or accidentally win 7 games because of parity and an only 16 game schedule variance can swing a season winning percentage much more than in any sport. two plays can literally be the difference between a .500 or a .375 winning percentage. I get that, but I suspect this team is already pretty far on the plus side of that variance. This isn't a .375 team that might get lucky and threaten .500. This is a horsefeathers team that has gotten lucky to threaten .375. but positive variance in the bank has no influence on future variance. this may be that shitty of a team, but they also have the 49ers, browns, and bengals on their schedule. those first two are games they'll be favored in, let alone win on luck, and the bengals are just as mediocre-bad as the bears. fortunately, on the plus side, they have almost certain losses against the eagles and vikings and they could easily lose both against the lions.