Number one, I am among those perplexed at how people think this is a "win in 2011" move. We have the guy for at least three seasons, and we'll have money to spend (hopefully on Fielder, etc.) after 2011. This move will have just as much impact on 2012 and 2013 as 2011. Secondly, one theme I've noticed is that many people are of the opinion that what we saw out of ARam and Pena last year is what we can expect going forward. Now ARam is exiting his prime years, but last year was a fluke, and he proved it in the second half. He and Pena battled injuries for much of last season., and I don't think either is nearly as bad as they were last year. Some may be too optimistic regarding the Cubs ability to compete, but far too many people are writing the Cubs off in 2011 based on false perceptions. If Castro doesn't regress and ARam and Pena have even average seasons, I don't see how the Cubs are much worse then the Cards, Crew or Reds. Having said that,I think the season hinges on Big Z's performance. If he pitches in between what he was in the second and first halves, we'll have the deepest, though not the most top heavy, rotation in the division.