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David

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Everything posted by David

  1. No surprise...Lester starting opening day.
  2. it was...and when he was in LA
  3. FJM i had wasted all my cringe on the IBM line by the time i got to that point
  4. [tweet] [/tweet]
  5. he was a decent pitcher for the dodgers in the mid 90s but he kinda sucked by the time the cubs got him...and yeah, blisters.
  6. I don't give a horsefeathers about winning culture, but they are winning because their important players are playing really well.
  7. i remember getting into a huge argument with you about soriano batting 1st. i don't even remember what side i was on, but i'm guessing i said him hitting leadoff was fine.
  8. They're definitely a playoff team next year with any semblance of health to the core pieces. Lauri, Otto, and Zach are horsefeathering balling. And I'm sure they'll add something decent in free agency. I'm gonna do whatever good luck horsefeathers I can on lottery day
  9. all i remember is i got a small upset win in one round and then rawaction slaughtered me
  10. my favorite was when meph PMed me from one of his burner accounts that we had all figured out basically asking "don't you like me? don't tell them it's me"
  11. this is all much easier to make sense of in an expected value sense rather than from a hindsight standpoint. who cares about hindsight? you can't make decisions in hindsight. with every one of these scenarios, there's an expected value at the time the decision is made. that's what should be driving these decisions...i don't really care how the scenario plays out after the fact as far as good, bad, better, worse, whatever range of possible outcomes.
  12. if this is worded too awkwardly, here's a gross oversimplification to make it clear what i mean if a player would rather sign a 6 year deal for $200M with an opt out after, say, year 3, than a 6 year deal for $300M with no opt out, then the opt out is good for the team. what that dollar valuation is, i have no horsefeathering idea, but it exists. I think the value is that if you're willing to give one the player will be more willing to sign with you. I don't think you're getting that much of a financial discount to include one. It sure didn't help bring down the Heyward price. but it still has a monetary value, even if that's just a theoretical concept. if another team offers him more money, there's a point at which he should or would say "screw the opt out, i'll take more money" and whatever that number is is the value.
  13. opt outs have monetary value and if the value in dollars given up in exchange for them outweighs the risked value involved with the opt out, then it is good for the team if this is worded too awkwardly, here's a gross oversimplification to make it clear what i mean if a player would rather sign a 6 year deal for $200M with an opt out after, say, year 3, than a 6 year deal for $300M with no opt out, then the opt out is good for the team. what that dollar valuation is, i have no horsefeathering idea, but it exists.
  14. opt outs have monetary value and if the value in dollars given up in exchange for them outweighs the risked value involved with the opt out, then it is good for the team
  15. [tweet] [/tweet]
  16. wasn't there talk that mlb would step in if a team tried to circumvent the luxury tax by reducing the AAV with a ridiculously long contract like NHL teams try to do? i suppose you can barely pull a 13 year deal off with a 26 year old, tho.
  17. yeah and we're doing that thing again where we pretend that the opt outs don't have monetary value and aren't exchanged for guaranteed dollars. kyle likes to go this route a lot when he goes all "the player opt outs are pure downside for the team"
  18. Out of curiosity, are they accounting for potential inflation on the $/WAR calculation in any way?
  19. Supposedly 4/180, and while tempting I don't blame him for not taking it. The way things are going I doubt he'd have made 150M after those 4 years. I think he could've managed to make that in nine years.
  20. This feels so much like Beltran did
  21. ...so you think the Phils would be better off paying Harper 330 mil over a 5 year contract instead of a 13 year contract or something to that effect? No I think he just thought this was an interesting fact.
  22. i mean arod got 25M almost 20 years ago
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