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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Good news about getting bombed the last two games is that the Cubs' best relievers are well rested. They should have no issue being used tonight and tomorrow if they can hold on. Frankly, if they don't hold on, that's another set of issues anyways, so I'm not sure that even really matters.
  2. If they weren't up, they probably are. The pen is almost always working in the playoffs. My guess would be Palencia as this is around where CC has used him.
  3. I'd guess he's their Civale and Brown; they want him to eat three or four. Should be a good spot for the RHH's. He's rocking a 5.15 xFIP, and a 14 K% against RHH. He's horrible against them.
  4. I think they hope Q can eat 3+ here with the wind blowing in. But he's so bad against RHH.
  5. Don't disagree it'd feel good. Especially with the RHH coming up; Q is horrible against RHH. Just saying, I think four might be enough tonight as is. But might as well get more, too. Why not?
  6. It would really be nice to score more. But the Brewers will be in a tough spot themselves. Down-3, Cubs have a full and fresh pen, wind blowing in, and their lineup isn't particularly strong tonight with guys like Lockbridge in. They aren't free from worry by any stretch, but this isn't set up as a juggernaut lineup. Decent chance 4 will be enough. But absolutely don't stop either.
  7. I like that you think my inability to count is because the week is weird. And appreciate it.
  8. Yeah but like did you consider counting to five is really hard?
  9. Man, I can't count. I just told my students how I failed Algebra 2 three times today.
  10. Freddy on short rest is better than fully rested Fred.
  11. I think they did it for exactly this reason. They knew Priester and Q are bad matchups. So they tried to go BP game Monday and steal it, then back to Wrigley and the wind for their two bad ones. Save Freddy for 5 if needed.
  12. He's been meatballing the cutter to LHH's since August and he's throwing it 13% more. Wrote a whole thread on it.
  13. Guess what pitch that was?! GUESS WHAT horsefeathers PITCH THAT WAS?
  14. That sets up a weird situation. If we want to claim that it wasn't "ordinary effort" to make that play, all infielders should do is pretend they can't see it in the future and get a free double play.
  15. It's an adjustment. However this isn't entirely true; he hit really well on the outer third over the last about 10 games in the regular season showing a really strong approach adjustment as pitchers had moved to the outer third in the plate over the month of September. It hasn't been a good playoffs for him in that regard, but I do think part of this is "young hitter + really good pitchers + very amped up"
  16. Some of this would check out; the pitch Vaughn hit has terrible data over the last four years. It is not a pitch hitters do well on (location, pitch, handedness...). I found a single instance of a RHH hitting a HR on a LHH sweeper in that spot. I still don't think they're cheating illegally. Them gaining that advantage? Yeah I'd buy that.
  17. This is a league spray chart on regular season games from 2021-2025 on sweepers (the pitch Imanaga gave up to Vaughn) and the location of the plate in which it was thrown, while also being only thrown from LHP to RHH. It's a pitch location that is rarely hit for home runs (just one instance) and is almost always an out. To clarify where the pitch was, it was #7 - well off the inside of the plate - it was not a strike: Your initial point might be to somehow blame Imanaga for that. That because he's so good at allowing home runs, his sweeper which has graded out better than league average in shape since coming into the league, was super easy to hit - but that's just not accurate. His pitch to Willson Contreras is much worse. I'm not going to defend him on that one. But three of the runs scored on that swing and it was pretty damn lucky. This idea, again, that this was some fireable offense is exactly what was said prior; it is hyperbole.
  18. I'm hoping that a big moment early can help give the crowd some juice.
  19. God I hope so. 9pm est starts for Cubs/Brewers are stupid as hell.
  20. Ah, my bad. I was going to say - Brock is kind of the dude here haha. Probably wouldn't get much help. I'll admit, I don't think there's any cheating occurring. I think the Cubs are just not playing well. But hey, I'm here for the gumption.
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