Transmogrified Tiger
-
Posts
38,760 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
70
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
-
39 million/7% more using the NPV calculation widely reported as Ohtani's LT hit.
-
Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-22-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I always pay attention to his line and my unscientific opinion is he's one more adjustment from being a surprisingly good prospect. He's stopped having disaster outings and the K's are clearly there, plus he's eating up significant innings relative to other prospects. But he's too frequently getting barreled(e.g. 7+ hits over 5 IP, HR in bunches) in a way that makes me think there's a repertoire refinement that can get him over the hump. -
this is fun, I'm having fun
-
10/500 without deferrals is more than Ohtani signed for.
-
I think if anything it's nearly the opposite. There was good sourcing that they made Ohtani a very competitive offer, for example. Obviously almost doesn't sign the player, but in that case since he was always destined to go to LA, we continue to have people bang the drum that Jed's only capable of making insulting offers and isn't even trying for certain players.
-
Definitely academic now, but there's not a likely situation when you want a RHH, even in that outcome. Amaya's hitting among 6 straight RHH so a LHP is unlikely to be called on to face him or those around him, so the likely outcome is one of the lefties anyway. Mayyybe in a situation where you also pinch hit for Bote in 9th inning desperation but then you add in the Mets only have one LHRP(Diekman) and it's not their setup/closer and you're left with it not being at all likely.
-
I don't think this really matters now that there's a DH. The only LHH to pinch hit for with a righty is Bellinger.
-
The phrasing I saw first was that Carl opted out, I think he and Roberts had June 15 opt out dates.
-
It was his turn to be seduced by the siren song of Luis Torrens. Rite of passage for a front office exec really.
-
Off-day conversation 6/20
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm always curious what the line is on these types of repertoire changes where it's a meaningful difference v. noise or particular matchups. Last year was an outlier but otherwise post-pandemic Kyle has thrown roughly 10% curveballs. The difference between that and his usage yesterday is about 1 curve per inning. Does that make a huge/sustainable difference? Obviously the other large factor is *when* he's throwing those curves, which I don't know how to get to quickly. Would be very nice if that gave him a shot in the arm, at this point I'd settle for him pitching well against the Giants again next week even if the ensuing starts against Philly and Baltimore are less rosy. -
Law with a new mock: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5572706/2024/06/19/mlb-mock-draft-2024-charlie-condon-bryce-rainer/?campaign=5888993&source=dailyemail&userId=166050
-
Busch is now 3rd in 1B wRC+, behind only Freeman and Harper
-
Estrada wyd buddy, gotta make a business decision on a throw like that
-
Ian "probably the Zodiac killer with a time machine" Happ now tracking for the best full-season line of his career
-
Levine's tweet phrasing always leaves a little to be desired, and it's not an entirely clear situation. My interpretation was that 1) Brown had a stress reaction in his neck 2) the spot on his neck with the reaction is not in a particularly problematic area(either for recurrence or impacting pitching), so now that the discomfort is dissipating he can start building up again. Counsell said when he first went on the IL that there's not much history of this type of injury in this location, so I imagine everyone's doing the best they can to frame it in a way that makes sense given how little is certain.
-
Gameday says it is a lefty, Erik Miller.
-
Best I can tell from name searching, Pipeline says he was built like Machado at the same age, and Marquee did a puff piece that dropped A-Rod/Machado. Pretty far from some universal consensus being rewritten but I've already lost track of what the point of bringing that up might be.
-
Gas money outta town
-
huh, I thought that was a more obvious send than the first one
-
Come on man, we don't have to re-live statistical arguments from 2005. I'm not even talking about expected stats or batted ball stuff, I'm talking about how AVG probably isn't in the top 10 of outcomes stats that you would want to use for this purpose.
-
1. Please stop citing batting average like this, it's an unserious way to make the argument 2. Please familiarize yourself with how poorly the league is hitting, even using your silly criteria there are 135 players hitting .210 or below, the median team is going to have 5 of those guys.
-
Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-18-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Is Rosario really playing CF? -
1. The window where Brown wasn't needed in the rotation or needed to go multiple innings as a hedge before Hendricks was yanked from the rotation was a very small one. If everyone is healthy(including Brown) I would expect that Brown in leverage relief is something they would do, but they have not really had the opportunity. And he certainly wasn't failing in the rotation so if the need is there it makes sense to have him provide more value across more innings. 2. Miller threw 2 IP to finish a win in his last outing, he threw enough pitches(and it was his 3rd outing in 4 days) that he likely wasn't available Sunday or Monday. I'd expect to see him with similar usage to Wesneski, probably not being used the same days to avoid these issues with availability. 3. Wisdom is a better hitter than Canario, and Madrigal's (limited) playing time was not at the expense of any meaningful at bats that could have gone to Canario.
-
There are many better ways to understand offensive production than home runs and RBI. I don't love the Busch/Alonso comparison because they aren't mutually exclusive and there's reason to think Alonso might have hit better outside of New York. But saying 'look he hits 30 HR and drives in 100 RBI every year, he's a star and we don't have that' is so crude a way to evaluate that it's basically useless. If we take their production so far this year at face value, it is better in all ways to have had Busch instead of Alonso. They've been similar offensive players with Busch showing better defensively, and more importantly, costing 20 million dollars less which means they didn't have to forego someone like Shota or Bellinger to get that production. That's before we consider that Busch is under team control through 2029 while Alonso will be a FA in the winter.
-
A lot of that has to due with park and run environment. PCA has a 99 wRC+ at AAA and and a 106 last year, in both cases there were 7 other players at Iowa with as many or more PA and better offensive production.
