Wellemeyer has good stuff, but he's clearly not ready for a starting role which is why his arm is blowing up. You can find dozens of relievers who have really good stuff. That doesn't mean they can handle being starters. Todd's already got more innings pitched in mid June than he has ever had in his career -- that represents a big risk the Cards are taking, not only with the performance of their rotation, but in my opinion with Todd's health. Ludwick will likely be figured out and watch his production drastically drop, just like Chris Duncan's did after a certain number of ABs in the big leagues. No argument from me that DD is a good pitching coach. But the Cards are taking some big chances with players to stay in the race, where the Cubs are really not. To me that's the difference between the two ballclubs. We *SHOULD* (notice the emphasis) be able to maintain, while the Cards *SHOULD* fade. Will that actually happen? I don't think any system or analysis can say that for sure. But the Cards did, in fact, fade last season for some of the very same reasons that they should this year.