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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    When you click to create a new topic, poll is one of the options:
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    if only there were some way to see the supposed tweet and video, alas
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    He was probably a 1st rounder but then this happened
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah he only has 10, not 19.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Anthony Richardson was so bad at passing his team had to run a high school offense and they still couldn’t score points
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Not as many K's today, but Birdsell keeps chugging along: 5 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1/0 K/BB That's 15.2 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 13/6 K/BB for the season, High-A hitters can't hit him so far
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Padres are 23rd in wRC+, even considering Tatis only got back last week that is baffling.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    It's an unusual situation. The K rate is still too high and probably will be exploited, he learned that at the MLB level in the 2nd half last year. But if he's hitting like .335/.450/.800 despite the K rate then I'm not sure how much of a learning experience that is.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    He's a 1B/DH profile without much pedigree and is 23 so I think the right frame of mind is 'maybe if everything breaks right he's a platoony DH option', but I'm guessing he gets his shot at AA before too much longer. Tennessee has a combo of people getting that PT that aren't big prospects but aren't complete nobodies(Murray, Ball, Maldonado) so it's a little awkward of a fit, but Murray can fake it at 3B, Maldonado is 26 and already failed AAA, and Ball is playing his way out of the organization to start the year so they'll find room.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    They're already 7 back of the division and the wild card though. Even if you think they can somehow win the division or get a WC berth with 85 wins, they'd have to play at a 92+ win pace the rest of the year to get there.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    He's what they got for McKinstry. Converted infielder, this is his first season in relief and it's off to a good start so far. Odds are probably against him making a 40 man roster though.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    They're hosed for a good while. They'll get a little relief from a few inefficient contracts after this year but they also lose Giolito, and they just have so many gaps to fill and one of the worst farm systems to lean on to build up the depth that has and will continue to kill them. I do feel a little bad because I don't have any animosity towards the franchise, and Hahn's roster construction always struck me as more logical than Ken Williams, whose teams I felt obliged to dislike as to not reward bad process. But selfishly there's a few players I think could be interesting fits if the Sox do want to hit the reset button, and there's fewer of those happening with the additional wild card and raft of pre-FA extensions, so if they collapse I'm happy to help pick up the pieces.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah that checks out I Split ▲ W L W-L% ERA G GS GF CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP BK WP BF WHIP SO9 SO/W Chicago Cubs 4 8 .333 6.50 20 18 2 0 0 0 98.1 110 74 71 21 46 2 95 3 0 0 441 1.586 8.7 2.07
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    This is a strong sign that not only are catching defensive metrics definitionally incomplete, but looking at them 3 weeks into the season is basically a random number generator.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Entering tonight, there were 23 hitters with 50+ PA and a wRC+ of at least 170. The Rays have SEVEN of them.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Bailey Horn is now up to 9 IP, 3 H, 19/5 K/BB. He's 25 and R5 eligible, might be seeing him bumped to Iowa sooner than later since he's got a 54% (!!) K%
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Are there any known issues with the search functionality? I routinely can't get it to unearth posts that I know exist. An example, recently I was trying to find this post of mine about Brandon Birdsell: When I go to Search, no combination of Birdsell or the exact "Birdsell's" makes it show up in results, and the search options don't appear to be limiting anything: https://northsidebaseball.com/search/?&q=Birdsell's&search_and_or=or I've seen this in trying to track down posts of all ages and as you see in the above it's not that there's *no* results, it's just that they're incomplete. Am I missing something or is there maybe an indexing issue for the search?
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah the money is what I was getting at, you've got midtable EPL teams beating out Champions League contenders in Italy/France for players, and that's creating a floor that is too difficult to rotate against consistently. For some teams the Europa league might have that risk too, but I do think it's more of a Champions League phenomenon. For example, Man U's European group stage games this year were against Real Sociedad, Sheriff Tiraspol, and Omonia, they can and did rotate for most of those matches. Same thing with Arsenal being in a group with PSV, Bodø/Glimt, and Zurich. Meanwhile Liverpool had 6 midweek matches against Ajax, Napoli, and Rangers in the UCL in order to advance, and rotation isn't really feasible and therefore has to come at the expense of EPL matches.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Nothing has really changed. Here's Fulmer's Sunday outing in terms of xBA: .090 (fly out) .090 (fly out) .930 (bloop single at 75 EV) BB .290 (double) K He had a very bad outing sandwiched by two outings that were more unlucky than bad, and 4 of his last 5 outings were against the best offense in the NL (non-Cubs division). Until he gets a better feel for that sweeper, he's gonna be prone to more unlucky outings than you want in a closer, and that's part of why no one is clamoring for him to get every save opportunity. But he's not useless as the thread title entails, and he's likely to be plenty fine in middle relief/setup situations as needed too. I'm encouraged that he was trying the sweeper again on Sunday, though with no whiffs yesterday and only a 25% whiff rate in 23 pitches this year it clearly still has some work to do if it's going to be a weapon.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    I have a theory about this that goes beyond Spurs, and it's that the Premier League has so much money and therefore quality even at the bottom of the table, that it's extremely hard to compete in the Champions League and stay high up the table unless you are both well-run and have nation-state money. This year that's basically only Man City, and it strikes me as not a coincidence that the Big 6 clubs struggling the most this year(Liverpool, Chelsea, Spurs) are the ones who had to gear up for a bunch of midweek Champions League games they couldn't rotate for. Each of those teams have their own unique issues too, and the winter world cup certainly plays some role(even if teams didn't have a bunch of WC players the fixture congestion/injury risk surrounding it matters), so I'm curious how much that pattern holds next year too with a completely different set of teams joining City in UCL.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    I meant to put a similar sentiment in the 1B/C article yesterday and forgot, but yeah even though I'd love a few more hits I'm very satisfied with the catching situation. I don't think they need to intentionally punt offense from the position(though Gomes raising his wRC+ like 25 points with a single 2/4 game tells you about the sample) , but it feels like there's more demands than ever on the position defensively and the upside of handling a pitching staff/running game very well is bigger than the handful of runs they'd get from marginally better offense.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Money doesn't guarantee individual team success, but when 4-6 teams are outspending you it's very hard to consistently to outperform the majority of them. And they're not particularly close, using Spotrac as a broad estimate, Spurs are closer to 12th in player salary than they are to 4th. When you toss in that it's inevitable that someone else outside the big spenders will have a great year(e.g. Villa & Brighton this year) it becomes extremely difficult to consistently make Champions League. But if 'competing for Top 4 year in and year out' is what you want, they're doing it! Even with the managerial instability they've been in the 4-7 range and a handful of points off that line when they didn't reach it, this is what that looks like. I'm not gonna tell you it's business as usual to lose 6-1 or have a Conte managerial stint end in sorrow(well actually that part is normal), but at the macro level they're not playing below their station as a club.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    European club soccer is a fairly efficient market. You can outperform your spending but to do it consistently requires threading the needle and a fair amount of good luck on top of that. Tottenham do not spend like a Top 4 club, and while they briefly struck gold with having several things break right, they are getting the results they can reasonably expect. If the level of investment isn't going to change(and if it doesn't there ought to be some Poor Joe Lewis memes given the new stadium and level of competition), then it's not really fair to call Tottenham in crisis, they're just getting what they should expect for their investment. Considering Arsenal and Newcastle look primed to make Spurs a more distant 7th in spending, they ought to reconsider what the ceiling for that team can reasonably look like(Top 4 if they get several things to break right).
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Being able to get 4-6 outs with Hughes after teams load their lineups for Wesneski is a nice luxury
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