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treebird

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  1. treebird
    Ty Cobb was never known as a power hitter and whenever he was asked about it he would remark that he didn't hit home runs because he didn't want to hit homers, he thought it was a lazy mans way to score a run. When Ruth came along and hit his 60 homers in 1920, newspaper were all after Cobb telling him that he was jealous of Ruth because of his power. Well, as Al Stump put it in "Cobb": Cobb hit 5 straight homers, a record that stood for some time, just to put the journalists in their place. He then went back to hitting his merry little singles and drag bunts. so the moral of the story is ty cobb was stupid?
  2. treebird
    i wish i was a nerd nerds are smart
  3. treebird
    .405 leads the major leagues. It's not necessarily a good thing though, as a .405 babip coupled with a line drive percentage of 26.9 indicates that Derrek has likely been a little (not enormously) lucky this year. The quick and dirty way to calculate a hitters expected BABIP is to take LD% and add .110. This would give us .379. .405 is obviously greater than .379, but not so much so that we should think that Derrek is on the brink of an amazing collapse that would stagger the mind. The reason we should think that Derrek is on the brink of an amazing collapse that would stagger the mind is that he plays for the Cubs and that's how things seem to work out for us.
  4. treebird
    Two Cubbies in the top ten. Good to see both guys getting respect as a power hitter across baseball. http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/allstar05/columns/story?columnist=neyer_rob&id=2105528 that must be based on this year only. not sure how any list of the best power hitting sluggers can be put together and not include Manny Ramirez, but have Jones #3, unless its based on this year only. I'm pretty sure Derrek Lee wouldn't get to be on this list either.
  5. treebird
    This stuff isn't nerdy at all. It's actually really simple once you come up with a reliable way to determine what a line drive is. stop with all the crazy talk, i just want to see people hit it and hit it far, haha btw, i know what all these stats mean, i was just being a jerk. TOO LATE
  6. treebird
    win loss record is entirely meaningless for a pitcher because it is determined by team performance (i.e. offensive run support, among other things) k rate matters a great deal. studies have shown that it is one of the best predictors for determining which pitchers will go on to have success in the major leagues and which pitchers will not. other excellent statistics to look at are hr/9 and bb/9. and fun combinations of them like hr/k and k/bb
  7. treebird
    This stuff isn't nerdy at all. It's actually really simple once you come up with a reliable way to determine what a line drive is.
  8. treebird
    You read BP, right? They've done a number of studies and found no evidence whatsoever that indicate that some hitters and "bad pitcher" hitters. Although I guess if we're just going to go with gut feelings about players who are great in order to declare them to be only good, we're never going to trade for anybody. I let my BP subscription lapse in March. I'll renew it soon, but I've got a couple of things I need to accomplish first. I read them for several years before this March, though, and I don't remember seeing any studies on it. The biggest one was somewhat recent and could well have been post-March. I'll try to find it, for no more reason than to show that I'm not making things up/insane.
  9. treebird
    Where did that come from? oh god is adam dunn not white? brb Your remarks are getting less and less funny. My apologies. I don't really think Dusty racist. Please continue with Dunn Discussions now.
  10. treebird
    Where did that come from? oh god is adam dunn not white? brb edit: we have confirmation http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v386/edstevensiscool/10107251.jpg phew i was nervous for a second there
  11. treebird
    That's an unfair mischaracterization of Tim's posts in this thread. He called him one of the top offensive outfielders. It's just a matter of degree. I think Dunn is the kind of guy you sell the farm for, Tim doesn't.
  12. treebird
    You know what? I don't think we should trade for Dunn. Do people really think Dusty would play him? He's white, he strikes out, he doesn't hit for a high average. That's three strikes right there. I'll bet we'd end up with some bizarre Macias-Dunn platoon. Not to mention the fact that he'd probably pinch hit for Dunn against lefties, and pull him in the 7th for a defensive replacement.
  13. treebird
    You read BP, right? They've done a number of studies and found no evidence whatsoever that indicate that some hitters and "bad pitcher" hitters. Although I guess if we're just going to go with gut feelings about players who are great in order to declare them to be only good, we're never going to trade for anybody.
  14. treebird
    They should send Pawelek on up to Peoria. I wouldn't mind.
  15. treebird
    Maddux was going to Anaheim, not Cincy. I don't think Nomar is going to hit .322 anytime soon. Sosa has almost 600 home runs, and we got rid of that. Dopirak is still a huge prospect, but he hasn't been hitting at all this year (246/299/366). Like I said, definitely still a big time prospect in every sense, but he's not exactly tearing up the FSL. I'm pretty sure that I'd be okay with Dunn. Some people need to hit .300 in order to be valuable. Some don't. Dunn is in the latter group. If He started hitting .300, he'd be the best hitter in the major leagues. As it is, I think he's doing all right.
  16. treebird
    He might not be making them up, I just thought it was funny how he immediately jumped on him and claimed innocence the moment he was out the door.
  17. treebird
    zing?
  18. treebird
    im beginning to think that dusty is less than excellent at his job
  19. treebird
    Nomar is basically worthless to us. I don't think he does anything this year. Maddux would be a salary dump. We'd basically just be taking him off the books for next year, after accounting for the money we include. Then it's Patterson, Rusch, Dubois, and Dope for Dunn. You wouldn't do that?
  20. treebird
    same
  21. treebird
    How is that different than the "Dusty is stupid and i know this by watching him on tv" threads? I think it's a lot easier to evaluate a manager's performance (which is where calling him stupid would come from) by watching him on tv than it would be to determine whether a certain player is stubborn or not. It's not like you can tell that Corey isn't trying in earnest to take more pitches and not swing at high fastballs. I can tell pretty easily that Dusty thinks playing Neifi instead of Ronny is a good idea. But how easy is it to see what the coaches are telling Corey behind the scene? And correspondingly, how well he responds to said directives? That's exactly my point. We don't know that stuff. That's why it's dumb to make assumptions about whether or not he is stubborn.
  22. treebird
    There's nothing wrong with swinging at the first pitch, if it's a pitch you can hit hard. The most patient hitters in the game will jump at the first pitch if it's something they can drive. If not, they're too predictable and pitchers will just groove a fastball so they start every AB 0-1. i was joking youre a jokemaker tell him, rocket
  23. treebird
    How is that different than the "Dusty is stupid and i know this by watching him on tv" threads? I think it's a lot easier to evaluate a manager's performance (which is where calling him stupid would come from) by watching him on tv than it would be to determine whether a certain player is stubborn or not. It's not like you can tell that Corey isn't trying in earnest to take more pitches and not swing at high fastballs. I can tell pretty easily that Dusty thinks playing Neifi instead of Ronny is a good idea.
  24. treebird
    I think you could take your billion dollars and figure out a way to get them.
  25. treebird
    Baseball for Brain Surgeons? I also have that one. Not a terrible read, actually, once you take into account that McCarver's an idiot. That's the book. There are some fun little stories and stuff in it if you wade through the worthless crap. I got it and totally loved it until I was smart at baseball.
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