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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Coming into today, exactly 10 Carolina League hitters with 50 or more PAs had a .900 or better OPS. Only 3 of them doing so are younger than 21. Kevin Alcantara now has an .899 OPS and is still only 19 years old.
  2. Bertz
    Tommy's time being unemployed would be measured in hours, not days, if the org was dumb enough to fire him (and they're not).
  3. Bertz
    Adding ~50 points to your slug in one day in June is absolutely insane Did Preciado get hurt? I assume Made getting pulled was just to get him off his feet but Reggie was pulled before things got out of hand
  4. Bertz
    Swarmer now with 9 homers allowed in 17 IP lol
  5. Bertz
  6. Bertz
    Canario got absolutely worked his first two weeks in AA. I'm going to guess that not coincidentally, one of those weeks was against the Rays. Since then: .241/.328/.500, 112 wRC+, 9.8% BB rate, 27.9% K rate
  7. Bertz
    I'm curious to see how long Kevin Made stays in MB. It's not unreasonable for him to still be there, but with his fairly long run last year and so far this year, he's approaching 100 games at the level. I do appreciate him providing an obvious and notable illustration of the importance of age relative to league. Hopefully that will head off some of the histrionics when Cristian Hernandez and Kevin Collier don't light it up at Myrtle Beach next April.
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    I think the new bat #s are likely confounded by A) the early season weather and B) that insane 2 weeks of Braves-Brewers-Sox-Dodgers-Padres that ended shortly before the change. It's probably not really a thing. That said, yeah we're now a full year in of Wisdom being a 115 wRC+ guy. And the peripherals are generally better this year, so it's looking more and more sustainable. I'd like to see him clean up the recent defense at 3B a bit more to be where it was last year, but he looks like a pretty good bet for ~2.5 WAR for the medium term. Speaking of small samples suddenly not being so small anymore, Nico Hoerner is approaching 600 career PAs as well and will likely be right around 4 WAR at that point. And the projections think that is indeed north of 3 WAR on a per-inning basis.
  11. Bertz
    It's hard to peg Willson's exact value, because you have the competing forces of "teams hate trading for catchers mid-season" and "very strong sellers market.". But I think by default we should expect something in the neighborhood of what we got for Javy/Bryant/Rizzo. So taking learnings from those, you'd expect the going rate to be someone in or near the back of the top 100, plus a notable 2nd piece. By Fangraphs' Future Value parlance a 45 or a 50 (higher end of that scale the further out from MLB they are), and then another 40. With that framework in mind I think from the Mets Vientos and Diaz sounds about right. That's not enough for Robertson too though. A lot of people do, but I don't have a problem with packaging guys as a seller. That said, I feel like if you're going that route you need to unlock a higher tier of headliner. You don't package guys unless there's some sort of synergy gained from doing both together.
  12. Bertz
    Yeah I think coming into the year I'd have bought that it was 50/50ish whether Heyward or Ortega were better suited to that LH platoon OF role. Heyward appeared to be the better defender, and while he was a mess last year was very strong in a platoon role from '18 - '20. And with the mess that the 40 man was in due to all the injuries, as well as the 11 games in 9 days, I can buy why he actually made it off the IL. What I don't buy is why he's currently starting every day, or how/if he survives Seiya coming off the IL. Brett brought up the point of maybe out of respect they're giving him one final shot to turn it around? But again even doing as much mental gymnastics as possible it's essentially impossible to justify him making it to Monday.
  13. Bertz
    I don’t think his stuff is #3 caliber. FB velocity has been low 90s last year and so far this year. That's unfortunate. I had half-remembered 93-95 (so a grade ~55 fastball) with a plus curve. But yeah if he's a grade below that FB wise that cuts the excitement significantly. Probably still a MLBer but like TT alluded to with the Swarmer comp more of a "valuable for exactly as long as he has MiLB options" type.
  14. Bertz
    Might be time to start paying more attention to Chris Clarke. He's getting BABIP'd to hell, which you can't always take for granted as luck in the minors, but the numbers otherwise are very strong. And the stuff I believe is roughly #3 starter caliber?
  15. Bertz
    I'm looking forward to having a guy with outrageous Soriano-esque hot streaks again. Can't make the whole team out of those guys but having one or two is fun as hell.
  16. Bertz
    We're now at damn near 100 PAs of star level performance. That's not enough to say he is in fact a star, but it's getting closer to us being able to confidently say he's a legit MLBer.
  17. Bertz
    The pathological inability to admit fault stops being cute when you're not winning 95+ games
  18. Bertz
    Do we know how Darius Hill is tools-wise? Because the numbers are pretty fun and he's not *that* old so if he's like an actual CFer then after another month or two of taking at Iowa he should be breathing down the necks of Heyward and Ortega.
  19. Bertz
    Good pitching day. Excited to see how Herz follows up his career day last week. And Clarke's peripherals have stayed pretty strong at Tenn, hopefully he can start managing contact a little better from here out.
  20. Bertz
    I assume the bullpen is sufficiently shredded that even though it's a tie game Ross is trying to have Steele and Espinoza pitch the entire game?
  21. Bertz
    I just don't really see a ton of upside with Calhoun, his problem has always been more approach than mechanical and he hasn't had the performance or scouting highs that Frazier has had to dream on. Also, you've got Suzuki, Villar, Bote, and Hermosillo who are gonna be coming for a roster spot within a couple weeks, so you don't need an external option to satisfy a desire to punt Heyward and Rivas SSS, but his peripherals are really good this year. More BBs than Ks and an xwOBA of .350. Like Frazier he probably ends up at replacement level through a combo of slightly above average offense and abysmal defense, but I'd rather roll the dice with that than many of the guys we have in house, particularly given the dearth of LHH bats we have in the majors and high minors. I easily take him over those latter three names you listed. Plus it looks like he has an MiLB option, so if you'd like you could stash him at Iowa until Willson's gone and those DH at bats open up.
  22. Bertz
    Juggling him and Frazier as guys you really don't want in the field would be tough, but I'd much rather have Calhoun than Heyward or Rivas on the current roster.
  23. Bertz
    Wicks getting roughed up a bit, though from GameDay it seems like he's just being BABIP'd
  24. Bertz
    Chris Morel is up to a 145 wRC+ and has better than average walk and K rates. Just extremely impressive in all facets right now.
  25. Bertz
    Brendon Little was clearly rusty his first few times out this year. But his last five outings: 9.1 IP, 2 ER, 3 BB, 11 Ks Between him and Hudson there's probably not a ton of incentive to give Norris much additional leash.
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