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David

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Everything posted by David

  1. David
    Why are you citing what is essentially a meaningless stat? It has no predictive value and only tells you how lucky the hitter has been in the past.
  2. David
    what are the sample sizes here? comparing murton's handful of plate appearances to floyd's wealth of them doesn't exactly paint an accurate picture. 190 ab's for Murton and 243 for Floyd. that's what i get for speaking without looking. It was actually only 118 ABs for the stats (righty splits) he cited on Murton. ESPN doesn't list PAs and I don't feel like checking another site right now, but it certainly wasn't 190. Floyd has 213 ABs vs. righties.
  3. David
    Sweet...
  4. David

    90 wins?

    David replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk

    22-7 right? After today's game, ya.
  5. David
    For the love of God...has ANYONE heard ANYTHING about Greg Olsen's knee yet???
  6. David
    Trachsel is a useful arm for unloading groceries or laying sod. As a pitcher, he's one of MLB's worst. You've heard of addition by subtraction? Welcome to subtraction by addition. This isn't terrible: His ERA+ is 99 which makes him an above average starter. He's pretty useful. Wouldn't that ERA+ make him just a hair below average (or basically average)? I was under the impression that the ERA+ scale was similar to an IQ scale in that 100 = average. How wrong was I?
  7. David

    90 wins?

    David replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk

    Totally forgot about this thread...but updated 90 seems mostly out of reach now...but it's not 100% unrealistic. It'll definitely take a 5-6 game winning streak, or an 8/10 or so stretch to really put it into the realm of possibility, though. 87-88 seems like the high end of what we can reasonably expect at this point. We'll see, though.
  8. David
    Their pitchers depend on that defense a LOT...I think this actually could hurt them quite a bit...also because the middle infield rotation was working well because of rest and matchups...if Ryan, Miles et al are playing every day, as opposed to just when matchups favor them, I think you'll see drop offs in their production. They may depend on that defense a lot, but how many chances is the replacement 3B actually going to get per game that they won't be able to make but that Rolen would have made? The difference between a great fielder and an average one isn't all that much. In the short term, it probably won't even show itself. EDITED - to make a little more sense
  9. David
    What gets under my skin is that the Cubs are paying an elite salary to an above average player. It really, really sucks.
  10. David
    Honestly, you can't really compare them. Most of the time when someone else batted leadoff Soriano was not in the lineup and you lose his production. Personal rule of thumb, which every team shoudl use. Never give out contracts for more than 5 years. It can only end bad. Usually. But I would've given Pujols an 8-9 year deal coming out of his rookie contract without hesitation. Same goes for ARod. His contract didn't turn bad because of the length, but more because the Rangers spent too much money on him to be able to afford to put a team around him. That's on them for allocating more payroll than they could afford to one player. And I'd do the same for Miguel Cabrera when he hits free agency, assuming he doesn't keep getting fatter and fatter.
  11. David
    If you made manny 3(? was that the season?) years younger and wound back his contract and put him on waivers again, he'd be grabbed. Unfortunately, Soriano isn't anywhere near as good as Manny. So winding the clock back on Manny doesn't really level the playing field. It just puts it even further in Manny's favor.
  12. David
    True. I've never been able to muster up much hatred for the guy. When he joined the Cards, I remember something about Rolen refusing to really talk to the Cubs at all. That's not going to score a lot of points with me, but maybe I'm wrong about that. He does seem like a pretty decent guy. I hope he never plays well for the Cards again, though. Let him heal up and come to the Cubs for a resurgence 8-) I think we've got 3B taken care of for a while. And it's damn nice to say that.
  13. David
    if by "being Z" you mean pitching a shutout last night.... Not necessarily. What if Z only gives up 2? Maybe the offense finds a way to squeeze a couple across. Besides, it's not like you were only referring to last night. EDIT - I guess you sort of were, since he would've had to have won all 4, but whatever. Meh.
  14. David
    They've been better pitchers than Z. Pitching is done on the mound. His effectiveness on the mound = his effectiveness as a pitcher. Z has been a better hitter. What you're saying is tantamount to saying that, I don't know, Mike Piazza was a better catcher than Charles Johnson. It makes far more sense to say that Piazza is a better hitter than to say he's a better catcher. Sure, it wouldn't be entirely inaccurate, because it would be no different than saying something like, "Manny Ramirez is one of the top left fielders in the league." Phrases like that are pretty commonly accepted, even though they're obviously referring to the much more important skillset at the plate than his actual abilities as a left fielder. But intuitively, I don't think it makes much sense. Cliffs: Even if you think that Z has been more valuable because of his hitting, which seems to be the point LoK is making, it makes more sense to say that Hill and Lilly have been better pitchers. Z is a better hitter and perhaps better overall.
  15. David
    In terms of my concerns about what could help the Cardinals overtake us in the standings this last month, Scott Rolen's defense at 3B was nowhere on my list. It's quite possible that his replacement could out perform the piss-poor year he's having at the plate.
  16. David
    Except for this year, the result of this inconsistency is a 4.06 ERA when in previous years it was 3.41, 3.26, 2.75, 3.11. He's still got time to continue this supposed trend and post a dominant September that takes him into the mid-3's, though.
  17. David
    Doesn't he pretty much blow this year anyway? Or was he a big part of their recent push?
  18. David
    you're going to judge him on one night? every pitcher has a bad night. does webb suck because the padres scored 5 off of him last night? he must not be the diamondback's best pitcher by your logic. Zambrano hasn't been the best pitcher on the Cubs this season. Hill and Lilly have been better. who do you start game 1 in the playoffs (assuming they're all equally rested)? don't know about you...but i start big Z. Honestly, I wouldn't. I think he would be too jacked up for game 1 and be all over the place. Although, he might be jacked up any game of a playoff series that he starts. Kinda like 2003 when we gave him a 3-0 lead in game 1 of the NLCS and he preceded to give up 3 HRs in a span of 4 batters when he only gave up 9 HR all year. i was at that game in atlanta. he was what...21 yrs old then? not sure its still relevant to today. That game was actually in Chicago vs. the Marlins. We might've swept that series had we won that game (which we probably should've). Who knows if things would've gone at all differently thereafter had we won game 1, though. All we have are 'what ifs.'
  19. David
    Is this a joke? It almost sounds like you are trolling for responses. Are you going to start talking about fire and intensity now and suggesting that Lou needs to throw a fit and start throwing bases around out there to light a fire under the team?
  20. David
    Oh God. Are you seriously citing a player's facial expressions now?? Seriously?? Oh God. Yes I am. Seriously. Only a fool would think that something's not wrong with him based on that, and his poor offensive production this year. But don't let me muddy up your pollyannish view of this team, that's everything's just swell. You can argue that things aren't swell at all (and I wouldn't really disagree, I already said that this is a mediocre team that's leading a less than mediocre division, nothing more). But using facial expressions as evidence isn't going to make you a strong case. Not with me at least. By the way, what poor offensive production? You mean he's not living up to his insane 2005 season? Wow. Who would've expected that? I wouldn't exactly call .313/.400/.492 poor, though. Maybe not as good as we'd like.
  21. David
    Oh God. Are you seriously citing a player's facial expressions now?? Seriously??
  22. David
    Not to mention the fact that us not getting too up in arms about possibly losing this series obviously would affect the team's effort level somehow. I may not be happy with losing 2/3, but facts are facts. If we lose tonight and tomorrow, we're only losing a game of ground. No need for us to panic. The players have to take care of business. At this point, it looks like slightly over .500 will be good enough to do so. In the meantime, we'll be seeing a lot of mediocre baseball.
  23. David
    Wait, what the hell? We lost that game in extras. Tied it in the 8th, though.
  24. David
    the game where Pickler sang possibly??? Really? Wow. Thanks for the insight there, chief. ;)
  25. David
    Nevermind.. got it. June 12th vs Mariners.
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