Jason Ross

I'm not really sure he's an MLB pitcher even when he's filling up the zone, personally. You're not wrong that players like Dillon Maples had all the stuff in the world but couldn't throw strikes and he's a version of the extreme. Caleb Kilian, when he's "right" is on the other side; I'm not sure he has a single pitch that's truly 50 grade (though there enough people who think he has a 50 grade cutter, so benefit of the doubt would give him one), so he can fill up the strike zone, but MLB hitters are going to hit it. Eventually, MLB hitters will BABIP you to death if you don't get them to swing and miss. It's really hard to succeed as an MLB pitcher if you cannot generate whiffs, much like it's very hard to succeed as an MLB pitcher if you don't throw strikes. It requires elite-command, and while I think Kilian is good there, I elite is very rare. That's not to say we can't find anecdotal evidence to suggest otherwise; Miles Mikolas has a sub 6 K/9 and has been worth 2 wins, while Aroldis Chapman and Josh Hader are among the league leaders for both fWAR and BB/9 for relievers. It's only to say, barring extremes, a balance of control and stuff is required. Kilian, in my humble opinion, probably just doesn't have the stuff even if his command is on point. MLB hitters are just really, really horsefeathers good. Those "good balls" are really the issue here; he doesn't have anything that makes hitters expand their zone and chase, just like his fastball/cutter combo isn't a super great combination to generate whiffs in the zone. He's attempted to add two pitches since coming to Chicago, neither have had the desired effect to the date. Unless he can add something new to the arsenal (sweeper?) or really learn how to implement his change-up/curve-ball (the two pitches he's attempted to add) to generate those out-of-zone-whiffs, I'm not sure he'll transcend where he's at.

I don't want to make it seem bad to be a command guy, having command over your stuff is a good hurdle to clear, especially young. But I also think good command, at low levels can mask mediocre pitch mixes, and it's something to note. Kilian is someone who, I feel, had some pretty razor thin margins to succeed: his command was his calling card, and he was doing so on a very mediocre pitch mix. Even when his command was on point, looking back, he probably profiled as a BORP because there wasn't any pitch he threw that generated chase or profiled as more than MLB average (lots of 45's with maybe a 50 grade cut). Transmorgrified makes a solid point that highlights that too, in that he's not someone who could see any loss of command. I'm more than willing to admit I probably got too high on Kilian coming out of Arizona Fall League action than I should have. I remember, just a bit after the deadline, watching a bunch of his pitching from SF and being concerned with his breaking stuff and how he generated K's from it, and this should have been a bit more of a red flag than it was at the time. I grow myself. For his sake, I really still hope he can find something. I'm always on "team prospect" and wish they all succeed. But I also try to be realistic on their chances. As of today, my hopes for Kilian being above "org up/down" is not particularly high.

Kilian has a lot of the same issues in his build that other SP's we've previously discussed. He's a command over pitch guy, and he was able to out command hitters at lower levels. As he's progressed, and especially come to the MLB, he doesn't have a single pitch that's great. The fastball velocity isn't really all that new, it's more of a return than anything (he sat 96-98mph pretty consistently prior). It's just not a good fastball; velocity alone will be hit at the highest levels. He tinkered with a change up that failed and a spike curve that didn't really end up as a quality chase pitch. For him to really have any staying power, I think someone would have to get him to learn a new pitch. The Cubs have had a ton of pitching wins on that front, so while it's not impossible, if it's not happening here-and-now, it feels like it wont. I wish the best for Caleb, he's certainly struggled, worked hard to get back to what he was around June 2022, but I haven't personally seen much progress beyond that. I'd love nothing more than for him to develop a chase pitch, but I'm not confident it'll happen. His current ability fits into that traditional "up/down" org guy. I think he could be useful for a start here or there, maybe he finds run as a long relief option down the road, but he's pretty replacement level all things considered.

We're down to just a few weeks left of minor league baseball. The South Bend Cubs will see their season end in just a few days, while teams like the Tennessee Smokies will extend into a (hopefully lengthy) playoff run. Who's fueling these teams in their last days? Who's struggling headed into the winter break? Image courtesy of © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports - Caleb Kilian Pictured Contrary to popular belief, neither Yonathan Perlaza nor Luke Little turned into dust when they weren't selected for big-league promotions on Sept. 1. There might yet be transactions ahead that affect the parent club. Still, there are also prospects with plenty at stake down the stretch. Iowa Cubs, AAA (2-4) Despite the Iowa Cubs' talent, they just cannot get anything going, as they dropped another series, this time to the Toledo Mud Hens. The Cubs enter this week against bottom dwellers, the Omaha Storm Chasers, with first place still in striking distance. A big week could secure Iowa their second straight first-place finish. 🔥Ben Brown: 1 IP, 2 K, 0 BB, 0 R, 0 ER: Ben Brown earns a "hot" for simply being on the field and looking healthy after the injury scare he faced a month ago. Lat injuries can linger (it was a lat that cost Adbert Alzolay all of his 2019 season), so seeing a healthy and energized Brown was great. It's also big because he could, in theory, help the playoff push and win a bullpen role with the parent club. 🔥Brennen Davis: 139 wRC+, 39% K%, 0 BB%, 2 HR, 2 2B: Glad to see the power come back for Brennen Davis. There were a bunch of strikeouts and no walks, which is not ideal. We didn't see Davis hit for any authority early this season. With some hope, Davis will find the mid-ground between contact quantity and contact quality. There's still a player there, I think. 🥶Pete Crow-Armstrong: 51 wRC+, 41.4% K%, 6.9% BB%, 1 2B: Maybe I was a little premature with Pete Crow-Armstrong, claiming he'd make it to Chicago this season. Iowa seems to be attacking his aggressive nature right now (which isn't developmentally bad). It may be that Crow-Armstrong just finishes up in Triple-A instead of sitting on an MLB bench, but I still think we might see his speed and defense before the year's over. 🥶Caleb Kilian: 4.1 IP, 4 K, 1 BB, 7 R, 7 ER: Fresh off of being my MiLB pitcher of the month, Caleb Kilian laid an egg in Iowa. Kilian gave up four home runs. While the walks remained in check, getting lit up like that won't ingratiate him with the front office as they try to patch the bullpen in Chicago. Tennessee Smokies, AA (0-6) That is not an ideal week for the Tennessee Smokies, who went winless at home against the Biloxi Shuckers. Despite the awful week, Tennessee remains in first place. I suspect reinforcements from the Cubs High-A affiliate, South Bend, will be arriving soon, as South Bend's season will not be extending into the playoffs. A 6 game set on the road against the Mississippi Braves looms and should be a good pallet cleanser for the team. Mississippi has the second-worst record in the league. 🔥Matt Shaw: 137 wRC+, 21.7 K%, 4.3 BB%, 1 2B, 1 3B: Surface numbers for Matt Shaw since getting to AA Tennessee have been good, and he's continuing to hit everything he makes contact with. Shaw has seen a slight uptick in strikeouts since getting to Tennessee, which might not be bad. Shaw does need to learn how to curtain his aggressive nature. With that said, Shaw hit his fourth professional triple Sunday night and displayed a much-protracted leg kick (which he does with two strikes) 🔥Cade Horton: 5 IP, 7 K, 1 BB, 3 R, 2 ER: Cade Horton continues to carve up the minor leagues. This probably wasn't his "best" start, but if these are his "weak" starts, then I think that says everything you need to know about how good he is. Horton struggled for a moment early but seemed to get his feet back under himself and closed out strong. He and Matt Shaw (the last two first-round picks) should make their debuts in 2024. 🔥Owen Caissie: 193 wRC+, 8% K%, 28% BB%, 2 2B: It's pretty hard to put up a near 200 wRC+ line in a week without hitting a single home run, but Owen Caissie managed to do it. While he had a good month of August, it wasn't a great month, but this is more like it for Mr. Caissie. The strikeouts were non-existent, and he walked a ton. End the season strong, and it will make for an incredibly exciting start for Owen Caissie in Iowa for 2024. 🥶Kohl Franklin: 2 IP, 2 K, 0 BB, 5 R, 5 ER: Kohl Franklin's line this week was pretty similar to Caleb Kilian's line: he didn't walk a lot, but the home run ball killed him. Franklin hasn't had a very strong run of late, and while I still believe in him down the road, he might make a switch to the bullpen at some point in the near future in his career (mirroring players like Luke Little, Daniel Palencia, and Porter Hodge). Big stuff remains here, but I'm not sure it'll happen for him in the rotation. 🥶B.J. Murray: -41 wRC+, 33.3 K%, 0 BB%, 1 2B: Not a good showing for many this week in Tennessee, as I guess that's what happens when you go winless, and BJ Murray was no exception. Thankfully for Murray, his entire season has been so good it's easy to ignore weeks like this as nothing to worry about. Murray has done a great job of making a name for himself this season and is recently off a 135 wRC+ month of August. Move along, and don't worry. South Bend Cubs, High-A (1-5) This will be the second to last week for the South Bend Cubs, who will miss out on the playoffs for the 2023 season. The Fort Wayne TinCaps took 5 of 6 in South Bend's last road trip, and the Cubs' last homestand of the season will begin Tuesday against Quad Cities. Expect a handful of the "fun" Cubs prospects to make their way to Tennessee to help the playoff push shortly. 🔥Michael Arias: 4IP, 1 K, 0 BB, 1 R, 1 ER: In a week that was kind of hard to find "hot" performances, Michael Arias put up one of his best starts in quite some time. Facing only one over the minimum, Arias shut down Fort Wayne pretty well, with his only blemish a home run. I hope for Arias' sake he finishes next week strong, as this has been a nice breakout season for someone just learning how to get professional hitters out. 🥶Moises Ballesteros: 80 wRC+, 29.4% K%, 0% BB%, 1 2B: Moises Ballesteros has struggled a bit lately, and that's okay. He's moved incredibly quickly, and his season line is still fantastic overall for someone his age. There probably needs to be some more home run power in his bat if he's going to become a true DH threat, but again, with his age, this has been a fun season. I wonder if the Cubs will promote him to AA, even with the late-season skids. 🥶Kevin Alcantara: 93 wRC+, 23.8% K%, 19% BB%: This isn't the worst line of all time, but I'm throwing him on the "cold" list for the lack of power he's shown since returning to the South Bend lineup. Kevin Alcantara has only one double and one home run (both hit in the same game), which isn't enough. I'd like to see Kevin Alcantara tap into the power a bit more. It's not terrible, but it's not good, either. 🥶James Triantos: 56 wRC+, 28.6% K%, 0% BB%: Uncharacteristically high strikeouts plagued James Triantos this week. James Triantos didn't strike out once last week, so it's forgivable. It will be interesting to see how the Cubs develop Triantos and where he eventually ends. It's another successful season for the 2021 2nd-round draft pick. Myrtle Beach Pelicans, Low-A (2-3) The Pelicans had multiple games this week disrupted due to weather while visiting the Charleston River Dogs, the divisional leaders. Myrtle Beach, winners of their division in the first half, has already wrapped up a playoff spot, but it would be great for them to finish off strongly as they will play the River Dogs in a three three-game playoff set in two weeks. The Columbia Fireflies, currently in second place, come to town for the Pelicans' last homestand of the regular season. 🔥Drew Gray: 3 IP, 7 K, 0 BB, 0 R, 0 ER: Drew Gray had perhaps the best start of his career this weekend, as he struck out 7 of the ten batters he faced. Drew Gray has had a pretty lovely bounceback season from Tommy John surgery, with walks being his only Achilles' heel. As we move forward, it will be important to see if the control is an issue with rust or if it's something more sinister, but for now, enjoy the kind of arm talent Gray has for what it is. 🔥Koen Moreno: 5 IP, 6 K, 2 BB, 1 R, 1 ER: Koen Moreno is probably a bit too old for Myrtle Beach at age 22, but he's had such a rocky go of it that I'm just happy to succeed anywhere. He's more polished than he's ever been, and there's probably enough here to dream of him having some MLB ability in him. The 2020 draft hasn't always been kind for the Cubs, but extracting some value from former 5th-round pick Koen Moreno would be great. 🥶Jackson Ferris: 3 IP, 6 K, 3 BB, 4 R, 4 ER: Over the course of the season, Jackson Ferris has done a really good job of avoiding blow-ups, but it was bound to happen. He's still working on being more consistent and avoiding walks, which got him in trouble this week. The learning process and these kinds of hiccups can be good building blocks. 🥶Jefferson Rojas: 19 wRC+, 42.1% K%, 0% BB%: Jefferson Rojas has featured so often in the "hot" category that, like many making uncharacteristic appearances on the "not" list, it's something that can be largely ignored as a blip on the radar. Lots of strikeouts is not something that Rojas has dealt with up until this point, and it hopefully will just be a rough, bad, no-good week for Jefferson. View full article

Good to see him back on a mound. Strong finish and maybe he can get an early 2024 call.

I wonder if the Cubs extend Gray in the last month or keep him at 3IP. I'd like to see him go into the 4th by the end of the season, but we shall see.

I came out of the 2022 draft, probably higher on Cade Horton than 95% of people. I'm blown away with how good he's been.

Sadly, the Cubs system is good enough to where good months like Murray and Ramirez can go unlisted. I reserve "honorable mentions" not entirely for "guys who just missed" but for people I think might deserve their mention for a host of reasons; maybe it's a player returning from injury who it's nice to see, or someone who hit a lot of X. I went with PCA simply because it very well may be the last time he can get on this list, Mervis because I wanted to highlight both the HR total but the K% issues, and Caissie because he was the Hitter of the Month for last month. Really, I could mention like 10 guys, but I try to keep the articles concise enough to read in a short sitting!

We have just competed the month of August, the dog days one might say. The temperatures are high and player energy can be very low. But find out below which Cubs hitting prospects stayed strong throughout the month. Image courtesy of Lindsay Coward, Tennessee Smokies August is always a fun month for minor leaguers: the most recent draft class gets added to rosters, many players get mid-season promotions to accommodate them, and others make their final push to be a September call-up. Who in the Cubs system took full advantage of their month of August? Honorable Mentions: Owen Caissie (Tennessee Smokies, AA) 143 wRC+, 29.8% K%, 14.9% BB%, 3 HR, 5 2B Owen Caissie put together another strong month in August, on the heels of being named Cubs MiLB Hitter of the Month in July. You could argue he belongs a bit higher, but I'm going to continue to knock him for the rise in strikeouts again, as a strikeout rate under 30% is just too high. Matt Mervis, (Iowa Cubs, AAA) 116 wRC+, 29.6% K%, 14.9$ BB%, 8 HR, 4 2B Matt Mervis continues to crush AAA pitching, and it shouldn't be surprising. He hit eight home runs on the month, but the strikeout rate has been creeping up, as he sat just under 30%. Mervis remains in an awkward position in that he probably is too good to be in AAA, but the Cubs are not in a spot to give him a longer look. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Iowa Cubs, AAA) 104 wRC+, 26.5% K%, 12% BB%, 4 HR, 5 2B, 1 3B Pete Crow-Armstrong got a bump to AAA, and I'd expect he'll end up in Chicago when the rosters expand at some point. That's two jumps in just over month of action, and that, at the very least, deserves an honorable mention. PCA is a wonderful prospect, with a floor that will almost assuredly make him a useful MLB player; be excited. Number 5: Jefferson Rojas (Myrtle Beach Pelicans, Low-A) 112 wRC+, 25% K%, 8.3% BB%, 3 HR, 4 2B This is an 18 year old. I think it's incredibly important to remember, he's just 18, and he's having these kinds of months in a pretty difficult environment. Rojas has a rocket ship strapped to his back right now, and he's blasting up lists right now. Rojas has been on some "just-missed" top-100 lists for good reason. I'm fascinated to see how he continues down the road, but there's a good chance he's a special prospect just one year from today. Number 4: Luis Verdugo (South Bend, High-A) 189 wRC+, 8,9% K%, 12.5% BB%, 3 HR, 4 2B Hello there Luis Verdugo! Entering the month of August, Verdugo had done very little on the season, carrying a sub 90 wRC+ as a 22 year old in South Bend. Verdugo has popped up on some sleeper lists prior to the season, and it's great to see him jump like this. It's probably a little too late to suggest that he's fully "clicked" as a prospect, but it will give him a shot to finish the year strong in South Bend and enter 2023 as an appropriately aged prospect in Tennessee. File this name away for next season as I think he might continue to pop up on "sleeper lists". Number 3: Brian Kalmer (Myrtle Beach, Low-A) 189 wRC+, 23%K% 10% BB%, 7 HR, 3 2B, 1 3B Brian Kalmer, an 18th round selection in the 2023 draft, has made himself a quick name to watch in Myrtle Beach very quickly. Hitting seven home runs in a tough hitting environment will get you noticed very quickly and as of August 28th, Kalmer had the seventh best OPS of 2023 draft picks. The numbers he's put up are eye-popping, but they probably should be when we consider that Kalmer is already 23 years old and was a senior at Gonzaga. I'm hesitant to get too excited, as he's striking out around once per game (23 strikeouts in 22 games) which is a red flag for the future, but let's enjoy his output regardless. Just a little foreshadowing, but Kalmer won't be the only name from the 2023 draft on this list. Number 2: Alexander Canario (Iowa Cubs, AAA) 135 wRC+, 31.7% K%, 7.7% BB%, 7 HR, 10 2B Alexander Canario was absolutely on fire this month, hitting seven home runs, and nine doubles, for a whopping 16 extra base hits. This is important, as Canario is fresh off injuries that could have damaged his power output. The only knock on him this month is that the swing and miss has remained, as he's racked up an equally whopping 32 strikeouts over that span as well. I remain concerned that that he just won't hit the baseball enough at the next level, but players like Patrick Wisdom have proven that even with high strikeout totals, some offensive value can be had if you just hit the ever loving crap out of the baseball when you do hit the ball. This is the kind of month that puts you on the roster bubble for September, and already being a member of the 40-man, Canario will likely make his MLB debut shortly. Number 1: Matt Shaw (South Bend Cubs and Tennessee Smokies, High-A and AA) 180 wRC+, 13.1% K%, 4% BB%, 4 HR, 5 2B, 3 3B What a start for Matt Shaw in South Bend. I'm not sure it's possible to show you're just too good for a level any fast than Matt Shaw has done. There's polish to be had, still, as he hasn't be challenged enough to show how his hyper-aggressive nature will play against advanced pitching. He hit multiple home runs to the opposite field, he's stolen bases, he's made a ton of contact and he's already (reportedly) earned a spot in the Arizona Fall League. Matt Shaw is mirroring Nico Hoerner's path to the MLB and has squarely put himself on the radar to make his debut in 2024. This is back-to-back years that the Cubs have had amazing initial success with their draft picks. View full article

It still feels a little like the twilight zone when speaking about the Cubs and their pitching developments. More so for the month of August, as one of the Cubs best prospects was hurt, and there were still tons of pitchers who had great months. But who had the greatest month of them all? Which of the Cubs vaunted pitching prospects claimed Starting Pitcher of the Month? Image courtesy of Lindsay Coward, Tennessee Smokies Honorable Mentions: Shane Greene (Iowa Cubs, AAA) 2.16 ERA, 10.8 K/9 : Shane Green is an MLB veteran, so he should be able to carve up AAA in theory, but he's also working on reinventing himself on the mound as the sun sets on his career. He's pitched well enough that he will almost assuredly pitch with the Cubs in the month of September, either as an opener or as a veteran in the bullpen. Brody McCullough, (South Bend Cubs, High-A) 2.16 ERA, 8.1 K/9: Brody McCullough has been a fun find in the 2022 draft for the Cubs out of the 10th round. Initially I thought he would be destined for the bullpen, but he's managed to stick as a starting pitching option through the season. South Bend hasn't been eliminated at the time of writing this article, but will be shortly. This impacts someone like McCullough, as Tennessee's season will extend into the playoffs, and they could use some arms. Expect to see him called up for a playoff push in Tennessee with how well he's pitched. Luis Rujano (Myrtle Beach Pelicans, Low-A) 2.25 ERA, 8.4 K/9: Another 2022 draftee, Luis Rujano has really impressed me this year. The book on Rujano on draft day was that of a pitcher who had a fastball but little-to-nothing-else. Seemingly a quick learner, Rujano has already hit the ground running in Myrtle Beach, striking out nearly a hitter per inning, and having his walk total trend down. Number 5: Koen Moreno (Myrtle Beach Pelicans, Low-A) 2.04 ERA, 3.54 FIP, 11.7 K/9, 5.1 BB/9 Koen Moreno has taken a bit longer to get his feet under him as a prospect, but August marks a potential turning point in his career for a host of reasons. Koen Moreno struck out over a hitter per inning in August, but more importantly, saw his leash on the mound get longer, as threw four innings in a start on the 15th, and most recently, went five innings on the 29th. He's certainly old for Myrtle Beach at the age of 22, but he finally looks healthy, and maybe there's a player here down the road. Number 4: Jordan Wicks (Iowa Cubs, AAA) 2.45 ERA, 3.46 FIP, 9.2 K/9, 2.5 BB/9: Jordan Wicks clocks in at number 4 on this list, partly because he had a great month, but also partly because I want to reward him for his big promotion. Wicks had wonderful control this month in Iowa, walking only four compared to 15 strikeouts. None of this even takes into his account his scintillating MLB debut, in which he struck out nine in just five innings. It will be interesting to see how he manages pitching on five days of rest, if he can force his way into the MLB playoff rotation (if there is an MLB playoff rotation) and what he will do against teams other than the scuffling Pirates, but it was certainly a month to remember for Jordan Wicks. Number 3: Caleb Kilian (Iowa Cubs, AAA): I'm still not entirely sure if Caleb Kilian has enough juice to pitch against MLB hitters, but it's good to see him get his footing back in Iowa. The fastball velocity has been up for a bit, and he's at least looking more like the guy he was early in 2022. It was really hard to watch someone who's calling card was throwing strikes looking flabbergasted on the mound and unable to find the strike zone. In the month of Iowa, Kilian walked just two hitters in 16+ innings. I wouldn't be shocked to see Kilian earn a spot start in September if an injury happens, or possibly even added to the bullpen. Number 2: Jackson Ferris (Myrtle Beach Pelicans, Low-A) Jackson Ferris really could have won this award and I hemmed and hawed over this one for a while until settling on the eventual winner. Ferris has been as good as he could have been this season, and he's ending the season the right way. Ferris' stuff is just too good for Myrtle Beach today, as he continues to strikeout hitters at will. If there's one thing that ultimately held him back from being this month's Starting Pitcher of the Month, it's the walks. Ferris still walked nine hitters in 16 innings on the mound and that will have to get polished up as he moves up. With that said, he was drafted out of prep school, and this is his first season, so it's okay to just enjoy the ride. Number 1: Cade Horton (Tennessee Smokies, AA) Cade Horton is a bad man. I'll expand on that, but that's the simple way of explaining his month. Even when he struggles for a hot minute, Horton still comes out smelling like roses. Case in point; his most recent start. Horton seemed to struggle a bit to start the second inning, he surrendered a two hits to start the inning, then followed those hits with an iffy past ball, resulting in a run scoring on the hits, and a runner on third with no outs. He finished the inning with a strikeout, a ground out (scoring another run) and a strikeout. The only other hit he allowed the rest of the game was to super-prospect Jackson Chourio, After Chourio, not a single base runner reached base, and finished the night with seven strikeouts, one walk, and giving up two earned runs in five innings. Cade Horton is steamrolling his way to Chicago, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him up as soon as June, 2024. Congratulations to Cade Horton. How do you feel about our rankings? How would you rank them? View full article

Looks like Wicks pitched relatively well again. Had to miss it because of work, glad he's continuing on fairly strong.

Not sure Canario will find a lot of initial success, but I'm really excited to see him regardless. There's lightning in a bottle type stuff in his bat.

I actually think the Cubs will avoid having those players play more. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think they'll try to hide some of these guys a bit more. A strong AFL performance may convince a team to snag them up, versus being more likely to sneak them through the draft.

Credit for them for using their space in the order.

Nope. It's just one order. Put in as many claims as you want, the order only changes if teams W-L record changes. Claims don't move the order.

Oh the boo was that they didn't make their way to Chicago (not that I expected it)...not about Cleveland. Cleveland getting them was the "yay" part. That's a best-case-Cubs-scenario, really, if we didn't get them. Good bet for Cleveland...just money, might as well.

Booo. But not direct competition...so yay.

I don't hate Luis Devers, but he falls in a similar category as someone who I think has one good pitch (his changeup) but outside of that has a host of 45/50 pitches with 50 command who basically out-commanded hitters at lower levels. This year he got hurt and it just hasn't worked for him since then. I'm on the fence about him, as I still think there's an outside chance his one good pitch+command could maybe get you a bottom of the rotation arm, but think he's probably in that same group of "up/down org" guys if he can get right, but if he's never going to get healthy enough than it just won't happen. I'll be happy if he can find it again, wouldn't be shocked if he can't (that's pitchers for ya).

I think he got some attention post trade in the Cubs system, certainly. Probably also important to note that the Rangers system around that time was pretty highly regarded, while winning the Cubs MiLB SP of the Year was a much lower bar to clear (also probably worth noting, MiLB pitcher of the year doesn't always mean great prospect at the next level. Sometimes the guys who win these awards aren't great prospects, but guys who had great years, but also fair to point out Hendricks won that award). So a probably a little of column A in that it was hard to stand out in the Rangers system and a bit of column B that the Cubs system was much easier for him to stand out. Regardless of that, I'm happy to have him. He's been a great guy to have in the organization the last decade.

Kyle Hendricks was not a well regarded prospect. His numbers looked good but no one really believed his high 80's fastball was ever going to play at the MLB level. Whether or not it would be how the 2012 Cubs would describe it, most felt as though Hendricks was nothing more than a throw-in to Villanueva. Source

Well, Marge Schott hasn't been able to approve anything for about 20 years now! The Reds penny pinch with the best of them regardless of Schott's involvement or not with the Reds, but I would think the Reds will very likely throw a waiver claim in on someone like Giolito. $1.9m is pretty cheap for the Reds in the overall scheme of things and the Reds have basically every contract off the books sans Hunter Greene next year. No better way to shrug your shoulders and say "well we tried" than a one month gamble so that they can pinch their precious pennies in FA next year (many around here are very much hopeful they will be active in the winter with how little money they are spending and the backlash will probably be pretty widespread when they dont). I'd be more than happy to see them pass on Gio, though, because their pitching is just atrocious right now.

Totally a fair point! I honestly think the issues with Gallardo go past the data that we have and goes to things like his ceiling with his pitch mix. The best thing about Gallardo is that for a 22 year old (he turns 22 in just a few days), he's pretty polished. His command is better than that of an A+ pitcher and it's probably better than most AA pitchers. I also think his level of polish works against him because I think there's a limited amount of growth between here and what I expect him to be able to achieve. His velocity has seen some gains, but I haven't seen anything to suggest the older reports of a repertoire of 45/50-grade pitches has really changed much (though at seasons end and some re-scouting may change that and it'd be fair to say that's on the table; guys like Zumach and Hess and Smith have access to scouting information and may report that his pitches have improved in run/spin/shape, etc which would clearly change a pitches grade). I think a lot of the issues Killian has had getting over the hump will be the same type of issues Gallardo (Luis Devers is another name in this group) will face; they're able to command middling stuff past MiLB hitters, but they can't out command MLB hitters with that same middling stuff. I'd rather players have good numbers than not, and this isn't to dissuade you from being a Gallardo guy, either, just explaining where I'd put him and why. I'll be more than happy to look back on this post in 2 years and laugh at my stupidity if he proves me wrong as I'd rather be wrong about a prospect I doubt than be right (I'll always root against my opinions if it helps the Cubs).