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javy knows my name

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Everything posted by javy knows my name

  1. Whats that? The CUBS are going to move Dempster into the rotation? The very same brainstrust that gave Neifi Perez and Henry Blanco multi-year deals? Holy Jeez, I want to trade my first born for him!!! Maybe that will work on Colletti and SABEAN. Believe it or not, I actually thought this post through.
  2. Though I'm a lifelong Cub fan, I almost feel sorry for another team. Almost.
  3. i'm pretty sure A-Rod ends up with the Angels. It's a good team, and the media scrutiny is like 5% of NYC Plus a billionare Latino owner in a heavy latin market. Angels are the best fit for A-rod. But since when has Boras ever put his client in the best place for them? Kevin Millwood, Jeff weaver, and now ever Kenny Rogers all left places they were comfortable for the money. A-Rod does not care about where he plays, he is in it for the contract status. Plus Moreno has said it does not make good business sense to put 20-25% of the payroll into one player. While I think A-Rod would bring the Angels twice what they pay him in revenue, will they go 10 years on a contract? How can you say A-Rod doesn't care where he plays? If this were all about money, he'd have signed a huge contract already with the richest team in baseball, who also enjoyed a $72 million subsidy for his services. Boras knows this, and since all Boras wants is money for A-Rod, it seems that A-Rod overruled Boras. Now, if you made the argument that A-Rod only cared about staying away from New York, I'd buy that.
  4. This was my point. They will say that, and Santana will get more, but not proportionally to Zito, i.e. what he deserves based on Zito's outrageous contract. He will get what the big boys are willing to pay and I don't think anyone can get him what he truly deserves - something like 8/160. Just like A-Rod will not get his 10/350. Edit: Go Hawkeyes! I grew up in IC.
  5. Between all the speculation surrounding A-Rod's future contract and now with the Twins showing interest in shopping/not resigning Santana, there is one overwhelming question: If Zito can get 8/127, what could Santana command!?! The answer: not all that much more. Just because Santana is light-years better than Zito does not mean that a GM is going to be forced to give him, say 9/200. When guys like Zito get that type of money, it does not necessarily help the Santanas/Zambranos/Oswalts of the world. If anything, it puts a sort of cap on future contracts, and I have to think that significantly more talent is not going to go too far over that cap. The superagents can quote those contracts all day (I see Boras mainly hammering in Soriano's contract on A-Rod's behalf), but I don't see GMs being forced to pay 10/350 or 9/200 (despite whatever Jon Heyman's dumb a$$ says). Thoughts?
  6. I never want to hear anything Jon Heyman has to say unless it's being ridiculed on FJM.
  7. With his offensive production, who cares? I'm curious if ARod still wants to play SS. He seems to be pretty vain and I'm not sure if he wants to make that switch, has anyone heard him (ARod) mention this at all? What now? I'm just curious on what ARod thinks about this. Imo, it will be his decision and not the clubs that want him. It makes a lot of sense to me that he would not want to advertise a preference one way or the other. Bidding wars are fun, and if he really does get close to 350 over 10, I think he'd play catcher.
  8. Heyman is an idiot. All he did was list the top six markets with no attention paid to needs or possible packages. The Cubs are, by far, the least likely of those six to sign Santana.
  9. Rolen for Garza in any capacity is highway robbery. I would hate your team even more if this went down.
  10. I'm not surprised, given the piss-poor FA selection of CF and his above average defense there. He might be the only guy to be had at a somewhat reasonable price. We all know Torii and Andruw are gonna make wayyy too much money. I say package him with Murton and Marshall/Gallagher and get an impact player.
  11. I've decided that I'm going to give Hendry credit for a PURPOSEFUL leak of information. Here is what I'm assuming. Hendry is hoping that some team out there (of the Orioles, Giants and Reds) were already thinking about Dempster and then will start salivating when it comes out that the CUBS are willing to trot him out into the rotation. If the Cubs would disrupt what was a very solid rotation last year, then Dempster might still have starter stuff, right? Right!?! Didn't say it was realistic, I said I would give Hendry potential credit for some foresight. 'Nuff said.\ I say ANY effort to increase Dempster's perceived value could only be good. Who's with me!?
  12. And just as they're trying to redeem themselves for Darin Erstad
  13. What is there really to think about here? Greene is only good against the Cubs.
  14. Regarding your sig, please, PLEASE tell me Hawk was referring to Erstad. Lie to me if you have to. It would make my day. You know what, I think he was. It's been a while since I put it on there, so my memory is a little hazy, but I'm pretty sure it was Erstad. Excellent, thanks! Oh, and just my two cents: I cannot for the life of me understand how someone can dismiss metrics such as OPS+ and ERA+ in favor of RBI and W/L for a pitcher. These really aren't that revolutionary, yet they are monumentally better than "old school" stats at evaluating individual, non-team, -park, -league-based stats? What could possibly be irrelevant about that!? Joe Morgan makes me hate things.
  15. =D> sorry if I'm just late on this And that ERA is just sparkling.
  16. Regarding your sig, please, PLEASE tell me Hawk was referring to Erstad. Lie to me if you have to. It would make my day.
  17. Maybe he really wants Geoff Jenkins or Shawn Green and he's just making a show of interest in Fukudome to get Jenkins/Green to lower their demands. Sadly, I can totally see Hendry go for both of them, especially Jenkins. Is there ANYONE who thinks Jenkins would be an upgrade over Murton?! WHY CAN'T JIM SEE THIS!?!?!
  18. W/L for a pitcher mean nothing. The fact that he 122 ERA+ (IIRC) playing in the AL East tells us a lot more. If your intention was more to point out that he didn't have all that many starts against AL East teams, then I would buy that.
  19. The way Jim backloaded that contract makes me want to throw up. I agree, we should definitely not target any sane GMs :D Also, excellent alliteration!
  20. Uh-oh. You used the g-word. You're right. Let's keep Theriot and see how Eckstein can do at second. Erstad is a no-brainer to replace Derrek Lee at first. Eric Byrnes just signed a large contract, but I think we could trade Pie straight-up for him. But seriously, the Red Sox did not win because they were gritty. They won because they compiled around a .910 TEAM OPS in the World Series. The whole flippin' TEAM. If by not gritty, you mean the Cubs don't get on base enough, make contact, or take advantage of poor pitching, then you are exactly right.
  21. assume they're out of it Ok, here's my somewhat complicated answer. I bid 1 dollar more than the leader has currently if it means that if he's betting enough to shut me out he'll finish lower than me if we both get it wrong. Here's a scenario like what I'm describing: Me-7600, Him-10000. I bid 2401 here (1 dollar more than he has). He has to bid 5201 in order to shut me. So if we both get it right, he wins of course. If we both get it wrong, I win. If I get it right and he gets it wrong, I win. Also, if he bids 0 in this scenario because he knows nothing about the subject, I still have a way to win, while if I bid 0 that isn't available to me. If I only have 6000 to his 10000, I bet it all. Bidding 4001 won't help here because he doesn't have to bet enough for it to matter if we both get it wrong. The only real way to win in this scenario is to get it right and for him to get it wrong, and so the best thing to do is maximize your payday if that happens. If the 3rd player becomes a factor, there are lots of different strategies to use depending on the situation and how close everyone is. The player in 2nd always has a really tough bet in those situations (as opposed to 3rd place, where you bet it all just about every time, and 1st place, where you bet just enough to shut the others out just about every time). You must be a very good NL hold 'em player. :)
  22. Maybe he fattened himself up so no one would accuse him of being on roids. Remember how small he looked when he first came in?
  23. Why? Because he throws so hard? He's a reliever, for God's sake!
  24. Heath Bell has really good stuff. I have no idea about his contract status, but he's the most talented middle reliever they have, with a much bigger upside than Linebrink. After watching Linebrink pitch for the Brewers last year, I agree with his inclusion on this list. When you have a sinker like Bell's, it doesn't matter what park you play in.
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