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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. If you look under the hood, most of Alcantara's numbers are actually improved from last year. I think in our exuberance we just all collectively ignored how much of his production at Iowa initially was propped up by a .400+ BABIP The arrow's pointing up, there was just more work to do than we realized
  2. Rough 3rd inning for Will Sanders And good lord Jonny Long crushed that
  3. Plus fast all, plus command, and a plus plus changeup? Sign me the horsefeathers up. I trust this team to help a guy find a good breaking ball.
  4. I wonder if they do an opener. The top of the Reds lineup is very susceptible to lefties, and as much as I think Brown's issues are mostly luck based you could see him pretty rattled in the first inning last weekend. While his confidence is wavy he might do better coming into a game that's already flowing. An opener might be a two birds one stone deal.
  5. "No hard Innings limit" =/= In the rotation through the playoffs Horton is going to get paused or slowed down at some point. There's not a hard limit, so it's not some Strasburg situation where Horton hits 120 innings and is immediately shut down, but they definitely have a realistic range in mind and will take proactive steps to limit him to roughly that range. Expect either an IL trip at some point, even if its for something flimsy, or a transition to the bullpen. Which one they go with probably depends on how well he's pitching. And every word above applies to Brown as well.
  6. Jack Neely appears to have gotten over his early season bout of wildness. Over the last two weeks: 6.2 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 12 K Not screaming "I'm ready for another shot" quite as loudly as Luke Little, but hopefully another couple weeks and he'll be right there
  7. Medium-warm take: Rojas is our #2 prospect right now and if you promised me Moises would never catch a meaningful number of innings I'd make Jefferson #1.
  8. Dansby Swanson this year has a positive run value on Cutters, Splitters, Sinkers, Sliders, and Curveballs He has a negative run value on fastballs
  9. Yes! Let's get our hands on some of that sweet sweet Statcast data
  10. I saw on Reddit this morning that it's already reached the point where if the Rockies go .500 from this point on they'd lose 100 games
  11. Will Sanders in Game 2 please!
  12. It's not one big thing, it's a little bit of everything. Plus a heaping helping of bad luck piled on top of it. If the Cubs were worse, or if money looked less tight next year, I'd be interested. But as it stands I don't think this team should be the ones to try and fix him unless Hottovy/Zombro *know* exactly what's wrong.
  13. Given the lack of goldilocks starting pitching options I wonder a bit about going nuts on a reliever. Like of course you absolutely have to add a SP. But I'm wondering about a boring SP, let's say Chris Bassitt, and paired with a much more dynamic reliever like Mason Miller. We saw this winter that Jed thinks they're in a place where it is worth paying up for an elite reliever. Miller/Hodge/Palencia has a chance to really shorten games. Add Horton in short relief on top of that.
  14. If the season ended today the Cubs and Phillies would get the first round bye and the Dodgers would have to play the wildcard round
  15. I'd probably still put him 5th, but I do think at this point between Jaxon's ascent and some of the warts on the Iowa crew you can pretty easily argue him as high as #1.
  16. It's his first crack at South Bend, and he's still age appropriate for the level. You basically have to weigh the fact that it took him 3 tries to get past Myrtle Beach (a *very* bad sign) with the fact that he dropped switch hitting, which you would reasonably expect to make things tougher for a while. He's certainly not one of our top prospects at this point, but he was orginally the headliner of the Yu Darivsh trade for a reason. And he's still young enough to develop on a good timeline.
  17. The Dodgers won a WS last year with Yamamoto, Beuhler (who was ass in the regular season), and a bunch of bullpen games. The Rangers won with a rotation headed by Eovaldi and Montgomery. Two good pitchers for sure but very much the same tier as Shota/Boyd. Everyone would love a Phillies type rotation, but these days with how few innings playoff starters throw (even most aces are 5 and dive) it's not the only way to skin the cat.
  18. .302/.343/.476 and a 124 wRC+ since April 27th
  19. I saw on BN yesterday that he was playing catch. If you figure another week or two of that, a week or two of bullpens/sim games, and then 3-4 rehab starts, you're probably looking at early July.
  20. Presumably taking Kriske's spot.
  21. Another series win too. If I'm counting right they are 13-5-1 on a series by series basis.
  22. Pretty incredible game from the bullpen, especially with Palencia and Pomeranz down. Feels like this makes up for one of the disaster games in April.
  23. Reggie Preciado dong. Signs of life just keep trickling in.
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