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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Wiggins got smacked around a bit but has 9 Ks through 4. At 81 pitches he probably gets to at least start the 5th?
  2. Bertz
    I probably wouldn't have sent Shaw down in the first place, so glad he's back up. Relatively soft landing here too over the next two weeks. The Reds' pitching staff is solid, but A) they obviously play in a bandbox and B) we're getting their lefties which should bode well for Shaw. Jonny Long needs to slide over to 3B at Iowa. If he's even adequate in the field he's next man up if Shaw flops IMO.
  3. Bertz
    FG gave him 50's or better on everything but his fastball, so definitely not JAG. I think he's similar to Connor Noland. Not a guy I'm writing into the projected 2027 rotation, but someone who seems destined for quality big league innings and should be pretty valuable through at minimum his option years. Javier Assad without the huge ERA/FIP delta basically?
  4. Bertz
    The Dodgers are about to get swept at home by the Angels, lots of silly horsefeathers can happen in a short weekend series.
  5. Bertz
    I'd assume Brujan starting these last two games is a "one last shot to show us something before we cut you" deal. The team tends to do this with the roster bubble guys.
  6. Bertz
    238 hitters have at least 100 PAs at AAA. Among them: - Owen Caissie is 1st in barrel rate, 15th in hard hit rate, 8th in xwOBA - Jonny Long is 18th in barrel rate, 1st in hard hit rate, 10th in xwOBA Shaw and Ballesteros are 6th and 18th respectively in xwOBA, but don't get there via gaudy exit velos.
  7. Bertz
    Will Sanders last three outings: 16 IP, 0.50 ERA, 18 Ks, 2 BBs, 8 H, 51% GB
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    Ryan Brasier pitching for the second day in a row, so assume he rejoins the big club in Miami. Chris Flexen probably goes 2-3 innings tomorrow or Monday and then gets the boot.
  10. Bertz
    Luke Little seems fixed. No huge rush to call him up, but great to see.
  11. Bertz
    It usually costs less than you think. Reason being that team control for relievers is heavily discounted due to the crazy level of attrition. The Jason Adam trade at last year's deadline is probably a good comp, though Bautista probably nets a bit more. That trade was Dylan Lesko, a back of the 100 pitching prospect, plus two interesting lesser pieces. I'd expect something like this: - Pick 1 from our pre-arb SPs, excluding Brown/Horton - Pick 1 from the Iowa relievers - A teenage lottery ticket So something like Assad, Neely, Lumpuy as an example. This also presupposes that as he continues to knock off rust he starts pitching like an elite closer again. Because to this point he's been more good than great. Understandable coming off surgery but to return a premium like I laid out above he does need to get back to that level.
  12. Bertz
    Ryan Gallagher has 12 strikeouts?!?!
  13. Bertz
    Sanders is shoving, Maeda did not
  14. Bertz
    It's not the most notable thing from today but Daniel Palencia was NASTY
  15. Bertz
    I've mentioned this previous but I think there's a "Pick 2 Keep 2" with Caissie/Alcantara/Ballesteros/Long. In addition to their actual performances, I do think what happens with Tucker and to a lesser extent Shaw influences who it makes sense to keep. As a RHH 1B/3B/DH, I think Long is almost an automatic keep if either Tucker sticks around or Shaw disappoints.
  16. Bertz
    Jonny Long joined the dong party as well. A tertiary benefit to calling up Shaw sooner rather than later is that it opens up opportunity to play 3B for Long. Because the bat is probably not far from MLB ready.
  17. Bertz
    OMG Shaw again
  18. Bertz
    Reggie Preciado over the last month is hitting .284/.351/.403, which is I believe north of a 100 wRC+ in that park. It's not enough to re-shine the apple, but he's getting back onto the "keep tabs on me" list for me. Still age appropriate for SB.
  19. Bertz
    Video
  20. Bertz
    Yeah Shaw's ready. I'm alright with it being a few more days because of the roster shuffling already in line with Happ coming back, but he needs to be a big leaguer again at worst in Cincinnati.
  21. Bertz
    Brett Taylor brought this up today but Iowa's rotation is pretty ragged. Brown, Flexen, and Horton are all up here in MLB covering for injuries and Birdsell is hurt. It's basically Wicks and Noland and then bullpen games. I obviously do not want Kenta Maeda getting MLB innings, but if god forbid 2-3 SPs went down in the next couple weeks we'd be looking at like Keegan Thompson starting games. A guy like this, maybe even a second one, feels pretty responsible to add.
  22. Bertz
    It would be really cool if he got hot and started delivering on that hype he was getting in ST
  23. Bertz
    Long has - Good Patience - A better than average groundball rate - Average Contact - Average raw power - An elite hard hit rate All that together is pretty damn good! The potential problem is he has an all fields approach, which is limiting the slug (and juicing the average). I probably wouldn't mess with him, it's a unique profile and I think that has value. But if you want more dongs you've gotta make him more pull oriented. And probably risk breaking him in the process.
  24. Bertz
    I'm not clamoring for it by any means, but if Noland had to start an MLB game in the next few weeks I think it'd work out okay.
  25. Bertz
    A bit, but nothing substantial Hard Hit Rate: 40.9% in April, 40.6% in May Barrel Rate: 9.6% in April, 10.3% in May GB Rate: 37.8% in April, 42.3% in May K's and BB's both went the wrong way as well, but less than a percentage point for each. Add it all up and the team's xwOBA has dropped a bit, from .350 in April (4th in MLB) to .341 (9th) in May. Their actual wOBA on the other hand has dropped from .348 (3rd) to .311 (16th). It's luck, these things ebb and flow. Everyone wants to make it some big failing but it's just something that happens.
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