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They have a ton of guarantees and roster bonuses they'll restructure to push out. I mean, yea at some point they have to pay the piper so to speak. They probably will have to make some tough cuts this year. If Loomis wants to reign it in and not hand out too many back loaded contracts this year, they could probably be back well under the cap for 2023. Using OTCs calculator I got them to about 7M in space with 78M projected for next year. Maybe need to free up a little more space than that. A guy like Thomas is the interesting type of choice. Only 2M in immediate cap relief, but 16M in base salary you can save. And you can June 1 him to give yourself all the in season room you'd need. Granted that is with plenty of holes for 2022, but this would be the perfect year for a reset right? Let every good FA walk, replace them with minimum players, and collect some comp picks for 2023. That said, you can do stuff like restructure Thomas and laugh at the idea of resetting the cap all while handing out the type of FA deals they been known to do and keep most of their good players and figure out later where the exit ramp is. They've done it this long. Last I looked they have 261M in unaccrued guarantees and dead hits whereas the median team has about 150M and the smallest is at about 115M (Philly actually has even more future dead hits and guarantees to accrue). The Saints cap woes are nothing compared to last season when they had to let Trey Hendrickson walk. The will do what they always do, restructure deals and give out salaries as roster bonuses. A lot of local writers are predicting that they won't have to let anyone at all walk this year. The one real question is if they're going to pay Armstead, who is an All-Pro type LT but can't stay healthy. That defense is Super Bowl caliber, and the offense when healthy can be enough. My prediction is that they sign Jameis Winston on a 2 to 3 year incentive laden deal, draft a WR and sign a Ridley type WR from Atlanta, draft an OL and run it back out there. I mean Armstead would be the big one. But if they just go straight restructure route they'll end up eating into all their space again next year. If they make a few cuts, they can actually operate with some space in 2023. I don't know how much they believe in the D, but they don't have any real answer at QB and with Payton gone, now would be the year to kind of tank it a little. They still have plenty of younger pieces they could build back around as quickly as 2023 if they find a QB over the next 2 offseasons. Take it from a fan of a team who had a SB caliber D one year, it can be awfully fleeting.

How are they going to get under the cap? I know they’ve been excellent at maneuvering contracts to make it under the cap but at some point they have to pay the Piper. Figured it would be this season. The NFC South may be wide open but do they have a super bowl contending roster? They have a ton of guarantees and roster bonuses they'll restructure to push out. I mean, yea at some point they have to pay the piper so to speak. They probably will have to make some tough cuts this year. If Loomis wants to reign it in and not hand out too many back loaded contracts this year, they could probably be back well under the cap for 2023. Using OTCs calculator I got them to about 7M in space with 78M projected for next year. Maybe need to free up a little more space than that. A guy like Thomas is the interesting type of choice. Only 2M in immediate cap relief, but 16M in base salary you can save. And you can June 1 him to give yourself all the in season room you'd need. Granted that is with plenty of holes for 2022, but this would be the perfect year for a reset right? Let every good FA walk, replace them with minimum players, and collect some comp picks for 2023. That said, you can do stuff like restructure Thomas and laugh at the idea of resetting the cap all while handing out the type of FA deals they been known to do and keep most of their good players and figure out later where the exit ramp is. They've done it this long. Last I looked they have 261M in unaccrued guarantees and dead hits whereas the median team has about 150M and the smallest is at about 115M (Philly actually has even more future dead hits and guarantees to accrue).

I thought I read they would save $5 mil if they cut him in June? I'd agree, $2 mil savings is probably worth taking a flyer on him. Cash savings vs salary cap savings? Aka real savings vs fake savings. But I think it's actually 4M v 2.25M. Unless there are some injury guarantees which there might be, but maybe not.

I took "athletic" to mean more just a scrambler, and Moon was one of the all time best QB's, period I believe the comment was more about how people assumed Byron Leftwich was a mobile QB, because of reasons, when he really wasn't much of one. Yes. Also the "Old enough to remember" joke format typically is meant to be something not that old. Honestly I underdid it. *that's the joke.gif*

Warren Moon Randell Cunningham Don't remember but, wasn't Moon more of a pocket passer? Cunningham, on the hand, was certainly mobile and had a big arm. I'm only old enough to remember pocket passer Cunningham post injury.

I'm old enough to remember when athletic black QBs were comped to Byron Leftwich.

Lotta mouth pieces defending this one. And maybe Hightower is a good coach , but this is probably the first big coach disappointment with the Bissaccia rumors. Not the least of which because it looks like he'll land in GB. Really interesting if Eberflus fills out his entire staff and doesn't get any former HC. Maybe Marinelli still in play for DL? No idea how good he is but I love hiring the guy whose unit almost single handedly eliminated the Packers from the playoffs if only for trolling reasons Sounds like they've generally ranked low in ST numbers. But maybe that's just an end of roster issue for SF.

Lotta mouth pieces defending this one. And maybe Hightower is a good coach , but this is probably the first big coach disappointment with the Bissaccia rumors. Not the least of which because it looks like he'll land in GB. Really interesting if Eberflus fills out his entire staff and doesn't get any former HC. Maybe Marinelli still in play for DL?

As much as football sabermetrics are improving, I think it's still extremely hard to disentangle individual performance from line play, scheme, a head coach that likes to run it straight up the middle in every obvious running down, etc. And all of those factors have not been doing Montgomery any favors. That said, I don't think he is anything more than pretty good. It was silly to trade up for him and it would be even sillier to give him a meaningful second contract. The problem is that the expected yards metric says exactly what it's critics are saying vis a vie the Bears line play and play calling. 3.95 expected yard per rush is damn near the bottom for qualified backs. And as I've eyeballed that metric it seems to align pretty well on my intuition of teams with good scheme and line play and those that are poor. But intersecting Y/c with expected is something I'm not entirely sure of. At best it seems to tell us that there's scarcely any differenence between most RB while failing pretty bad to measure the extreme outliers. This variance issue does seem to lessen with large multi year samples. So it's perhaps not awful, but probably lacking any predictive value over a single season. But at the end of the day, DM isn't efficient. Doesn't mean he doesn't provide value. Ironically though many of the people who are most pissed about the article would probably love the alternative take. That if you want to improve your running game, invest 10M in your lineman to improve your expected value instead of 10M to a RB who will most likely struggle to significantly out perform his line play. The rest of the fan reaction is over emotional investment in DM who's play has been admirable given circumstances, but ultimately of seriously questionable long term value over other options.

And it's breaking Bears Twitter. I don't think the RYOE stat is being well understood though. I've seen so many complain that well actually it doesn't account for DMs line play. Except it does. The "expected" has his among the worse measures. And the Y/C still isn't producing above that. I think a little bit of the Montgomery fan love is a little bit like the CF who makes a ton of diving catches. DM breaking tackles is like his diving catch. We like breaking tackles and DM gives us a lot of them, but actually he's just breaking tackles others might avoid completely. He's a nice back and let's see what he does this year in a new system and new line, but my assumption is that he won't be worth paying even if he makes some continued strides. And frankly the potential of Herbert plays into a lot of that.

Probably baseless speculation/hope the Bears are targeting the Ravens top analytic guy. He appears to have gone to college at Loyola, not sure if he's from Chicago or not. https://www.linkedin.com/in/corey-krawiec-21766a10 Interned in Bears ticket office, which George used to run (not sure if same time).

Well with everyone else chasing one type just means prob most will be back in the carousel in a few years. Good chance the Bears will too obviously, but hopefully the first choice of a D guy is better than the 6th best O guy. (positive thinking)

Aka enthusiasm.

Looks like Richard has gotten a few DC looks. Also possible he could just stay in NO and maybe even get a promotion depending on what they do. But if he doesn't get one of the DC jobs and he gets let go from NO, absolutely.

Can he bring Kittle with him? In other coaching news, Jacksonville is hiring Doug Pederson. That hopefully frees up Bissaccia to join Eberflus's staff as ST Coordinator, as rumored before.

Huh. I can get that Daboll would decide to cede play calling. I like that Eberflus did it on D side after all. But that he's hiring outside of not just his immediate circle, but even outside of his "family" of the E-P system is weird. Is Kafka going to pick up E-P language or is Daboll going to have his OC install WC language? Schematically I don't know if it's necessarily an issue, but still odd from a knowledge transfer standpoint. Edit - only posting here since I know Daboll was such a popular name specifically for the desire to bring his O with.

Lol fuuucck the Blackhawks.

Only head coach and GM get comp picks.

Wow

Which guy was that again?

Maybe it's actually gonna be Commandos. That would be a group.

Is it better than Admirals?

I rest my case That clip was after Brady was canned for whatever thats worth.

Yea but Darnold.

Do we know he's never bit anyone?