it has samardzija, silva and mitch atkins all getting a pretty good amount of playing time and doing terribly (~5.5 ERA), and projects patton to have a 6.79 ERA in 55 innings. if any of those guys are that bad, they won't get the kind of innings that PECOTA thinks they'll get, and they'll be replaced by someone (gaub, parker) who would probably do better. Atkins? Patton? That's really dumb. None of those guys mentioned should be starting beyond April(unless they're outperforming projections by quite a bit), and none of them are going to touch meaningful bullpen innings unless Samardzija is lights out. Even with injury there's Marmol, Guzman, Grabow, and Marshall that are entrenched, plus more talented guys like Gaub and Parker that could be breaking through.