UMFan83
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Everything posted by UMFan83
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Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Was wondering about that. Thanks for making me feel better. Sorry I just remember seeing that the other day. .798 OPS against lefties -
Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
FYI no team in the NL is better at crushing lefties than the Colorado Rockies. Good luck Jon -
Q routinely gets shelled the third time through the order (I think his OPS against is like .930 this year). Yelich hit a leasoff single and he was about to face their 3-4-5 hitters with 0 outs in a tie game. If he leaves Q in and he gets shelled the uproar is a lot worse. The key for me is still removing Chavez after just 16 pitches so that LaStella could hit with 2 outs and no one on. The chances of the Cubs producing a run in that situation with LaStella Heyward and Happ due up are very low. The chances of Justin Wilson coming in and [expletive] all over himself against the top of the Brewers order is much higher. I will be angry about that decision until the end of time if the Cubs lose tomorrow
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Guessing if he pitches, Monty would start game 2 of the NLDS, with Quintana available for a couple innings on 3 days rest. Hendricks, Monty/Q, Lester/Hamels, Hamels/Lester, Hendricks. No reason to pitch Q in game 2 on short rest There is when you dont trust Monty to go more than a few innings. Plus otherwise there is no use for him in the series if you assume Hamels and Lester will get starts and Hendricks game 5.
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Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
You mean bring on Kyle Freeland -
Guessing if he pitches, Monty would start game 2 of the NLDS, with Quintana available for a couple innings on 3 days rest. Hendricks, Monty/Q, Lester/Hamels, Hamels/Lester, Hendricks.
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Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
A lot of people are speculating (some informed) Freeland will go tomorrow on 3 days rest if its the Rockies. -
The Brewers played at a 118+ win pace in September. I’m willing to give them all of the credit. And they still had to win seven in a row to finish the season just to get to today’s game. The Cubs went 2-6 against the Brewers in the final 8 games including 1-3 at home. This is self-inflicted. 3-5 in the final 8 games. Won the last of the series in August, dropped 2 of 3 twice in Sept
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Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Season on the line, he's gotta go...or did Joe say he's not available? -
Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Do not let anyone but Lester, Chavez or Cishek pitch. Actually f it, season on the line, if Strop is good enough to go Thursday, he's good enough to go Tuesday with our backs against the wall. I wouldn't make it a point to get him in there but if there's a situation where its either him or one of the other 40 medicore to bad bullpen arms in our pen, I'll risk reinjury or rust -
Javy’s was a tough break. The garbage of this season falls on Willson and Schwarber massively shortening this lineup. And Bryant getting hurt. And Russell being a POS. Schwarber did not shorten the lineup..hell his OPS of .826 was just under Rizzos. Russell collapsing, Bryants injury, and Willy falling off a map is what hurt the offense. I highly suspect Willy has been playing with a ton of injuries. Whenever anyone points to Schwarber's numbers, I go looking for numbers that show that he's really actually awful and I can't. They are solid numbers, but from just watching the games it feels like Schwarber is a giant black hole in the lineup. Maybe its because he has done historically bad in high leverage situations, but I can't remember the last time I thought 'oh good Schwarber is up', unless its a big situation where we need him to dong and I know he has the ability to do so although he never does.
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now that i'm calming down my hopes are rising again. Just win tomorrow, steal the Brewers defensive cheat codes, and then take it game by game in the NLDS
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Game thread for the team that will beat us tomorrow
UMFan83 replied to Brian's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Win - Earn an off day Loss - Earn a lot of off days Yes I'm recycling posts from the old game thread -
yelich carried a .500 wOBA for a month and the cubs played well in september. milwaukee went balls out. why is it a bad thing that i'm willing to give more credit to milwaukee than blame to the cubs? the cubs did not play well to end the season. they went 14-13 beginning with the first brewers series. Please hang tight, the arbitrary sample police are on their way.
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Well guys, on to game 42 in the last 43 days. The reward for winning - an off day!. The reward for losing - a LOT of off days! Crap maybe we don't frame it that way to the players.
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They hit 223 HRs last year and 161 this year with a roster of mostly the same players after hiring a hitting coach that has a philosophy of going the other way and sacrificing power for contact (I could be just making that up or explaining it wrong)
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We all were. But then when they were outscored for the 2nd half of the season I was told it doesn't matter because overall it was still good. Which I can get behind to some degree, and sure I'm guilty of putting too much emphasis on recent results, but I also believe others aren't putting enough weight into the most recent 80 game sample. I've never claimed that its the only thing that matters, just that the more recent results should be weighted more. And I also think some people get confused because I have a nerdy obsession with posting "last x games" type of numbers when I'm actually not saying anything meaningful, I just like to observe just how good or bad a player or team has been over a selected sample of games/PAs and post about it. I can't help myself.
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the cubs won 95 games while having a thousand things go wrong you psychopath im actually not meaning to criticize the cubs because 95 wins is like ... what can you even say? I would have taken that with a healthy team. It's just the constant "well here's the thing, the cubs are good and the brewers are actually bad. ok they're not bad but they aren't good. ok they're good now but they're not real good and we're better. ok actually now we got 2 hit at home and lost the division OK NOW THEY"RE BETTER THAN WE ARE SORRY GUYS" that's obnoxious and wrong. To be fair I kind of get that. As more data was added, we all changed our opinions on the Brewers. Any whining from me on that is because I used Duke and others to calm me down throughout the year and I feel let down even though it completely isnt their fault
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There it is, Brewers 2018 NL Central Champions
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David Bote should really be batting here
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FULL SEASON OPS - Brewers (.747 vs. .745) wRC+ Cubs (100 vs. 99) ISO - Brewers (.173 vs. .152) WAR - Cubs (27.8 vs. 26.6) wOBA - Brewers (.322 vs .321) HRs - Brewers (218 vs. 166) Pretty close but if you put at least some weight into recency the Brewers are better. And guys I'm way over my head in baseball arguments so I probably wont respond unless you say something about my mom or wife or something
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Good idea to use one of your last 3 outs with Murphy vs. a devastating lefty.
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And yet were outscored in the second half and our offense plummeted to the bottom of the league. Some might be due to the schedule but its clear something stinks in Chicago. We will be fine, I'm just trying to drive the final nail in the "Cubs are better than the Brewers and will win the division stop worrying ninny" argument. Stop trying to make these 2nd half stats mean more than they should. I'm pretty sure the Brewers outproduced us for the entire season offensively in quite a few important categories, but I'm starting to talk over my head now and I really shouldn't have made the initial post because I'm not ready for the counter argument. Just venting.
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They’re playing better right now/last month but they aren’t much better and aren’t better long term. But if you want to think that go for it. I kind of put a few different arguments into this but I was more talking about the 2018 teams. My pessimism took over at the end and I started talking about future years, but my rational side believes we are in a good positon moving forward.
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We won 95 games despite dealing with a bevy of injuries and a travel schedule from hell. I'm sure we'll be fine. And yet were outscored in the second half and our offense plummeted to the bottom of the league. Some might be due to the schedule but its clear something stinks in Chicago. We will be fine, I'm just trying to drive the final nail in the "Cubs are better than the Brewers and will win the division stop worrying ninny" argument.
