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Jason Ross
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Everything posted by Jason Ross
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Brewers are 0- 7 with RISP.
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Rea is a warrior tonight (so far).
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-26-26
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
With the amount of injuries we are facing, this is how I feel anytime anyone has a good outing.
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Good inning. Pitch count up to 79. Got a run in.
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Suzuki!!!
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Fourth inning, zero-zero game. Guy who hits a lot of ground balls after him. Not a definitive replay. I don't think you can challenge it. I think PCA was safe. I also think the video was so close it was probably 50/50 and the above isn't a good enough situation for me to use that one replay. They really might need it later.
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It was probably too close. It wasn't definitive. I think it would have stood.
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Pete feels like he could turn one of these around. Play the villain.
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Bauers just pulled the same thing. Painful by both.
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Vince Velazquez is the fresh arm.
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Escaped again. Brewers 0-4 with RISP.
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They're keeping the innings at least decent on pitch counts. Haven't done horsefeathers otherwise, but that might be a small victory against Miz right now.
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Look, the Brewers can't hit with RISP either.
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Baseball is weird sometimes. Maybe it'll be weird tonight.
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If there's a positive, the Brewers over the last 10 games really aren't hitting well. They've got a 93 wRC+ over that span. That's not to horsefeathers on the Brewers or to say they suck, but they're not having a good go offensively right now,, Now, the Cubs pitching staff may simply be cure to their hitting woes, but we might be catching them during their own slump which may even the playing field. For comparison's sake, the Cubs are leading baseball in wRC+ over that same span.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-25-26
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Dude is legitimately exciting. -
After seeing Maton induce the ground ball, I would like it to be known retroactively, and without being able to prove it otherwise that I meant this seriously and it wasn't a tongue and cheek moment. (It was definitely sarcastic)
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Ahhh. Phil Maton against Juan Soto with the bases loaded. Just what I wanted to see.
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Playing the Mets is my favorite.
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It's not worth trying. You'd both limit whiffs and increase HR%. Here's your league data on pitchers 93mph (fastball only) and less at the bottom of the zone (including chase) and at the top of the zone: Bottom of the zone: xBA - .303, xSLG, -.491 whiff% 20.1% Top of the zone: xBA - .244, xSLG - .431 whiff% 23.9% If we eliminate the chase zones (same metrics in the same order): Bottom: .316, ..515 15.1% Top: .256, .456, 21.6% To recap: throwing fastballs at 93mph in the bottom third of the zone is categorically worse across the board. No, we do not need to try it. It would absolutely make his issues worse.
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Yep. MiLB deal.
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Cubs trade for LHP David Peterson for MiLB player Cole Mathis
Jason Ross replied to Jason Ross's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The injury bug seems to have hit again. I hadn't been paying attention but he's barely played the last month. -
Cubs trade for LHP David Peterson for MiLB player Cole Mathis
Jason Ross replied to Jason Ross's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I don't think it was dumb perse. He had amazing batted ball data in college and hit super well with wood on the cape. He had the arm for third on paper, being a two way player at Charleston. Sadly, the TJS seems to have affected the start of his career more than they hoped and he doesn't appear to be capable of jumping to 3rd. There's upside if nine doubles and three home runs turns to six of each, for example at South Bend And perhaps as his elbow adds strength beyond the surgery that the home runs at higher levels pop. As a second rounder it was a sound gamble that just hadn't super paid off. But he's still got MLB possibilities. -
His fastball has insane IVB. IVB is just a fancy way of saying "his fastball doesn't sink as much as others". In layman's terms, it rides up and over bats more. This results in more fly balls, but also, more misshits, popups and for Shota especially, whiff at the top of the zone. To Stratos' point of "keeping the ball down" that's the worst thing Shota could do. There's a reason fastballs belong up now and it's the swing path of hitters. When you keep the ball down the window for hitters trying to hit the ball in the air increases. Shota's fastball fights gravity meaning when he misses "keeping the ball down" it will more naturally float to the middle of the zone. You throw *sinkers* down because they travel below the bat and below the zone. Shota's fastball would ride directly into the barrel. That's a terrible idea. Throwing it up will result in some home run issues. But it also results in strikeouts more often as hitters chase unhittable high pitches. By keeping the ball down, it almost assuredly wouldn't fix his home run issues, it may exasperate them. And would likely lose swing and miss as MLB hitters rarely whiff on fastballs in zone, and especially not 92mph fastballs in zone. FWIW Shota maintains a 3.97 xFIP on the year. He hasn't been bad. The home runs are an annoyance, but he limits walks and doesn't really give guys a free pass.
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David Peterson career: 22.6 K%, 9.8 BB%, 4.31 ERA, 3.91 FIP, 3.86 xFIP David Peterson 2025: 20.7 K%, 9.0 BB%, 4.22 ERA, 3.48 FP, 3.72 FIP David Peterson 2026: 19.7 K%, 9.4 BB%, 6.09 ERA, 3.85 FIP, 4.05 xFIP What's the only number that stands out from his career line (over the course of 690 IP, and 123 starts), his 2025 season (Peterson made the 2025 all-star team) and his 2026? It's his ERA in this year only. He's an extreme ground ball pitcher. Did you watch game-2 of the DH yesterday? The Mets infield made 6-errors on their own. They're a -8 OAA as an infield. His LOB% this season is 60%. That is unsustainably low. It's obvious why his ERA is 6.00. It's not really a David Peterson issue. No one should claim Peterson as a star, because he isn't. But he's also a pitcher highly dependent on infield defense and the Mets have been abysmal in this category. The Cubs are a +19 OAA on the infield, which is one of the very, very best. We should expect his ERA with the Cubs to be around the xFIP marker, if not a bit better considering his defense is going to help him out in this regards. Don't be a single issue voter and just attach yourself to the ERA. The story of David Peterson is deeper than his 6.00 ERA.
