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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. UK1679666180
    Pitcher Abuse Points and pitch counts as far as trying to analyze who is being abused is one of the worst ways to do so. Different pitchers, different situations. If everyone had the same mechanics, same recovery time after each start, same workout schedule between starts, same age, same body, pitched in a dome, same pitches, then PAP/PC can be valid. But, if you're telling me that Maddux going 90 pitches is the same as Zambrano going 90 pitches as far as fatigue levels and injury risks, something isn't right. Want to know if a pitcher is being abused? See how often he is throwing while fatigued... How to tell if a pitcher is fatigued? Overthrowing, longer delays between pitches, control issues, mental lapses. The fatigue index can't be monitored over the course of a season, it is a start by start gauge. There have been times when the same pitcher has been fatigued after 75 pitches and the following start fatigued after 105, it all depends on that day and how his body feels.
  2. UK1679666180
    Morris has turned into the Morris of last year, 8 HRs in 6 starts since the break, 15 more hits than IP. It hasn't been flukish, he hasn't looked sharp. His FB seems flat right now. See what happens if they skip a start, I think it would wise to allow Reyes some starts from now the end of the year for each of the 4 starters likely to start in the post-season (that depends on how many IP Reyes will have at the end of the year, if he's beyond 150IP, I'd shut him down).
  3. UK1679666180
    Was he wearing the bow tie over a Hawaiian shirt? :) How has it been listening to #49 again during home games?
  4. UK1679666180
    I'd worry about the health of the staff as you can say that with most teams. I'd be concerned about Morris's recent play, Marquis has been up and down, more down lately. Suppan is a quality btm of the rotation starters, Mulder has been inconsistent, and Carpenter has been amazing. Much will depend on the status of Morris and Mulder this final month, especially Morris. I wouldn't worry about the offense, bullpen, or coaching.
  5. UK1679666180
    As much accolades as you rec'd at Dunedin HS, neither you or Harvey were the team's MVP at any point of your HS career. Of course, with Steve Doetsch on that same roster, it is easy to see why. Do you get in contact with Steve during the season as much as you do w/Harvey? Also, how much of an impact did Coach Hilbert have on you and do you still keep in contact with him?
  6. UK1679666180
    I'll reverse one of Tim's questions... Which city do you least like going to? Of the MWL cities I've been to, Clinton, Burlington, or Beloit are at the top of my list of my least favorite, I like the QC ballpark the best, I haven't been to Dayton's though. Although, I go to more Beloit games than any other affiliate.
  7. UK1679666180
    Nomar is hitting line drives, he is staying compact and not reaching for breaking pitches low and away. He is also working the count better than he has at any point since becoming a Cub.
  8. UK1679666180
    I'm not sure what you're saying. YOU are using rate stats to say that Clemens is arguably having a better year than Gibson. YOU are using rate stats to say that Clemens is having a better year than Carpenter. I'm telling you that the obsession with rate stats isn't fair, and if you want to use rate stats, then start your campaign for Chad Cordero as the Cy Young winner this year. Clemens' rate stats are better, in part, because he's being coddled. He hasn't finished a game for his team all year. Last Year's NL pitching results and Cy Young Voting Results Jake Peavy 15-8 2.27 R Johnson 16-14 2.60 Ben Sheets 12-14 2.70 Carlos Zambrano 16-8 2.75 Clemens 18-4 2.98 Oliver Perez 12-10 2.98 Carl Pavano 18-8 3.00 Roy Oswalt 20-10 3.49 Cy Young Voting Clemens Johnson Oswalt Schmidt Zambrano Pavano Gagne Lidge Sheets There were FOUR other pitchers in the NL with a better ERA than Clemens last year, yet Clemens won the Cy Young Award. Peavy had a better ERA than ANY of the other pitchers, and wasn't even on the radar for the Cy Young Award. Now, in 2005, when Clemens finally gets the ERA t hing down pat, the award is suddenly ALL about ERA. I don't get it. Again, there is no precedence. A starting pitcher has never finished what he started ZERO times, and still won the Cy Young Award. I don't get it. I think Clemens last year was a mistake, there were better options. As far as Cordero, he has saved 23 runs over an avg. pitcher, lower than Clemens and Carpenter. His DIPS is also lower than Clemens. Btw, the only was of those that is a rate stat is DIPS. Vorp, DIPS, PRAA, and Win Shares are accumulative stats, which favor Clemens despite the 17 IP difference, how is that possible?
  9. UK1679666180
    You can look at VORP, Win Shares, Pitching Runs Above avg., DIPS and they'll tell you the same thing that Clemens has been the better pitcher than Carpenter. There was no smearing of any stats, mentioning BB/K ratio and not mentioning HR allowed is smearing stats, that's focusing on 2/3rds of the DIPS equation and not mentioning the other key component that the defense cannot dictate and that is the HR, which is why Clemens has the clear and obvious advantage in DIPS. If the IP of Carpenter could compensate for the stats advantage Clemens has, there would be some validity. At this point, saying Carpenter deserves it, I question whether that statement is solely coming from a cloored glasses standpoint rather than logic.
  10. UK1679666180
    Rusch can opt out of the contract after this year (which I hope happens) and he could be traded afterwards.
  11. UK1679666180
    Todd has an above avg. FB and change, I want to see what he has as a starter, he has better stuff than Williams, but not the control. More than anything, I want to see what Wellemeyer has as a #5 starter on the ML level. His performances out of the pen have let me intrigued to find out if he can become a late bloomer and become a 3/4 starter. I know what you'll get from Rusch, smoke and mirrors from what amounts to be a 5th starter. He's similar to Washburn.
  12. UK1679666180
    His game preparation is right there as well, he was one of the hardest workers as far as preparation before one of his starts. He wouldn't leave a stone unturned. I think Orel would be an outstanding choice as well.
  13. UK1679666180
    If Baseball was decided on rate stats? You're talking about the greatest season of all-time with Gibson, that 1.12 is known by everyone and Clemens has better rate stats than Gibson. Yet, Clemens can have better rate stats and not be the front-runner for the Cy Young? Clemens has been more valuable to the Astros and makes up the difference in innings b/c he dwarfs Carpenter as far as production. This isn't a Lee/Pujols type deabte for MVP, there is such a glaring difference in production between the two. If the STL offense is the reason why Carpenter wins the Cy Young, which is the why he has more wins than Clemens, then this award like the GG will be jaded and based on wrong qualifiers. B/c, there shouldn't even be a discussion between Clemens and Carpenter as far as who is having the best season in the NL from a pitcher's standpoint. RJ should've won it like Clemens deserves it. 1/2 inning more. I also didn't know pitching CG was a main qualifier, if IP was such a big disparity between Clemens and Carpenter, then you would not have Clemens saving 10 more runs over an avg. pitcher than Carpenter. Carpenter if he is pitching so many more would have that distinction because PRAA is an accumulative stat like IP or CG.
  14. UK1679666180
    No team would be that abusive to a pitcher these days, of course, teams had notions that pitchers were made of steel. Pitchers could go 130 if they had an easy 7-8-9 hitters to go thru. Look at the numbers of the btm of the order hitters in '68. Why? That's why rate stats exist. That's what I've used in my argument. Cumulative stats favor Gibson b/c of disparity of IP, rate stats favor Clemens.
  15. UK1679666180
    How do you think Gibson was able to throw 300IP without being fatigued? Pitchers in the 60s were known for taking hitters off, The 6-7 hitters of the 60s are comparable to 8 hitters today. Extremely talented pitchers like Gibson could take hitters off, by not exercising nearly as much as effort as Clemens would thru the prder minus the 9 spot. I'm saying that if broke Gibson's season down, any 160IP stretch of it was likely not as effective as the of Clemens so far. STL had the best reliever of the late 60's, by the name Joe Hoerner. It wasn't like the Cards were trying to stretch Gibson to avoid using him. that was the mindset back then as well as the ability to take more hitters "off" during the game. I don't think Clemens has negatively impacted his bullpen's use even compared to Carpenter. 11 innings of additional work has not destroyed Houston's pen. Not having someone like King in the 8th as well as others to get to Isringhausen has impacted Houston more when trying to get to Lidge.
  16. UK1679666180
    The pitch to Patterson was supposed to back over the plate on the outside, probably to get Corey to either take it for a called strike, since Morris was down in the count, get Corey to try and pull it and ground to Grudzielanek, or hit a lazy fly ball to Rodriguez by having Corey drop the head of the bat. The pitch broke over the heart of the plate and Corey nailed it, had it been in the right location, Corey would've hit a ground ball to Grudzielanek like he did late in the game.
  17. UK1679666180
    Furcal will likely be the most overpaid position player this off-season, followed by Damon.
  18. UK1679666180
    Clemens can't faulted b/c of a decision of the manager, he's been just a effective late in the game as early this year. Based on rate stats he has been better than Gibson as far as value to the team, probably not b/c of Gibson throwing almost 30 CGs. Like I said earlier, Clemens has been more production during his 160IP than Gibson was during a 160IP stretch, that 100IP that will be there at the end of the year won't make up the production differece of that Clemens has over Gibson, b/c Clemens has been better than Gibson just in a smaller timeframe.
  19. UK1679666180
    Morris threw four pitches... 4 seam FB 2 seam sinker (maybe a split) Cutter that broke like a slider except with late movement instead of sweeping movement. Curve I think he threw more sinkers as the game wore on and more 4 seamers early in the game.
  20. UK1679666180
    I'd rather see Walker and Nomar than Nomar and Cedeno. Walker is cheap enough and hits well enough to off-set any defensive shortcomings. If they wanted to save money, I'd rather see them keep Walker over Nomar and start Ronny at SS.
  21. UK1679666180
    If it was survival, I would do it.. But, I have an unfinished battle with O_O from last year.
  22. UK1679666180
    Hopefully, whatever trade value Rusch might have will be increased with a handful of solid starts.
  23. UK1679666180
    It's a different era, when Clemens is on the mound he has been better statistically than Gibson was while he was on the mound. I don't buy into the fact that Clemens is some short innings pitcher either, he's going just under 7IP per start. Carpenter is going 7.5, that 1 ot 2 batter per game doesn't make up the statistical advantage of Clemens, not even close to it. Somehow, I don't think Clemens is pulling himself from ballgames that is Garner. If Garner wants to use him effectively, so be it. Clemens has been statistically better than Gibson, better year? Possibly, but the stats say Clemens has been better. I'll have to see what the Win Shares say, but based on what is avail. now, Clemens has been better.
  24. UK1679666180
    You can make a case for Clemens having the best season in modern history, which includes the 1.12 in '68 by Gibson. Runs Saved above avg. per 9.. Clemens 2.25 Gibson 1.89 Dips ERA Clemens 1.92 Gibson 2.47 I'm not going to say Clemens in '05 was better, b/c I didn't see Gibson in '68. I doubt many in here can dispute it under that same premise, though. Imagine what Clemens could do with a higher mound, bigger parks, and a softer baseball..
  25. UK1679666180
    All depends on the base price he is asking, if he asking for 5mil base and 3 mil in incentives, I'd bring him back. But, if it is a repeat of his '05 salary, I'd rather see them try and trade for Lugo.
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