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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. I'd be interested to see how strong the defenses are that Leinart and Quinn have faced. The one time I checked a few weeks back, ND had faced 2 of the 10 worst passing defenses in the country, plus more bad ones. Don't know what the case is now, or what USC's has been like.
  2. Pierre was quite unlucky BABIP wise, especially for a guy with his speed. However, even at his best he's not that great, and he'll be overpriced in cash and players. Lofton, on the other hand, is the poster child for BABIP good fortune. I don't want either. is there anyone you have enough positive data for that you would want in center field??? Wilkerson and Bradley are my two favorite choices. Lofton is about to fall off a cliff production wise, and Pierre just isn't a smart choice considering his down year and lack of upside. I'll also take Brady Clark, Drew, or Gary Matthews Jr. EDIT: Jason Michaels, Ryan Church, and maybe even Dave Roberts would be good too.
  3. no worries, he'll start winning these when he's 38 or so. He needs to hire someone to start talking up his leadership abilities, then start hitting for a low 600s OPS, that should do the trick.
  4. Pierre was quite unlucky BABIP wise, especially for a guy with his speed. However, even at his best he's not that great, and he'll be overpriced in cash and players. Lofton, on the other hand, is the poster child for BABIP good fortune. I don't want either. i wonder what the effect of being a slap hitter is on BABIP. Pierre reminds me too much of Neifi. I don't know about slappiness, but generally guys with a ton of speed like Pierre should have a slightly above average BABIP(relative to expected) because they can beat more balls out, players rush plays to get them, etc.
  5. Pierre was quite unlucky BABIP wise, especially for a guy with his speed. However, even at his best he's not that great, and he'll be overpriced in cash and players. Lofton, on the other hand, is the poster child for BABIP good fortune. I don't want either.
  6. Pujols, Rolen, Edmonds, Isringhausen, Eckstein, Carpenter, King and Mulder account for $63M. Add another $4M if they pick up Suppan's option. The Cards payroll last year was around $90M. I haven't read all the reports, but I did see a few that suggested an increase to $95-96M range was probable going into their new park. Therefore, many think they can easily give Giles $10M a season, and still have money to address their other needs. Assuming they pick up Suppan's option.... 9 guys, 67 mil, best case scenario, 30 million left for 16 players. Workable Signing Giles 10 guys, 77 mil, best case scenario, 20 million left for 15 players. Very difficult. They could get Giles, but that would make the rest of their offseason pretty tight.
  7. The Cards have oodles of money to spend? Don't they have tons of money tied up in Rolen,Pujols,Izzy,Mulder,Carpenter & Edmonds "oodles" is one of the last words I'd use to describe the Cards amount of free cash.
  8. :roll: C'mon now. Its like any other "noun" or "title" that has taken on a life of its own and become a desriptive term. Like "Rollerblading", which is actually in-line skating. Okay, then it's an overused adjective, and one that is sure to cause a lot of unnecessary argumentation due to people interpreting it in wildly different ways.
  9. Stats aren't perfect, but that doesn't mean they aren't the most accurate way of determining something. If using the most accurate way of determining something makes it the end all be all, then so be it I guess. them by themselves AREN't the most accurate way, which is what I'm trying to say. Prime example is the discussion about shef. Would shef put up the numbers expected from him as a Cub? Probably not, a decision made because of gut feeling and human decision making, not stats. Stats would say absolutely trade for sheff, gut feeling would say don't.... My gut feeling says that Nomar would make a heck of a reliever with his arm motion. How in the world does your gut feeling prove you right? Especially on something that hasn't happened?
  10. I agree with your point about bullpens, but the application is difficult. The nature of the bullpen, being that pitchers get so few innings, means year-to-year they can be unpredictable. Take that White Sox bullpen for example. Cotts and Politte were terrible last year, Hermanson was bad, Jenks only threw 20 innings in the minors and was pathetically bad. So how do you build an effective pen when numbers for most relief pitchers can vary wildly?
  11. So, you think the interpretation of "Hendry could be looking for more starting pitching" is "Hendry could be shopping one of his starting pitchers for a bat"? That seems counterintuitive.
  12. Stats aren't perfect, but that doesn't mean they aren't the most accurate way of determining something. If using the most accurate way of determining something makes it the end all be all, then so be it I guess.
  13. That I did not check. People were contending that even though they weren't much(if at all) better than the Cubs, that the ability to score consistently was the reason their offense was helping them win more. Turns out that wasn't true.
  14. Like moorecg I was there, it was so awesome seeing the Stadium go from deafening when Dempster blew the save, to hushed after the slam.
  15. Again, when I checked earlier in the year, the White Sox didn't score runs any more consistently than the Cubs. So they're scoring fewer runs, and they aren't being any more consistent than the Cubs's up and down offense. What's the benefit?
  16. The Cubs don't need to save money on the outfield, if anything they should overpay before they go bargain hunting for the likes of Encarnacion. That line is about as good as it gets for him, given his past and his BABIP this year.
  17. Here at Mizzou, we've come to the conclusion that kU is not worthy of capitalization. I think you guys just don't understand the rules. :wink: Speaking of Big XII schools and language...okay I just wanted an excuse to post this pic. http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y44/cubsfan_05/TEXA.jpg
  18. No offense, but I can't see Wade getting the MVP. Only because of the people on his team that will take away some of his numbers. Plus, there is a guy out in C-town that will be posting numbers that threaten triple-double average. The conquest of the East begins tomorrow! Too bad I relocated and can only see the Cavaliers on national TV now. Michael Reghi is basketball announcing perfection.
  19. The White Sox scored less runs in '05 than '04, and at last check didn't score any more consistently than the Cubs's offense.
  20. Moneyball is a book, not an adjective.
  21. I think that lower line for Lofton is very generous.
  22. BP says 106 rate in CF, 30 Runs above replacement, and 9 above average.
  23. I don't think Greenberg is good enough to be the starting CF. His ceiling is that of a spot starter, 5th outfielder, a good one at that. On this team however, with LF and maybe SS going to uncertain production, it makes little sense to gamble again with cost effectiveness given our payroll.
  24. Lugo's option was picked up by TB for 06' Doesn't mean he can't be traded by TB this offseason. I still think there's a good chance he'll be traded. Who does TB have to play SS if they trade Lugo? Upton, they could bring back Alex Gonzalez if they think he's not quite ready.
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