WrigleyField 22
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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22
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As mentioned before Elgton Jenkins makes sense in OL and likely to hit market. McGlinchey also has a chance to hit market, but he's more an elite run blocker and more good pass blocker, when I'd rather be getting a elite pass blocker if I'm paying FA tackle money, which I'm sure he'd get on the open market. Jawaan Taylor is a guy I don't know a lot about but PFF grades him as a good pass blocker but below average run blocker. Every other tackle looks like more questionable as upgrades or on older end, but wouldn't put past Poles to get his guy to replace Borom (who would be a great swing T) Should be plenty of options at C. Hopefully they're not tied to Patrick, though he could stick around as a backup, as it'd be nice to have depth, he's not that expensive, and the Bears have tons of cash. Will then also be interesting to see if/when Whitehair comes back how he plays. I was pretty certain his days were numbered, but not as sure anymore. If they do move on, I think there will be some interesting names, but no really huge names. How does thr draft depth at OL look?
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Romeo Doubs went 61 picks after Velus Jones Jr and I think he'd be the Bears second best WR.
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Is Geisicki really a TE though? This year is his heaviest usage inline since 2018 at 97 / 269. Last year he was 99 / 827 in line with 252 of those other snaps as wide. You can run a mix of 11/12 personnel with him in the game.
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Neither are under contract for next year though. So, you'd have to give either new money. And ideally, you'd only bring 1 of them back. You basically have to decide between Harry's upside and St. Brown's run blocking. St. Brown kinda is what he is at this point, but Harry is easily the more talented WR. Ideally, whichever one you bring back is battling Velus for the 4th WR. The Bears need a real X (doesn't have to be big) and a slot. I don't think St Brown will cost much. Probably another minimum contract. Thats assuming Harry doesn't make him totally irrelevant. Harry definitely more interesting. He has the pedigree where just looking capable over the back 9 here could drive up his price in what's likely a weak WR market. Especially a WR with maybe like one starting X.
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Gesicki and one OL isn't enough for the O in FA. Gesicki is interesting. But I'd see him more as complementary to the O if they wanna get really freaky on O. Really the only question is if it's gonna be worth parting with a high value pick in order to get the best WR you can to support Fields. I lean towards no, and just use FA and draft, but not outrihht eliminating the idea. Believe Dallas TE Schultz is also a 2023 UFA, might be a better addition. Schultz looks like he's being passed on the pecking order by a 4th round Rookie TE. He's officially gonna be in "buy low one year prove it" territory.
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I'm getting more impressed with Harry and I hope he can make that decision /idea moot. He definitely won't make adding another WR moot, IMO. I don't care if he goes off for 50/540 the rest of the way, I'd still want another WR. But being he can play a true X role, you can feel much more confident going agressive at say a Jakobi Meyers type who gets 70% of his snaps from the slot. And make you comfortable that you don't need 2 WR in FA.
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I really don't want to see them only rely on the draft to give Fields weapons. They are basically gonna have to go sign 4 starters at absolute minimum, and that's if they're all really big deals. More likely theyre gonna be signing 6 starter type money deals. If at least 3 of them (WR, C, T) aren't offense Poles will have failed Fields and the O. If he does that he can go splurge on a couple DL too and then do whatever he wants in draft. I'd like to think Poles won't rely solely on the draft, he's got the resources to attack building around Fields with FA and the draft. Puts him in possibly, the best position of any team in the 2023 offseason, don't think there's another team that comes close to resources the Bears will have at their hand. Eh, there's plenty of teams with multiple 1sts including likely top 5/10 picks, and plenty of cap room too. Bears cap total, while gaudy, is way past diminishing returns. But they definitely will be like top 5 resource wise. But none of those teams (off top of my head) has a Fields level QB prospect in hand, so they'll most likely be looking for one with their resources. So maybe that evens it out. I just hate they have this much cap room. Give me one good WR and OL from the last FA class and I'd be happy to have "only" $60M in cap space.
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Fields looked good against a great D and they helped draft position. I conceptually hate admitting these exist, but yes, good loss.
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Sign the best OL to hit FA (hopefully the Colts are dumb enough to let Nelson go) Sign Mike Gesicki Use the rest of your cap space on defense Draft a WR with your 1st, add another WR and an OL on day 2 Profit Gesicki and one OL isn't enough for the O in FA. Gesicki is interesting. But I'd see him more as complementary to the O if they wanna get really freaky on O. Really the only question is if it's gonna be worth parting with a high value pick in order to get the best WR you can to support Fields. I lean towards no, and just use FA and draft, but not outrihht eliminating the idea.
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There's a chance one of them will emerge, if so, that leaves the draft to address WR, there's a chance Smith-Njigba' going to fall out of the first round. How great could it be if the Bears are able to go OL with the first round and grab Smith-Njigba with a second? I really don't want to see them only rely on the draft to give Fields weapons. They are basically gonna have to go sign 4 starters at absolute minimum, and that's if they're all really big deals. More likely theyre gonna be signing 6 starter type money deals. If at least 3 of them (WR, C, T) aren't offense Poles will have failed Fields and the O. If he does that he can go splurge on a couple DL too and then do whatever he wants in draft.
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Harry and St Brown might be just enough at X that you don't need to force yourself on a big body WR to complement Mooney and can just go get the best WR you can to help Fields, even if he's more a slot type. Just make sure you fix the OL enough so you can actually run 11 personnel and block with a 6 man protection.
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Unfortunately due to the latter issue, QB scramble is still like a top 5 play in this offense.
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I think this might be the first actually good football team we've played this season. At the very least the first really good QB right.
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Hard time believing this O has put up 29 with the limitations of its pass catchers.
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Yea, very weak call.
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The Bears were down by 21 points and ran three straight run plays and man I was annoyed. Them being in this game is one of the odder things I've watched.
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Now I hit on Khalil Herbert +250. Should have Parlayed it I guess :D
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Just settled on my +1120 N'Keal Harry TD bet that puts me up for the weekend no matter what else hits
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Posted a cap update thread for the Bears.
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Recency bias is a hell of a drug.
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Now I'm imagining a dramatic scene where Cunningham and Poles argue over the pick and it ends with Poles shedding a tear and "I can't... The board." Anyways I'm pretty sure real GMs just write down their first choice on a post it note and then overdraft them and then pull off an improbable draft day trade and go home and impregnate Jennifer Garner.
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Well, I just hope they overpay some good players. Because they will definitely overpay, as we talked about. Going to be forced to be like Jacksonville, but hopefully they get the top tier guys instead of overpaying 3rd tier players. Yea just off the top of my head: Jets and Jags got there with big splurges and had huge rookie pool numbers. Philly was already scheduled to spend most of that but also had some bigger rookie bonus pools. Miami spent a decent chunk, but the Tyreke extension did a lot of the spending. Chargers spent a decent amount while also rolling forward a decent amount.
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Yea there is definitely some trend that way. Vegas went with 65,000. But yea the basic idea is that those extra seats are the most expensive to build and generate the least revenue. Still, even with that slight downward trend, didn't expect a team to go all the way down to 60k I wonder if there is some site constraint, ie to make the stadium bigger seat wise would mean more land acquisition, etc Its the current parking lot of the stadium apparently. So I'd think similar site conditions, but maybe for modern amenities the space constraint is that much different too.
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Updated numbers, with help of PFF Brad. Bears have 177M left to spend. Draft pick bonuses and salary will be like 20-34M, let's call it 27. So they have $150M in cash they need to spend. Brad suggested $50M in money to Roquan, JJ, and Mooney. So $100M left to spend. These numbers are all cash, but for reference Jags spent 90M+ in year 1 cash last year as the top FA spender. And they also franchised and extended Cam Robinson, which ended up being another 17.5M in cash. Or another way to look at it, per Brad, they have to spend $244 next year and have $67 currently scheduled. 9 teams spent 244M+ this year, but only 4 of those weren't paying a big money QB. Miami also was just under that figure without paying for a QB: Jacksonville, New York Jets, LA Chargers, Miami, Philadelphia. Those are your comparables for "how to spend $244M with a rookie QB contract". Blend their approaches and that is what Chicago's 2023 offseason looks like
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Yea there is definitely some trend that way. Vegas went with 65,000. But yea the basic idea is that those extra seats are the most expensive to build and generate the least revenue. Still, even with that slight downward trend, didn't expect a team to go all the way down to 60k
