This man is insane. Trade excess OF talent for bullpen help? That's just dumb. It's Nate Silver in his updated NL Central PECOTA report. I know. I think it's relatively crazy, too. I don't know if you have a BP subscription, but they make some assumptions on playing time and positions that are pretty incorrect. For example, they have Murton and Floyd both playing 45% of the time in LF (Murton received 15% of the time in RF, however). For the 'pen, they have Dempster, Wood, Eyre, Wuertz, Howry, Cotts, and Ohman as the first tier of BP pitchers -- all with about 55-60 innings -- and Novoa, Mateo, and Marmol following after. Guzman is mentioned as a spot starter. Obviously, Wood is out of the picture. But they project them to all be pretty crappy. The bullpen could use some shoring up, for sure, but I think its serviceable and all in all, pretty sufficient. I'd look to upgrade SS, RF and 2B before the bullpen. I'd love to find a way to trade Jones and some pitching in a package for an impact SS (pipedream). Boy, how I'd love to have Mitre, Nolasco, and Pinto back. (What a horrid deal that was.)