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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    There's no way they don't nab Contreras IMO Also would not hate JD Davis as the 2nd piece in a deal. Let's see what he does if he's given full runway at one position (1B) for the rest of the year.
  2. Bertz
    Lost in the dong of it all, PCA has walked twice tonight and has 3 steals (including home!). He's 19/24 on the basepaths so far this year.
  3. Bertz
    On base 4x tonight
  4. Bertz
    Also Wicks is SHOVING. 3 IP, 7 Ks, 1 BB, 2 balls in play were popups
  5. Bertz
    Vids
  6. Bertz
    Made and PCA already have dongs Have to think logistics are the only thing keeping Made and Alcantara at MB. Either post draft or post deadline both have gotta move up
  7. Bertz
    Kind of a nifty move TBH
  8. Bertz
    I don't think Pinango gets enough love. His ISO has literally doubled and while it's not amazing, he's putting up a 114 wRC+ at A+ in his age 20 season. I don't know that he has any star power, but I could see him as good 4th OFer type or a a cheap 3rd OFer putting up 2-2.5fWAR seasons. If it carries over to AA this season, I think he has to be in the top 15. He's a great trade candidate for when the Cubs start buying. Yeah I tend to think Canario and Pinango are the most expendable guys on the farm among the top 30 types.
  9. Bertz
    Him and Koen at MB next year will hopefully be pretty fun
  10. Bertz
    Football Outsiders released their almanac today. Not a ton of interesting stuff in there for the Bears. Mostly echoing the consensus of wanting to have done more for Fields. - Bears come in at 26th in projected DVOA, 27th on offense, 10th in defense, and 9th in special teams - FO doesn't like the Bears' O-line, but does seem to like aspects. It likes the Patrick pickup, it likes loading up on day 3 picks, it thinks Jenkins is a worthwhile gamble, it's just all not enough considering the starting point (#23 O-line last year, and James Daniels was their top rated guy). They don't have individual player projections for the O-line, but you do get the sense that upgrading from Mustipher with a late sign or trade would improve the outlook pretty dramatically - FO REALLY hates the Bears WR core. They're lukewarm on Mooney ("an effective speedster WR3 who could moonlight as a #2"), and as down on the rest as most - The projections really hate Fields, though the more subjective analysis was kinder
  11. Bertz
    Canario had a good day. Assuming the back of my napkin is correct, his numbers since 6/3: 131 PAs, 10.7% BB, 22.9% K, .261/.336/.522, 115ish wRC+
  12. Bertz
    Curious what the Jays would send our way for Happ. Everything they have seems either far too valuable or not nearly valuable enough. If they've cooled on Martinez given his swing and miss issues at AA, that would probably work. Not very glamorous as a main piece from our end. I like Tiedemann, but a guy who will start 2023 in AA is a tough sell as the headliner unless other deadline deals are more immediately useful. No idea what to make of Groshans either. EDIT: BaseballTradeValues says Groshans and Tiedemann for Happ is right at the edge of possibility, so let's say that it's gospel this time and call it a day. I'm with muntjack on this one, that'd be a tough one to swallow. Value is value for the rentals, but personally I need to be bowled over on Happ.
  13. Bertz
    Curious what the Jays would send our way for Happ. Everything they have seems either far too valuable or not nearly valuable enough.
  14. Bertz
    Low-key I've been wondering if the long game with him is to get him in a rotation. He throws 4 pitches and the sweeper could be a game-changer for him. Yeah I like this idea. Steele and Thompson are likely to be limited in some way, Hendricks is probably out until September, and while Alzolay *might* be back around the deadline I doubt he's making full starts by that point (if he does at all this year). There's gonna be a lot of starts to give to guys who likely won't be in the on paper starting five heading into next season. Kilian should definitely get first dibs on any rotation opening in August/September, but I'd put Newcomb ahead of any of Sampson/Lieter/Brault/Swarmer..
  15. Bertz
    Already hurt again
  16. Bertz
    Marcus Stroman outside of the St. Louis debacle: 9 GS, 47.1 IP, 38 H, 12 BB, 41 K, 3.62 ERA, 3.51 xFIP
  17. Bertz
  18. Bertz
    Keegan Thompson since adding his slider 5 GS, 28 IP, 23 H, 7 BB, 35 K, 1 HR, 28.6% GB rate, 2.25 ERA, 3.22 xFIP Not exactly a cupcake schedule either, as the Dodgers, Braves, and BoSox are 2nd, 3rd, and 6th in MLB in runs score right now. That groundball rate is atrocious and needs to come up, but while right now he's doing everything else at an elite level it kind of doesn't matter. The numbers have been there for Steele for a while (you can honestly go back to his last start in April), but for me personally he wasn't passing the eye test, but even that's started coming around the last month or so. Really exciting stuff.
  19. Bertz
    I was a little skeptical of the fit for the Padres with as well as Profar and Mazara have been playing. But Profar nearly broke his neck last night and will be out for an indeterminate period, and they are giving most of their DH playing time to Voit already, so there's possibly a decent window here. If you sent Happ(with his 2022 tab paid for) and took on Myers' money, I wonder how close that gets you to Campusano? I'm noodling on a "what I'd do at the deadline" post and that exact deal is on there. Having catcher just totally (and quite satisfactorily!) taken care of heading into the winter would be a huge head start on team building. In fact combined with the positional versatility of Wisdom/Morel/Hoerner, Jed wouldn't be absolutely locked in on having to upgrade any specific position. He could just go get his favorite 2-3 bats and the defense will align around them.
  20. Bertz
    It's certainly not the modal outcome, but if Brennen indeed gets back to Iowa by the end of August him opening up next year in MLB seems very on the table? A month at Iowa plus going to the AFL would likely get him between 40-50 more games this year. The Cubs do not historically park guys at Iowa for long, Bryant and Rizzo being the exception (though those were pretty clear service time games). Like he'd have to hit pretty much the entire rest of the year and next ST, but it's fun that it's at least on the table again as a best case scenario.
  21. Bertz
    Happ I would be inclined to agree that the shape of the return would tell us something about the expectations for getting back to being competitive. If you deal Happ for someone who will spend most of next year in MLB, you can reasonably see that guy plus Happ's ~$10M salary doing as much or more for you than Happ himself. It's certainly riskier, but that's likely worth it for the additional team control. But if you deal Happ for a guy in A Ball, you're stuck trying to backfill a 3 WAR player with $10M, which is possible but not something you can reasonably expect to be able to pull off. Seems unlikely for a team truly trying for next year, unless it's some absolutely prodigious A Baller. The rentals though, I actually expect mostly teenagers. The Cubs' 40 man roster is already crunched as it is, and the upper minors have enough guys to where the prospect spigot should open up in earnest around Memorial Day of next year. I'd love to get a Kilian-esque close to MLB SP prospect for one of Contreras/Robertson, but otherwise it's probably more prudent to focus on more talented/further proximity prospects. Both because this *should* be the last time selling for a while and because of simple roster management considerations.
  22. Bertz
  23. Bertz
    Canario with a dong. He was AWFUL his first few weeks at Tenn, but he's been pretty solid since the start of June Roederer and Mervis each on base twice already
  24. Bertz
    The bar is on the floor for him, but Kohl Franklin was kind of good tonight? 2 walks and a HBP in 4 innings is not great, but when it comes with 6 Ks and a bunch of groundballs...kind of good.
  25. Bertz
    !!!
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