Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Well that is gonna make the USA/Uruguay game theory complicated, unless Costa Rica can bunker their way to a draw against Colombia too.
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Hungary I think is through now simply with an England win, which probably does not make Scotland feel very warm and fuzzy after the PK they didn't get yesterday.
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The Cubs are 9th highest in Z-Swing, 17th highest in O-Swing, while being 12th in Swing % overall. I don't see an easy way to break that down by count, but considering they're 19th in Ks and 9th in BBs I don't see any reason to think they're a big outlier. I think the degree to which that gets noticed is due to 1) taken strike threes are way more memorable and 2) there's a league wide shift due to how much harder pitch recognition is with tunneling and how good pitchers are at inducing chase. -
I'm going to be attending the Uruguay match so I really hope that too. If it helps, Panama doesn't face the full USMNT all that often since Gold Cups are often rotated squads, and the last time it happened the US smashed them 5-1 at the end of WCQ.
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he'll be out on review but Busch needs to throw that overhand
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we just had to make an injury update thread didn't we
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-22-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Statcast has him between 90-92. However, we've seen enough jumps in velocity from other promoted pitchers that I'm skeptical of the calibration with Iowa/AAA. Also, Statcast is listing all of these as cutters, so there may be some intentional tradeoffs of the last tick or two for greater movement. -
feels like Iglesias kinda played himself on that, flatter angle he may have been able to get there on the big hop instead of having to read the skipped hop mid-dive
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39 million/7% more using the NPV calculation widely reported as Ohtani's LT hit.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-22-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I always pay attention to his line and my unscientific opinion is he's one more adjustment from being a surprisingly good prospect. He's stopped having disaster outings and the K's are clearly there, plus he's eating up significant innings relative to other prospects. But he's too frequently getting barreled(e.g. 7+ hits over 5 IP, HR in bunches) in a way that makes me think there's a repertoire refinement that can get him over the hump. -
this is fun, I'm having fun
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10/500 without deferrals is more than Ohtani signed for.
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I think if anything it's nearly the opposite. There was good sourcing that they made Ohtani a very competitive offer, for example. Obviously almost doesn't sign the player, but in that case since he was always destined to go to LA, we continue to have people bang the drum that Jed's only capable of making insulting offers and isn't even trying for certain players.
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Definitely academic now, but there's not a likely situation when you want a RHH, even in that outcome. Amaya's hitting among 6 straight RHH so a LHP is unlikely to be called on to face him or those around him, so the likely outcome is one of the lefties anyway. Mayyybe in a situation where you also pinch hit for Bote in 9th inning desperation but then you add in the Mets only have one LHRP(Diekman) and it's not their setup/closer and you're left with it not being at all likely.
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I don't think this really matters now that there's a DH. The only LHH to pinch hit for with a righty is Bellinger.
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The phrasing I saw first was that Carl opted out, I think he and Roberts had June 15 opt out dates.
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It was his turn to be seduced by the siren song of Luis Torrens. Rite of passage for a front office exec really.
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Off-day conversation 6/20
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm always curious what the line is on these types of repertoire changes where it's a meaningful difference v. noise or particular matchups. Last year was an outlier but otherwise post-pandemic Kyle has thrown roughly 10% curveballs. The difference between that and his usage yesterday is about 1 curve per inning. Does that make a huge/sustainable difference? Obviously the other large factor is *when* he's throwing those curves, which I don't know how to get to quickly. Would be very nice if that gave him a shot in the arm, at this point I'd settle for him pitching well against the Giants again next week even if the ensuing starts against Philly and Baltimore are less rosy. -
Law with a new mock: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5572706/2024/06/19/mlb-mock-draft-2024-charlie-condon-bryce-rainer/?campaign=5888993&source=dailyemail&userId=166050
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Busch is now 3rd in 1B wRC+, behind only Freeman and Harper
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Estrada wyd buddy, gotta make a business decision on a throw like that
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Ian "probably the Zodiac killer with a time machine" Happ now tracking for the best full-season line of his career
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Levine's tweet phrasing always leaves a little to be desired, and it's not an entirely clear situation. My interpretation was that 1) Brown had a stress reaction in his neck 2) the spot on his neck with the reaction is not in a particularly problematic area(either for recurrence or impacting pitching), so now that the discomfort is dissipating he can start building up again. Counsell said when he first went on the IL that there's not much history of this type of injury in this location, so I imagine everyone's doing the best they can to frame it in a way that makes sense given how little is certain.
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Gameday says it is a lefty, Erik Miller.
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Best I can tell from name searching, Pipeline says he was built like Machado at the same age, and Marquee did a puff piece that dropped A-Rod/Machado. Pretty far from some universal consensus being rewritten but I've already lost track of what the point of bringing that up might be.
