Arizona would have to pass us too.
Cubs are 77-60, Ari is 73-65, SD is 72-65. The Cubs have the tiebreaker over both. Basically either the Cubs would have to really suck and both Ari/SD would have to be decent (aka, the 2023 Cubs formula) or the Cubs would have to be .500ish and both of Ari/SD would have to get hot. Oh and Ari-SD play 3 times to end the year. The difference between 2026 and 2023 is we don't have H2H games left. The 2023 team blew it because they went 1-6 against Arizona in Sept.