I mean, I can see their draft board being set up a certain way such that a prep pitcher *could* be BPA at their pick, but it would probably involve something like the top HS pitcher (Gio Rojas?) unexpectedly plummeting to 23. I just don't think it's realistic, though, even with Zombro having a bigger role in scouting and development.
As for Kerce, he sounds like the sort of guy the Cubs take every draft (sometimes multiple times in the same draft), so yeah, that totally tracks.