squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Not trying to be overly snarky, but what promises/who made them
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Just checked the PBP data of the three game series they just had. Possible I missed something.
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What are we trying to prove here, if the offense slumps come playoff time and only scores 4 runs a game and only goes 4-3 while somehow only playing road games, then we'd....potentially be in trouble? Alright, yeah, maybe!
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Right, which is another way of describing guys like Dylan Cease, Bobby Miller, and Merrill Kelly.
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I mean, you had first base open with two outs in a tie game in the bottom of the 8th. The only thing you should be worried about is getting the third out before the guy on second scores. Marte is a better hitter against LHP than Carroll, significantly (.724 OPS v .873 OPS, and a higher average (.303 v .272) since all you need is a base hit) based on the full body of information, not 31 PAs in 2024, and putting a runner on first base and giving yourself a force at any base makes it easier to record an out. Relatedly I will happily take any opportunity to point out the Cardinals being dumb, but unfortunately I don't think that's actually a true story. The only time I saw them change pitchers before a Carroll AB in the three game set they just had was when they pulled Mikolas (a righty) for Andre Vallente (another righty).
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Agree with most of this but marte had a wRC 40 points higher than caroll last year against lefties. That specific decision was probably sound even if it didn’t work out.
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The FG article I found is from 2017, so grain of salt, but it aggregated the prior 20 years and said playoff teams went from averaging 4.94 runs per game in the regular season to 4.17 runs per game in the playoffs, so a drop off against premium pitching is basically built in already.
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Imanaga shut down the dodgers, clearly they’ve got some work to do if they want to consider themselves a playoff team.
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Jesus it’s a 7 game sample size where you admitted we went up against 3 aces. How many aces do you think there are that going against them 42% of the time is a normal distribution.
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It's weird watching the team statistics bounce around and slowly start to normalize out. Per pythag W/L, Cubs have been a game lucky so far this year, still at a .562 clip. But FG has our offense at 17th overall and our pitching at 13th, which is weird because I would have told the narrative as the offense carrying shaky pitching thus far.
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Do you give Busch the start tonight against the lefty? Has gotten all of 6 PAs against them this year (0/6, 2 Ks).
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Yeah of course the only non-competitive game of this west coast swing so far has been the weird early start one against the Padres. Pretty excited to only have one more of these (and, honestly, wouldn't be the worst thing to my short term health if either team decided to put up an 8 spot in the first and put it out of reach).
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To clarify, it’s our first regular season extra innings win since 1992
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Man, did not feel good about stealing that one. Lot of big moments from the support squad.
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lol Nico let’s go
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2. Keeping alive the slim chance of a Keegan comeback
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For the next two weeks tauchman and cooper are basically de facto starters. Morel gets benched after the 6th inning. Plenty of room.
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Silver lining: good for Neris.
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This is all so dumb. Can we just skip to the part where PCA, Shaw, and Caissie take the jobs currently held by madrigal, mastro, and cooper
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Yeah love the spark and not giving up but also kinda feel like that was our last real shot at winning this game. Counsell isn’t going to stretch the pen here.
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Is canario available?
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Yeah that was the first place I looked, but also to be fair, his BABIP last year was 36 points above his career number, so don't think that should be the baseline. Obviously he's not .560 OPS bad, but he certainly isn't getting meaningful unlucky by any stretch.
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So, uh, when can we start talking about Cody?
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Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-14-24
squally1313 replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Bored, putting off work, etc. D Lee/Aramis spent the entirety of 2004-2009 at the Cubs corner infield combo. Lee was traded late in 2010. For my own laziness, just going to look at the complete years. In that 6 year stretch, Lee put up 21.4 fWAR and Aramis put up 21.6 fWAR. 43 fWAR total. KB and Rizzo were the combo from 2015 (technically like 2 weeks into 2015 with the service time crap but we're counting it) through 2020 (covid), so basically 5.5 years. In that time, KB put up 27.9 fWAR and Rizzo put up 22.4 fWAR, 50.3 fWAR total. Really goes to show how elite KB was for a few years there. Here's to hoping Busch/Shaw can join them. -
Morel at third to let Mike tauchman DH is a choice
