Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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My probably dumb strategy this year was to optimize for SP experience/durability. Both because post-pandemic there's gonna be a ton of 100-110 IP SP that won't add as much value as those who do get to 150-170, and because in our league we bumped up the IP requirement and dropped a pitching category(making it 6x5) which devalued the average pitcher. I don't have any deep sleepers since I'm pretty sure ESPN had multiple made up players in our auction last night, but in terms of guys I like more than the consensus: Verdugo, Pham, J Turner, Carson Kelly(mostly as backup/super deep league), Musgrove, and Desclafani.
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And then the following week we get back to the best competition on earth. That's right CONCACAF Champions League kicks off in just 7 days. I do have to say I am not overly optimistic about the quality of MLS teams that are participating in this year's event. Columbus, Atlanta, Philadelphia and Portland aren't exactly the cream of the MLS crop, but hey, one of them might beat a Mexican team. Columbus is definitely a Top 4 MLS team at the moment, maybe Portland too depending on your opinion of their offseason. Big problem is the draws are basically the opposite of what you'd hope for to maximize MLS advancement too. Best hopes are Atlanta gelling quickly and making it through the weaker quadrant of the bracket, and either Columbus or Portland outslugging a Mexican team or two and making a run.
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And then the following week we get back to the best competition on earth. That's right CONCACAF Champions League kicks off in just 7 days.
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Mad at myself for not thinking of this one.
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Bryant is a Top 5 MVP candidate Williams leads the rotation in ERA through merit and not by default Cubs win 90+ games and the division It is the last time they make the playoffs for the next 5 years
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General Baseball Chit-Chat Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in General Baseball Talk
Anyone ever used this offer if you don’t have T-Mobile or Sprint? A friend of mine and his wife both have T Mobile and he offered to let me use his wife’s subscription since they don’t need two. Do you just set up an email/password to log in? What they do is connect an MLB.com account to the phone number redeeming. Since the deal is available on every line, I have a buddy who redeems his number for his own use, then uses his wife's number and a friend's MLB.com login to set the friend up for free. There's no validation that the MLB.com account matches the phone number as far as I know. -
On Bended Knee - The Rizzo Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Rizzo turns 32 in August. ESPN's Free Agent tracker goes back to 2006, and I don't see a single 1B 32 or older getting a 4+ year deal. Pujols was 31 when he signed his huge deal, and Carlos Santana and Jose Abreu got 3 years at age 32, that's the entirety of 31+ year olds getting 3+ years at the position. He's 31 now, no? He's closer to 32 than 31 now, and he's under contract for this year. So if you're talking about an extension that is tacked on to his current deal, there's zero precedent going beyond 3 years. If you're talking about ripping up this year, there's 2 examples of 1B signing through age 35 in the last 15 years at his age or older, and they were in the literal sense shorter deals. -
On Bended Knee - The Rizzo Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Rizzo turns 32 in August. ESPN's Free Agent tracker goes back to 2006, and I don't see a single 1B 32 or older getting a 4+ year deal. Pujols was 31 when he signed his huge deal, and Carlos Santana and Jose Abreu got 3 years at age 32, that's the entirety of 31+ year olds getting 3+ years at the position. -
On Bended Knee - The Rizzo Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
That's fair, and I think there are reasonable arguments that up to a 3 year deal could be worthwhile with the right specifics, even if I might not agree. The type of deal he'd sign before actually hitting the market feels real likely 4+ years and in the 'unambiguously bad idea' area, so I'm not gonna sweat any of the negotiation stuff breaking down at this point. -
On Bended Knee - The Rizzo Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I promise not to spam this opinion every time the topic comes up, but extending Rizzo is a bad idea. Not only in the efficiency olympics sorta sense, but the track record of 1B only guys being worthwhile players past 30 or 31, regardless of salary, is really bad. Rizzo's defense helps a little, but his growing injury history makes him especially ripe to not buck the trend. If you want to say 'I love Rizzo and what he symbolizes and want to repay him for the contract he signed way back when even if it means he's a spot starting pinch hitter for half the deal' I won't begrudge anyone that sentiment, but we should also be eyes wide open that keeping Rizzo on anything resembling a long term deal would be objectively bad. -
Cubs Sign Eric Sogard to Minor League Deal
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Bertz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It was, until that signing was Sogard and not a Wong, Hernandez, etc type. Nico’s spring and physical growth doesn’t mean nothing and when it’s him vs a horsefeathers ass player like Sogard the calculus changes. Nico is better currently and in the future than Eric Sogard. In my opinion, David Bote is the best option for a starting second baseman. With him theoretically being competent defensively, there's less need for Nico to step in late game like there was last year with Kipnis. They get a day off every week for the first four weeks...I just don't see a lot of ABs for Hoerner in April if we're trying to win. If anyone in the infield gets even dinged up for a couple days, he should be on the next bus to Wrigley and into the starting line up. But getting him 100 ABs in April in Iowa is better than three or four starts and a marginal defensive replacement upgrade for a couple innings in the maybe 50% of games we'll be winning late in. I'm 100% with you here, but I will point out that Iowa is not starting before the first week of May(with rumors it could be later I think) so the reps Hoerner will be getting would be at the alt site in South Bend. -
2021 In-season transactions
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Post Count Padder's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Whoever signs him will still have him under team control through age 44, what value! -
Sounds like Bote is going to be the regular 2B. I’d rather have Nico on the roster, but I definitely think our best lineup has Bote at 2B, and I can accept that Hoerner getting reps(even alt site reps) could be helpful compared to infrequent MLB starts. At least for a while.
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Not sure I agree with either of these points - Dest is pretty damn tight. Good argument to be having. I haven't seen much wrong with Reyna. Dest is a fair call out, my brain was thinking of the midfielders/attackers, but calling those 2 in a class of their own in the player pool works for me. With Reyna, it's a combination of him not having taken his chances, and the ball sticking to him too much at times, like this. Not a long term worry, especially since he has like 200 international minutes, but his club form hasn't translated yet.
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It's good to see Pulisic on the field if for no other reason than to remind us how much cleaner he is on the ball than the rest of the pool. Just a cut apart when it comes to tight control. Less good from Reyna, who hasn't been all that good in a US shirt. Aaronson has been on for 10 minutes and is already a huge problem for Jamaica.
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I watched like 10 innings of Cubs baseball last year so I'm probably not the right person to speak to the consensus, and I'm sure around the fanbase there's folks clinging to past prospect status to varying degrees, but I think we're in a similar frame of mind. Stuff has never been Alzolay's problem(and if anything I think his has gotten better if memory serves) and he's had some rough timing with a pair of injuries that robbed him of about a full season of dev time, then layered a pandemic year on top of that. With that in mind I think in terms of our normal calibration he's a 'young 26', but if he's healthy there's nothing really standing in his way of him building innings and contributing this year while being a 2022+ rotation hopeful(or worst case, promising pen option). If nothing else, a pre-arb SP who pitched as well as Alzolay did last year has to be among the more promising options once you get to the Mills/Miller tier of the rotation.
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Things can be two things. Alzolay's age, injury history, and performance mean that he's not a guy you want to pencil into the rotation for 5 years, but he has the stuff and is young enough to be a short to medium term hope if things work out, which ranks pretty highly on the list of short to medium term hopes given the legion of mediocrity you mention.
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Alzolay already has 50 days of service time, it's not about that. He's thrown 130 pro innings since *2017*, that's why you treat him with kid gloves.
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By the looks of him I feel like he has extensive knowledge of what they taste like, so this is a risky claim to make.
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Whatever outlet is willing to run an ORU story with an “Indianapolis Cults” headline will have my lifelong support
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Boy the refs really didn’t like Colgate being up by 10 huh
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Orlando turning down 10 million (+20% sell on!) from a big 6 team for Dike and having it work out is one of the more delightfully hilarious developments of 2021.
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2021 HR Derby [Discussion & Transaction Thread]
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Southpaw19's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
That should do it, we'll un-globalize it after Opening day. -
What collisions are the enlarged bases meant to reduce? I wouldn't have thought that collisions at 2nd or 3rd were a big problem needing solved(and it's unclear to me that bigger bases fix the problem) and I don't see how home plate collisions would have anything to do with base size.
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or not ESPN has the result incorrect - Porto goes through on away goal 2-1 is correct? They should have started McKennie Yes, I was watching extra time on mute and wasn't sure if Porto had won or if it was going to penalties until I saw the post-match reaction.
