First of all, you can throw out his Iowa numbers. 34 ABs isn't going to tell you anything. In '04, Murton hit .292/.370/.428 in the FSL. That's a solid line in a pitcher's league, although he was a year old for it. In West Tennessee and Chicago in '05, his numbers are very much BABIP driven. In his larger sample at AA, he didn't improve his power or his patience(patience went down actually), but performed better because he hit .342. Murton's not going to hit anywhere near .342 at the major league level. He'll be lucky to hit .300, at which his numbers would be .300/.360/.440. That's an .800 OPS, which is okay for a corner OF, as the high end of what to expect from Murton. His BABIP issues continued in Chicago. He did hit for more power, which was a promising sign. However, he did so in about a third of the PA's as he had at AA. More worrisome was that a much larger than expected number of his hits came on infield singles and the like. We can't expect those to continue, unless he's mastered the art of hitting an infield single, which I doubt. So, one can probably expect a line much closer to .280/.340/.420 from Murton next year than his line from last year, which is decidedly subpar from a LF. Wow, great post. I really respect how you back up your opinions with interesting stats. Yes but you know what they say about statistics: You can always find something to back up your point of view. Numbers can be easily twisted, different statistics can be looked at to prove a point. (Not saying Cpatt20 doesn't make credible posts, just that it's possible to find statistics that say just about anything you want them to, in general*). *Unless a guy sucks as much as Neifi or Macias.