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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. They need it, they're way down this year. Tom Izzo is still their coach, they will be fine. I'm sure they won't humiliate themselves(mainly due to Izzo), but they really need the influx of talent their '07 class will get them, unless Morgan is a lot better than I thought. When Drew Neitzel is expected to carry the scoring load...
  2. They need it, they're way down this year.
  3. Daisuke then Schmidt
  4. Nope. Miller: 21.2 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 1.11 K/BB, 1.66 HR/9, .232/.376/.402/.771 line against Marshall: 125.2 IP, 1.52 WHIP, 1.30 K/BB, 1.43 HR/9, .270/.356/.444/.795 line against Marmol: 77 IP, 1.69 WHIP, 1.00 K/BB, 1.63 HR/9, .250/.386/.482/.862 line against Guzman: 56 IP, 1.88 WHIP, 1.62 K/BB, 1.44 HR/9, .308/.416/.507/.915 line against Mateo: 45.2 IP, 1.62 WHIP, 1.52 K/BB, 1.18 HR/9, .288/.376/.475/.841 line against Ryu: 15 IP, 1.93 WHIP, 2.83 K/BB, 4.26 HR/9, .348/.419/.758/1.160 line against :?: Not helping your cause here. It would've been disengenous to conveniently leave him off. The contention was that Miller was significantly better than all of them. When in actuality, he was significantly better than all of them except Sean Marshall. Not sure what your point is. I like the signing. Aside from Ryu, there's not much separating all those guys. But I've said my piece and made the pont I wanted to make, so whatever.
  5. And like USS pointed out, the decline is almost entirely AVG based. His LD% has gone down some, but that's not exactly predictable.
  6. Nope. Miller: 21.2 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 1.11 K/BB, 1.66 HR/9, .232/.376/.402/.771 line against Marshall: 125.2 IP, 1.52 WHIP, 1.30 K/BB, 1.43 HR/9, .270/.356/.444/.795 line against Marmol: 77 IP, 1.69 WHIP, 1.00 K/BB, 1.63 HR/9, .250/.386/.482/.862 line against Guzman: 56 IP, 1.88 WHIP, 1.62 K/BB, 1.44 HR/9, .308/.416/.507/.915 line against Mateo: 45.2 IP, 1.62 WHIP, 1.52 K/BB, 1.18 HR/9, .288/.376/.475/.841 line against Ryu: 15 IP, 1.93 WHIP, 2.83 K/BB, 4.26 HR/9, .348/.419/.758/1.160 line against :?: Not helping your cause here. It would've been disengenous to conveniently leave him off. The contention was that Miller was significantly better than all of them.
  7. I'm not talking about any of them missing time, I'm talking about Miller's injuries taking away from his stuff. His arm isn't the same as it was when he was good 3+ years ago. Like I just said, I think you have to at the least call into question Miller's potential to return to that form. At that point, I don't see why he's any better of an option than any of the young guys, which is what I said in my original post.
  8. Vests are pretty good when they're done right(Cleveland, Pittsburgh). When they have pinstripes, not so much.
  9. Are you kidding me? They were all terrible last year, and none of them are near being fantastic prospects who are just bound to improve in 2007. Prospects who aren't top of the line have no progression or hope for improvement? And again, how are they different than Miller, who sucked too and has a major surgery casting doubt as to whether he'll ever be the same as before said procedure? I think it's really unlikely Miller is better than all of those younger guys next year.
  10. He's actually performed at a high level before, none of those guys have. Career ERA+ of 112. You might be lucky to get 100 innings of 90 ERA+ out of any of those other options. Miller might be able to give you 150 inning at 100-110, and it wouldn't be ridiculous if he gave you 190 innings at 120 ERA+. What makes Miller more likely to be good than any of the younger guys? The Cubs made the playoffs the last time he threw a full season, he had major rotator cuff surgery, and he was terrible in his brief stint in the majors this year. He's done it in the past, but he's not the same guy he was when he was successful. I'm not saying he's very likely to be good. But those kids are almost locks not to be good. They all sucked last year, and none of them should have, or would have, been in the majors anyway. Again, why are all of those kids near locks to be terrible? Miller was just as bad as them, is 30 years old coming off major shoulder surgery, and he's a more reliable option? I don't buy that.
  11. He's actually performed at a high level before, none of those guys have. Career ERA+ of 112. You might be lucky to get 100 innings of 90 ERA+ out of any of those other options. Miller might be able to give you 150 inning at 100-110, and it wouldn't be ridiculous if he gave you 190 innings at 120 ERA+. What makes Miller more likely to be good than any of the younger guys? The Cubs made the playoffs the last time he threw a full season, he had major rotator cuff surgery, and he was terrible in his brief stint in the majors this year. Miller's terrible end of 2006 was still much better than any of the young guys besides Hill end of 2006. Nope. Miller: 21.2 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 1.11 K/BB, 1.66 HR/9, .232/.376/.402/.771 line against Marshall: 125.2 IP, 1.52 WHIP, 1.30 K/BB, 1.43 HR/9, .270/.356/.444/.795 line against Marmol: 77 IP, 1.69 WHIP, 1.00 K/BB, 1.63 HR/9, .250/.386/.482/.862 line against Guzman: 56 IP, 1.88 WHIP, 1.62 K/BB, 1.44 HR/9, .308/.416/.507/.915 line against Mateo: 45.2 IP, 1.62 WHIP, 1.52 K/BB, 1.18 HR/9, .288/.376/.475/.841 line against Ryu: 15 IP, 1.93 WHIP, 2.83 K/BB, 4.26 HR/9, .348/.419/.758/1.160 line against
  12. He's actually performed at a high level before, none of those guys have. Career ERA+ of 112. You might be lucky to get 100 innings of 90 ERA+ out of any of those other options. Miller might be able to give you 150 inning at 100-110, and it wouldn't be ridiculous if he gave you 190 innings at 120 ERA+. What makes Miller more likely to be good than any of the younger guys? The Cubs made the playoffs the last time he threw a full season, he had major rotator cuff surgery, and he was terrible in his brief stint in the majors this year. He's done it in the past, but he's not the same guy he was when he was successful.
  13. I don't understand why Miller is a more appealing option than Marshall, Marmol, Mateo, Guzman, or Ryu.
  14. If you play for one run that's the most you can get. Approach should change based on the count though. Factors like the umpire's zone that day, the hitter's confidence in recognizing the pitcher's different pitches, etc. impact how far beyond hitting "your" pitch you should go. The hitter should always be aiming for hard contact.
  15. 5/$75m is only $15m per. I blame the economics talk in Social. 15 mil a year probably puts Ramirez near the top 10 depending on what other contracts are signed this offseason.
  16. how's drews CF defense? its easier to get a RF bat. It's also harder to get Drew and a RF bat than just getting Drew. It's hard to tell how his defense is in CF, he's got just over a season's worth of time there and half of it was back in his STL days. For his career he seems to be average, although the last two years he got more than a couple games he was below average(all of this based on BP's Rate, a far from infallible source).
  17. But it might increase strikeouts, which is the worst possible thing in the world. It would totally offset any increase in OPS, or runs scored for that matter. How would it increase strikeouts? You're much less likely to K on pitches in the zone than you are out of the zone, well, unless you're a freak like Vlad Guerrero. Being more selective and swinging at pitches in the zone means you take more strikes, which means you end up with two strikes more often, which leads to more K's.
  18. How about a 30 million dollar bid with a 4/30 contract with a player option for the 5th year?
  19. [hyperbolic smack talk] You haven't given Huggins enough time yet, I'm sure he can get into as much trouble as Dollar Bill if you give him a season or two. :P [/hyperbolic smack talk]
  20. Just because USC beat them in Week 1? You're arguing that Arkansas going undefeated in the SEC doesn't deserve to be ranked above a USC team that lost to an unranked Oregon St. ? Every game matters. If two major conference teams both have one loss and Team A beat Team B, then why shouldn't Team A be ranked ahead? strength of schedule, conference record, when the game was, etc., etc., etc. In this situation I don't think that holds up. USC went to Arkansas and smoked them, it's not as if USC barely held on at home. I don't think "when the game was" should have much if any weight.
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