Ok lets look at this pessimistically now. Cardinals: Playing above their heads only buys them times and keeps them in a contenders mindset until Clement, Carpenter and Mulder get healthy. True that its likely the latter two never get healthy enough to give any production, but the point still stands that they have room to improve. Another bad thing about them hanging around is the potential for a trade or two come July. Matt Holliday in Cardinals red should at least keep every Cubs fan on guard. Astros: Well you're right. They are a huge fluke. I guess the "buyers in July" argument would work, but they need a lot more to be contenders in my book. Reds: I am assuming that their offense is the thing thats keeping them under right now (without looking at the numbers) because their staff is probably the best in the NL Central overall. Their offense should be pretty decent on paper, and should improve as the year goes on. Plus they hold 2 wild cards in AAA, Bruce and Bailey. Luckily they have probably the worst manager in the division. Pittsburgh: Nice story, but they aren't going to challenge us. They should look to challenge for a .500 record. They have some pieces though. Brewers: They also have trading chips and pieces to make their team better. Yost will be gone by the end of June. They don't seem to realize their defensive shortcoming though. That said, when playing well I still think they are among the more talented in the NL. Meh, I tried.