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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    To be clear, that was a joking comment made in response to the tic tac toe story. More importantly, the implications of that story are bonkers. Either Demar repeatedly went first against a guy clearly struggling with the basic concepts of the game, or Zach, multiple times, went first and somehow didn't even manage to draw.
  2. squally1313
    This is an overreaction. Lol
  3. squally1313
    Like, just blow the team up. The more I think about it the more concerned I am.
  4. squally1313
    [tweet] [/tweet] I have a lot of questions.
  5. squally1313
    Is missing 37 threes in a game bad
  6. squally1313
    Snarky, troll post: BABIP dice running hot tonight! Actual post: 4 BBs/4Ks against someone like Fried (and assorted relievers) will fix a lot of problems, good work.
  7. squally1313
    Yeah I got a little bogged down with the details here, and you're right it's early (but there are a lot of bad trends!). The original point was frustration at all the arguments that wanted to, in my opinion, essentially trade HR/FB roulette for BABIP roulette, like it was somehow better. From a pure enjoyment of the game, I would love a lineup of line drive doubles hitters. But we seemed to specifically seek out just contact, and you just aren't going to be able to get enough BABIP luck to overcome a mediocre at best rotation. But ultimately goony's point was largely right. Shouldn't get too worked up over a team projected to win 70something games going 7-10 to start the year. I'm just not going to get too excited about a Hoerner, or when Madrigal's luck spikes here inevitably, unless they can prove close to a full year of high level hard, consistent contact.
  8. squally1313
    Disappointing for sure, even if the other 7 were quite strong opponents. If I’m looking for reasons explaining that disappointment, I’d go to SP(26th in starter ERA), randomness(everyone has multiple 7-10 spells in a season), and luck(2-5 in 1 run games) before I got to the offense or it’s specific slappiness. Imagine, I'm not even going to say watching games, but even just checking box scores and thinking the problem with this team thus far is anything other than starting pitching. The problem with the offense from 2017-2021 was the inconsistency. Sharma had a couple of good article on it in ~May of last year, but for offenses in the top 10-15 in the league, the Cubs had a higher proportion of their games end with 0, 1, or 2 runs. Each of the first four or five runs is significantly more likely to be a game winner than like the 10th, so it it's likely this boom/bust cycle was a big part of the team's underperformance and hot/cold nature. Look no further than what this team did against the Pirates for a good example of what this can look like. Was that proportion something like 5/17ths, out of curiosity? We have the highest babip in the league, by 12 points, but we’re 12th in ISO. 27th in LD%, first, comfortably in GB%. This is the 2022 cubs offense in their ‘boom’/‘hot’ cycle.
  9. squally1313
    7-10 with ten games against the pirates and Rockies Disappointing for sure, even if the other 7 were quite strong opponents. If I’m looking for reasons explaining that disappointment, I’d go to SP(26th in starter ERA), randomness(everyone has multiple 7-10 spells in a season), and luck(2-5 in 1 run games) before I got to the offense or it’s specific slappiness. All the games count, obviously, but I feel like a main complaint the last few years, right or wrong, was that we’d bunch together a couple good games and then the offense would go ice cold (which probably isn’t a real thing). So it’s funny to me that the offensive stats look good this year based very heavily on the biggest shutout in team history, where based on my rough math we had 19 singles and 4 doubles on 47 balls put in play (vs something like yesterday, where we went 3/24). Basically it seems to me like we traded HR/FB luck for BABIP luck, and people kept saying it was some sort of positive development. I know our HR total is still middle of the pack, mostly because Seiya rocks, but think we are going to see a ton of games like yesterday and chalk them up to ‘bad luck’ while last year the blame would fall more squarely on the hitters.
  10. squally1313
    They've also scored 4+ runs in 10/17 games, and have yet to be shut out. Consistency we would have absolutely killed for essentially any year post 2016. 7-10 with ten games against the pirates and Rockies
  11. squally1313
    He for sure does. One of the only issues, which isn’t really one but a rule, is that you have to trade contracts for contracts within a certain % based on your cap spot. Like you can’t trade a $30 mil contract for a $5 mil contract. So he’d have to be traded for someone already making good money. And those guys are always out there with some stuff added either way, who that is idk currently. But there certainly will be some new disgruntled star this summer who wants out that Derozan + some picks would net. I don’t know if I was thinking ‘disgruntled star’ as much as ‘picks from some team who sees demar as their first option and then those picks turn into very valuable assets when demar regresses or gets hurt because he’s old’. But not sure how you do that with those contract rules.
  12. squally1313
    I know nothing about how the NBA salary cap/contracts work, but does Demar have any trade value? Basically I don't see him staying this effective for long enough to really contribute to a contending Bulls team, whereas a gamble of Lavine taking another step as the unquestioned number one for a year or two is a little tempting.
  13. squally1313
    Some day soon when I'm more in the mood to argue I'll start making snide comments about all those people who were happy we 'diversified our offensive approach' and brought in all these modern versions of Juan Pierre because they were tired of our old dudes hitting 30 dongs but striking out a little too much.
  14. squally1313
    This isn't a good baseball team.
  15. squally1313
    Can't Contreras (or maybe even Gomes) play first? Do we really need Schwindel and his .279 OBP there (to say nothing of the fact that he's batting fifth)?
  16. squally1313
    Live by the babip, die by the babip
  17. squally1313
    Yeah, I have the same issue with Bally Sports here in STL. Seems like most of those very specialized apps aren't available directly through the TV. I know my pre 2016 Samsung doesn't support a lot of apps now. That could be the issue as well. This one is brand new, pretty good quality. I went with their interface over sticking with the Roku I was using because I liked their remote and wanted to only have to use one and it didn't respond well to the Roku menu...figured over time I might have to switch to a third party that kept up with software updates, but I bought this tv back in January.
  18. squally1313
    i swear i was like jed and who?? I still am I know his name isn't Carter Page. I know it's not. I know that's just my brain, broken on twitter and the last 5 years and this mess of a country. But...for me, that's just going to be the name I think about when the theoretical 'Cubs GM' comes up for the foreseeable future.
  19. squally1313
    You would assume the Rockies would try to build their rotation with a bunch of GB pitchers. But then again, it's the Rockies, so who knows.
  20. squally1313
    We were also 5th in the league last year, granted at comfortably less than 1 per game. You'd think our lineup being a little quicker would help a little, but to echo the above point, probably going to have a lot more chances to ground into one than we have in the past.
  21. squally1313
    Has anyone else failed to find the Marquee app on their Samsung TV? Had been using a Roku for the last couple years where I was able to find it without any issues, but now I'm just using the Samsung app store (which works for YTTV, Netflix, etc) but they don't seem to have Marquee. Do I really need to plug back in a Roku and then deal with switching inputs and everything? Why is this so impossibly difficult and stupid.
  22. squally1313
    Plus I assume the 25 minutes that were cut off were comparing apples to apples (minor league games to minor league games). I think ultimately we'd get used to a pitch clock real quick on a day to day basis. My issue would be going into the playoffs...if you keep it in place, I could see it becoming an issue with players getting rushed or whatever, and I don't think I want that playing a major factor. If you get rid of it, then I think your issue is that either the games will actually take forever, or they will, in comparison, feel like they take forever.
  23. squally1313
    maybe an unpopular opinion, but i think the rules should be amended to exclude him from ROY consideration not much point to the award when a seasoned Japanese league Mike Trout comes here in the prime of his career and predictably? kicks ass while other rookies face such a stiffer test comparatively full disclosure, i was personally delighted when Angel Berroa beat out Matsui for the award way back I assume you think the NPB is significantly more difficult than AAA?
  24. squally1313
    Excellent presentation. To put it more succinctly - these guys barely have ball hair and you are grading them in an extremely unfair manner. How is that more succinctly, and if so, pass.
  25. squally1313
    I think you can be reasonably sure Stroman is going to perform for us. But I think you need 2 of Hendricks/Steele/Miley(?)/Smyly to be above average starters, and I don't know how good of a bet that is at this point.
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