bad luck there too.
  3. Only 3 cutters in the MLB the last 2 seasons have had negative vertical break (Caleb Killian threw one of them last year for Cubs) so yeah kinda like sweeper or weird cutter movement. No splitters in the MLB this year had glove-side horizontal movement, so its a freak ptich. A few had negative vertical movement, including Colin Rea, but not by much.
  4. I always find it funny that a guy who looks like my plumber (Murphy) is an MLB manager in 2025. I take him as more of a pocket pancake guy than an analytics guy LOL.
  5. Cool thanks, how do you get this? Looks like Baseball Reference? edit: yup nvm found it. Thanks! Learn something new every day! Edit edit: Looked at 2022 as well, did similar. 2021 he was terrible.
  6. Do you have access to data on what Busch hit vs LHP in the minors/AAA?
  7. Yeah and no meaningful difference using Turner in the 1st vs a LHP pen guy than in the 8th.
  8. I'm with you, except I blame more Tom than Jed. What i would like Jed to finally do is stop wasting tens of millions on old washed up vets and go get some real talent or find our bench and pen guys off the scrap heap. We wasted a bunch on Pressly, Brasier, Berti, and Turner is barely useful. Take all that money and you could easily upgrade to an impact SP.
  9. I've learned this series that the Brewers and their fans really, really hate the Cubs and Cubs fans. I get it though. The fans I get but the team trolling is a bit low, unless it's all just a coincidence, which I doubt.
  10. They also led the MLB in runs in August. They just scored 9 on us without a HR. Maybe they took the pedal off the gas a bit in Sept and cruised because of their lead in the standings, who knows. My point would be they're 3rd in the MLB in runs.
  11. The argument against Assad might be that low K rate and putting the ball in play isn't a great match up vs the Brewers who are the best baserunning team in the MLB this year according to FG. Ks, lack of walks, and lefties who can control the running game make sense. Thus Brown on the roster and Boyd game 1.
  12. Issue is that the Brewers aren't strictly a wRC+ offense, they rely on baserunning, pressuring the defense and forcing errors etc. 3rd most runs scored in the MLB and 9th in wRC+
  13. Maybe they're not good, and all year have just been opening their dome in a position where their opponents get all the sunlight over their dugouts and play 80s soft rock during their opponents' batting practice. I've suspected the Brewers of all sorts of shenanigans over the years. But I guess Counsell would know....
  14. Since Ashby is the opener they could just load the top of the lineup with their RHB and hit Busch 5th or 6th or something. I dunno.
  15. Personally I would not pitch Boyd again this series. Starting Imanaga Game 2 is fine.
  16. Unless Boyd had a good start in Game 1. And he threw like 10 innings against them this year. They were a bad 10 IP but it's also a very small sample size, and he was going to start Games 2 & 5 anyways so this isn't even a factor. Your manager is a genius if a move works out and he's an idiot if the moves don't work out. They start Rea Game 1 and he gets shelled and everyone is on Counsell about starting their 4th best active SP and not starting Boyd. People are going to b*tch and complain about everything when the Cubs lose. Honestly it's best to just avoid the Game threads when the Cubs are trailing or after a loss unless it's to complain and blow off steam, it's unbearable.
  17. Luckily the Brewers don't hit many HR and Shota keeps men off the basepaths. Don't have a ton of confidence in Shota right now but we'll see how it goes. The hook needs to be short and someone like Rea or Assad needs to be able to step in.
  18. It's just one bad start from Boyd. We pitched well vs the Padres, but their offense wasn't as good. Rea, Taillon, Shota, Assad aren't bad pitchers. At worst a couple of them are a below-average and Shota has been struggling lately. What sucks is we now have to win 3 of the next 4 games and we'll be seeing Peralta again.
  19. Reality is we're down Horton and Steele and Shota hasn't been good lately and Boyd also spotty the last month or so and possibly just regressing to the mean a bit. Our rotation isn't terrible, we have some depth, but we lack any dominant arm. The defense, hitting/running, and pen need to carry this team and the rotation needs to keep us in ballgames the first 4-5 innings, which unfortunately it didn't today. We either need to get some good fortune out of our rotation this series or the offense needs to come alive, especially a guy like Tucker.
  20. Yes exactly.. It's hard to know exactly why Boyd got knocked around. He also got knocked around by the Brewers throughout the season (7+ ERA) and throughout September by other teams on normal rest. If it worked out CC would have "made a bold move" and yeah the Brewers were rusty from the week off. Who knows really. We have seen the stats about SP starting on 3 days rest vs 4 in the playoffs, but Boyd was pulled after around 50 pitches the previous start so it changes the calculation a bit. Honestly I just tip my cap to the Brewer hitters, it is what it is. I don't think Boyd should pitch again this series, looks like they may have his number.
  21. Hindsight is 20/20. He threw 50 pitches last start. Brewers had all week to watch and analyze Boyd and pick up any typing he might have done or sequencing or whatever.
  22. Ian Happ doesn't give 2 effs about HR celebrations he's just doing what they do after every HR. Not sure i've ever criticized Happ yet this decade, he's such a baller, seems like a great teammate and person, plays the game the right way and wants to win. You can't ask for much else.
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