I think you can make an argument that dollars aren't going to mean too much if Otani comes over this year. Unless I'm misunderstanding the rules, the spread between teams isn't that large, the most a team can offer is basically 6 million. That's barely anything compared to the money he'd make in arbitration alone. It wouldn't be a difficult sell to say that Otani is more marketable as a Cub than most other places too, getting to be on a young team at the top of the league in a huge market. That alone probably bridges the 5 million gap, and the Cubs being a bit more generous than average with pre-arb awards(with Bryant as precedent) further puts a dent in it. Other teams like the Dodgers(who also can only offer 300k) and Yankees can make similar arguments, but if the Cubs win a ton of games and maybe another title this year, they'll have the team quality that is hard to argue with.