PECOTA is way off the mark if it's projecting increased OBP to be a permanent trend for Soriano. Soriano in 2006: 67 BB Bases empty: 435 AB, 25 BB, .278/.326/.556 Runners on: 212 AB, 42 BB, .274/.396/.566 RISP: 117 AB, 36 BB, .231/.411/.462 Soriano's 2006 IsoD leaps from .048 with bases empty to .180 with RISP. IMO this is a clearcut case of a guy who was the only scary hitter on his team. Other than Fonz the Nats lineup just plain sucked, and there was no incentive to throw him a hittable pitch with RISP. On the Cubs Fonz will be batting in front of DLee and Aram, which is a whole different situation.